mikert89

some ivy league grad with no real world dev experience waved this on

Once Chinese ai can run on 50k priced GPUs and match current models, people will have these running from bunkers. There’s no stopping it

this is a short term problem, over 20 years benchmark gaming will be a blip

theres no budget constraints for AGI

yeah but I think you may be underestimating the amount of capital available for compute. if AGI is possible through some 5 trillion of expenditure on computers, there will be money for it.

also, you are underestimating how short a 10 year time frame is. we are close to self driving, the first neural net image model was in 2013. 13 years is a blink of an eye

these just need more compute:

- earn $100: easy to verify, hard to learn

- increase paid subscriptions in an A/B test: easy to verify, hard to learn

but we both know these examples go against the spirit of my point

Anything you can verify to be right or wrong can be done by a model. All benchmarks will be saturated

People have, they arent putting them up for sale. Its the same with AI sales systems, if they work, they are worth far more than what they can be sold for as a product.

Thought I read elsewhere that if these get dirty they are essentially blowing dirty water into your gums, which can cause health problems

tools like this almost need the same level of sanitization you would see at the dentist.

other than that, I am very interested

AWS is good at operations, i.e. running something like S3 at massive scale. Or SQS, ddb, etc. High surface area for distributed systems, but low surface area for user experience.

Once you add in product decision making, like how to make the dev experience good on something with alot of user flows (like cognito), the products are shit.

These are temporary visas

yeah a lot of uneducated analysis was off, but it was still very thought provoking and jarring to my earlier world view.

it depends on which chapters/sections though, some are more accessible than others.

one book I enjoyed is:

"The Mask of Enlightenment" by stanley rosen. I read that along Zarathustra

I had a similar experience, but I think a lot of other modern philosophy is really pedantic and builds upon a thousand years of writings. So its very hard to follow without proper academic study or understanding what its in response to.

Nietzsche has paragraphs that could be studied and independently thought about without even reading the rest of the book/chapter. You can crack open beyond good and evil and just start reading a random page.

I still would argue his thought is far more groundbreaking than any contemporaries

I meant orchestrated in a subversive way

you can run open source models in the privacy of your own home :)

Far more things/movements are orchestrated than are organic. This is to me one of the most surprising things I have learned as I got older.

Does IPFS actually have users? I remeber when they raised 270 million and a bunch of people there got wildly wealthy

instagram growth rate != core service team in instagram growth rate

its probably happened on half the core teams, idk what you want me to say, it sounds like you dont have alot of experience

ive spent 15 years in big tech companies, this problem is common and its why they pay engineers 500k-1M. this happens at meta literally all the time.

half of engineering in big tech is just rewriting a system to scale

microsoft is incompetent, they havent changed windows/excel/outlook in 30 years

im not buying that github is a unique engineering problem, harder than the rest of hyperscalars.

AWS saw this growth every year for two decades, hyper growth tech sees it all the time

cloud providers and hyper growth tech deal with these growth rates all the time

this is common at AWS/cloud providers

alot of distributed systems in big companies grow at this rate, its not exponential, its mundane

The biggest for me is diet by far, I cook every meal. If I have a stretch of going into the office, I end up eating slop, which kills my energy levels

Its not just the time, its the energy expended.

Would love to see this calculated in high cost of living areas (NY, CA), pretty sure some people have seen 20% wage declines since covid (in terms of how far your income goes)

^

outsourced cost center