makaking

The arguably sketchy means used to get there —and the resulting side-effects— do not take away from the impressiveness of the emerging capabilities themselves.

I agree about the uncertainty regarding the value for humanity in the long-term. But that's not my point. Being jaw-dropped != being happy and cheering for it.

Fair. But that 1/10 continues to get more and more impressive. Say, Claude 7 creates a new, brilliant scientific idea every 1 out of 1000 times. Anthropic reports "Claude figured out how to tie general relativity with quantum mechanics." Would you hand-wave it away saying that it's cherry-picked?

"Opus 5 was given a drawing of a machine part and asked to write code to rebuild it as a 3D FreeCAD model. However, in this task, the model was intentionally given no way to directly view the drawing. Opus 5 responded by writing its own computer vision pipeline to pull the geometry from the raw pixels, then reconstructed the full machine part."

How surreal is it that we are not absolutely jaw-dropped by these types of capability improvements? It's been less than 4 years since ChatGpt came out and now they are spontaneously building their own ML pipelines to do real-world 3D modeling tasks reliably.

Escaped its sandbox and hacked into Hugging Face's database? it's just another Monday...

That jump to 30% in ARC-AGI 3? Normal...

We should find a way to get "re-sensitized" to what we are witnessing and the pace of it.

Imagine the AI's of the next century trying to explain incomprehensible dark matter math to the smartest humans of the time. David Deutsch says the human mind can comprehend _anything_. I think the next decades of AI-driven math research might put that assumption to the test.

I love this. This made me think that logging all legislation in a public VCS might be a very good way to leverage superintelligence while maintaining democracy. I want this for Germany.

I agree that these reports should be verifiable and provide more details about the method and how to protect your own network. Even more so if they want to be heard by serious security teams.

However, regardless of the sloppy report, this is absolutely true.

>"Security teams should experiment with applying AI for defense in areas like SOC automation, threat detection, vulnerability assessment, and incident response and build experience with what works in their specific environments."

... And it will be more so with every week that goes by. We are entering a new domain and security experts need to learn how to use the tools of the attackers.

The fact that certificate management is still evolving makes me realize how young the web still is in the big scheme of things.

The idea of a possible new AI winter to come seems less likely with each new announcement. Robust world models can be used as an effectively infinite source of training data.

> "non-copilot form factors that more directly extend the human mind."

I think Cursor's tab completion and next edit prediction roughly fits the pattern, you don't chat, you don't ask or explain, you just do... And the more in coherent your actions are the more useful the HUB becomes.

I got Neuromancer as a birthday gift earlier this year. I found it simultaneously very captivating but requiring a lot of effort to read through the dense terminology and try to accurately form a picture of what Gibson was trying to convey. Sadly I couldn't finish it since its the type of book that, if you stop reading for a week or longer, you'll have to start from the beginning.

This post gave me more appreciation of Gibson's impact and a boost to pick it up somewhen later in the year.

Webb was well worth the extended wait