monkeypizza

When the population base rate is low, and being genetically identical increases the rate to 40%, that is a strong argument that it's highly genetic. The effect only gets stronger to the extent the 40% is from environments where people would be reluctant to admit to homosexual experiences.

Your argument may be too strong - you're suggesting that big companies or the professional class of responsible people always does things better. But HN is founded on many examples of that not being true.

i.e. if your argument applies word for word against Semmelweis (who advocated hand-washing) or doubters against other earlier amateur vaccines, it it will fall victim to what we now know about those older cases, when the at-the-time experts were wrong.

In this case I wouldn't say that the reason this kind of research is valuable is anything related to medicine per se - but more that it can show the value of the much lower liability level he operates in, and how it means that amateurs can make massive cuts in preparing and defending from lawsuits. Example: if a company realized that only food-quality ingredients were required, not lab-quality, would it be worth it for them to justify that to the FDA and spend millions on it? probably not. My hypothesis for what's going on in general in medicine is this effect times a thousand, at every stage of development.

Really nice page design. Pictures load instantly with preloading, keyboard shortcuts (forward/back/esc). (Story is great too.)

I have this problem too occasionally; but if you spend 2 minutes hitting "do not recommend videos like this" + "do not recommend this channel", all the good content beneath will rise to the top.

This just changed about two weeks ago, right? The rate of suggested rewatches went up from like 5% to 20% for me. And surprisingly, it seems not to have tracked or not be displaying that I've seen it before (with the red progress bar on the thumbnail). I agree this is a bad change, especially deceiving me about my watch history.

This was around the time they changed the mobile progress bar behavior to require dragging to advance, rather than allowing you to jump to the point you select (i.e. away from the model used by the android brightness slider).

Every few days if you notice the algo giving too many fast-food style videos, it's worth it to aggressively use this to unfollow all these topics. Miraculously, the next time you refresh your feed, all those old interesting topics you used to be into will come back.

Overall the algo is very very recency-influenced. You can watch videos from a niche interest for a year straight, but if you then spend a week watching nascar, you'll never see anything but nascar videos for months unless you say "not interested".

I imagine they have found that for the average user, having a longer history doesn't improve G's metrics.

Ensenada. Beautiful out in the hills but very sleepy. Colorado beats it by a mile. Security wise it's been okay for a month but the undercurrent of fear about it online and among people I've met here is not great, as is having a lower level of trust in rule of law and police here in general.

I've been on the road 6 months now working remote. It's pretty great, especially going with a friend or two. The main concern was internet - here's what I found:

1 month Southern colorado - terrible internet

Denver, SLC, Seattle, Baja - all no problems

The key thing that's helped is directly connecting with ethernet.

Details on this: This is a restyled version of wikipedia content that looks a lot better. They have a browser extension that redirects you to the wikiwand version of the same page, which is the same content with much nicer formatting. It really looks quite a bit better.

Caveats: you have to trust a non-wikipedia site to keep their copy up to date, not to info-mine you, and if you quickly send someone a link, they may not realize they're still sort of on wikipedia.

For comparison:

- https://www.wikiwand.com/en/Hacker_News

- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hacker_News

This is really awesome. They ran statistics on superhuman strength variant AIs like: * self-capture * variations in pawn movement (sideways, 1-step only) etc.

The way CCP influence works is through a legal requirement for firms to allow or establish internal CCP units inside their company, which are then officially recognized and connected to the CCP. Since this is an alternate method for the company to interact with officials, through their own party member staff, it can become basically your company's representative with the CCP.

The thing is though, the unit members are also still your employees with access to internal information. Since they serve two masters, the company can be tempted to elevate their status internally to improve how they represent the CCP on the other side. And the opposite can happen - employees can be hired with high CCP ranks so that when they join the unit their influence for the company will be stronger.

"One senior executive whose company was represented at the meeting told Reuters some companies were under “political pressure” to revise the terms of their joint ventures with state-owned partners to allow the party final say over business operations and investment decisions."

Information on how this actually works is scarce since relative to the US there is much weaker rule of law/discovery, and fewer independent journalists, considering how tightly China controls and polices which journalists are allowed in and what they write about.

"Companies in China, including foreign firms, are required by law to establish a party organization, a rule that had long been regarded by many executives as more symbolic than anything to worry about."

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-congress-companies-...

Excellent page discussing the physics of colonizing mercury: https://einstein-schrodinger.com/mercury_colony.html

"Colonization of Mercury appears to be a very real and practical possibility, whereas colonization of Mars or the other planets, moons or asteroids is really more in the realm of fantasy."

A big advantage of Mercury over mars is higher light intensity: "One very important advantage is the high solar light intensity, which is stronger than on Earth by a factor of 10.6 at perihelion and 4.6 at aphelion"

I have a similar list but with an attempt at writeups of their style and what is good about each individual author here: http://fuseki.net/home/ScienceFictionBookReviews.html

His stories "Equinoctal", "The Phantom of Kansas" [0] are big hits at scifi reading groups. And "The Persistence of Vision" is a well-known classic.

[0] https://varley.net/excerpt/the-phantom-of-kansas-full-text/

A similar process is used in "Timelike Infinity" by Stephen Baxter.

https://www.wikiwand.com/en/Timelike_Infinity

His work generally uses this kind of extreme physics as plot devices and he's one of the best hard sf authors for this type of physics exploration.

Video summary of the optimization process by the designer: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vScM-nk5Avk

Yes, and you can run a local server as part of the test functionality in Studio.

Excellent blog about Japanese zoning: http://urbankchoze.blogspot.com/2014/04/japanese-zoning.html

Gwern's page on positive/negative effects of nicotine considered independently of smoking:

https://www.gwern.net/Nicotine

Stewart Brand has done lots of good stuff. My favorite is the 6 part BBC series on "How Buildings Learn". It really opened my eyes to the importance of buildings. Very relevant to the frequent discussions here about zoning, design, etc. But also just an amazing, clear, well-informed amateur analysis of how the US has been doing in this field over the last 100 years.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AvEqfg2sIH0

Some real kickers in here:

* Beijing will establish a new security office in Hong Kong, with its own law enforcement personnel - neither of which would come under the local authority's jurisdiction

* This office can send some cases to be tried in mainland China - but Beijing has said it will only have that power over a "tiny number" of cases

* Beijing will have power over how the law should be interpreted, not any Hong Kong judicial or policy body. If the law conflicts with any Hong Kong law, the Beijing law takes priority

I would pay for this! It's common for blogs to go through a life cycle, and usually when you discover them they're already relative inactive. You can go through archives but there isn't good software support for making sure you see everything.

This would also be useful for going through historical incidents - e.g. replaying the top 10 politics blogs, day by day, during momentous events. It's simple enough to just treat it as an offset; the display would clearly say the original date of publication. This is a lot better than simply adding old RSS feeds since it comes in at the same rate it would have happened in the moment.

Something similar could be set up for newspapers. Imagine receiving all space-related stories from Life, NYT, Guardian, Spiegel, for the time period from say 1965-1970.

The current best version of this requires a huge amount of research into old newspapers, and also reading books and then manually connecting each book's timeline. If instead you could in parallel consume multiple sources, the correlation would be natural.

Even better would be adding in later commentary about those events.

Example: take "History of the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire", and annotate each page with contemporary thought from each era. So every page would a section on what the scholarly response was when it came out, then 50 years later, then 100, each adding in new methods of investigation and validation/testing of the claims as archaeology, linguistics, carbon-dating, anthropology, etc. developed in the background.

Your claim is false. It is not highly variable even between identical twins. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heritability_of_IQ

"The mean correlation of IQ scores between monozygotic twins was 0.86, between siblings 0.47, between half-siblings 0.31, and between cousins 0.15."

There is a petition in support of him which also has some big names. That should be sufficient to warrant further investigation rather than immediately forcing him to resign.

https://sites.google.com/view/petition-letter-stephen-hsu/ho...

Signatures include:

  Scott Aaronson
  Scott Alexander
  Sam Altman
  Linda S. Gottfredson, Professor Emeritus, University of Delaware, Past President of the International Society for Intelligence Research
  Jonathan Haidt, Professor, New York University Stern School of Business, USA
  Geoffrey Miller
  Steven Pinker, Johnstone Family Professor of Psychology, Harvard University
  Robert Plomin, Professor, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London

Because most weather sites get their temperature readings from the nearest airport, there is often a big gap between that and the temperatures actually experienced by most people there.

Here's the map that has actual locally sampled temperatures for the SF peninsula: https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap?lat=37.785&lon=-122.4...

I think GP may be reacting based on common techniques of obscuring faces - i.e. ninjas wearing black masks, special ops putting dark paint on their face to obscure details. I think the effectiveness of those techniques leads people to think that darker colors are harder to see or make out. But that analogy breaks down because here we're talking about fully lit situations, right?

Regarding general change in music in the US over time, this study looked at ~50 years of US pop songs and found changes. I wonder about the rate of other countries pop song subject change is?

See link: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/03057356177482...

"As in 1960, the predominant topic of pop music remains romantic and sexual relationships. However, whereas the proportion of lyrics referring to relationships in romantic terms remained stable, the proportion including reference to sex-related aspects of relationships increased sharply.

"References to lifestyle issues such as dancing, alcohol and drugs, and status/wealth increased substantially, particularly in the 2000s. Other themes were far less frequent: Social/political issues, religion/God, race/ethnicity, personal identity, family, friends showed a modest occurrence in top-40 music throughout the studied period and showed no dramatic changes.

"Violence and death occurred in a small number of songs, and both increased, particularly since the 1990s. References to hate/hostility, suicide, and occult matters were very rare. Results are examined in the context of cultural changes in the social position of adolescents, and more specifically in light of the increased popularity of rap/hip-hop music, which may explain the increases in references to sex, partying, dancing, drug use, and wealth.

Say you are trying to distinguish between a placebo and a cyanide pill; test subjects are young rats (base rate of death extremely low). How large of a sample size do you need? I think one control, one test subject is enough to be certain, because the base rate of death is insanely low, when measured on a per-minute basis.

Sample sizes can be small and still very significant when the effect is large.

yeah, I use "longreach" and don't feel guilty about it at all. You can also build ghost items from the map view, which bots will fill in. For really remote areas I still do have to find the right train to ride, but this mainly solves it. Never hearing that beeping sound while building locally is totally worth it.

Apparently the devs added a reach limit to prevent people from keeping their factory going by manual loading for hours and hours; since I don't do that, there's no harm in it.

Open source research is continuing.

There are a few open source implementations of the alphago algorithm and some new work being done to improve it for go. Check out lizzie, which is a nice front end to leela zero.

https://lifein19x19.com/viewtopic.php?f=10&t=17095