m101

Eventually, because this guy felt unsafe multiple members of the rest of the camp put their hands up as feeling unsafe. I call it liberal mind virus because of the “safety” focus. A normal person would see small challenges and discomforts as part and parcel of daily life, and they certainly wouldn’t have safety concerns as grown up (mostly) men from a small girl. Everything was also taken out of context too - they all knew her and had camped together for 10+ years. It was basically a group-think public lynching based on some false sense of morality.

See my other comment

Been twice to burning man. It’s hard to describe the corruption of the soul that exists at burning man.

There’s a focus on the environment yet everything is disposable and people travel from all over the world to go.

There’s talk of safety but then they will literally kick you out of camp as soon as someone says you’re making them feel unsafe because of some normal thing you did. YES, it did literally happen to someone I know. It felt like a public lynching.

It’s supposed to be camping together but then there’s pages of rules, documents, charity companies, and letters written by lawyers (yes, still the above).

It’s a celebration in mediocrity. Most things that happen are very mediocre at best. They just do it because you’re supposed to give something, so they give something mediocre.

The people are all hyper liberal, and the types that cannot help but judge individuals based on whether they’re in their group on not. People you called your friends for years will turn against you once the group turns on you.

Obviously most of it is all about seeing and being seen, engaging in the pleasures of sensual experiences on offer.

I would describe it as literally sodom on earth. It’s shaped like a butthole, and takes a massive shit once a year.

The best thing about it imo is the cycling around where you can mostly just get away from the degeneracy that exists. The temple is quite nice too.

Yes very possibly. If you assume your competition will always exist then I think it makes sense to increase prices as they do even if you have the best business model.

OpenAI were initially competing with Anthropic in $ value of tokens, and then number of tokens, and then the 5h limit removal meant you could buy multiple plans for huge continuous usage. This gravy train was never sustainable from a margin perspective and must have cost them billions.

It’s now going to be interesting how anthropic react - 5h limit and retain 15-20x $ value, or go the same was as OpenAI.

I think on the app you should have an auto sort for your local supermarket. I have a list of aisles that I go through on my route around and I ask an ai to sort my shopping list by that route through the supermarket.

Well yes, in reality you want a system where you don’t wait until the lease expires because that would leave many short lease properties without investment. It is trivial to value (competitive real estate market, rational negotiation, market interest rates) a lease extension from 30 to 99 years (enabling development) and the state shouldn’t really care about it unless it wanted to take ownership early as part of a wider land development plan.

The state is technically repossessing it when you own a lease, but it’s not something you had rights to anyway, or had paid for. The terms of what you own are up to the lease end date, under the terms of the lease.

A minority of land is freehold.

LVT and things like market value based taxes are all far more complicated than is what already works, and what Singapore does (and a couple other countries like China): all land owned by the state, sold to private individuals with [99] year leases.

So the revenue comes through in resales once leases end.

Super simple: no valuation (only market sales); no annual expenses to consider (all upfront); development issues are simply a matter for leases to expire; speculation is capped given the capped lease length (although it can still get to stupid valuations).

Implementation is also extremely simple if you’re already onboard with taxation as expropriation: the state just legislates that all property is now a 99 year lease and they own it at that point (alternatively they compensate you 2-5% of market value, and retain existing annual taxes, or cut existing annual taxes to compensate, or they just do it without compensation!)

The main one I was thinking about was in finance when doing lending to corporates. You build a financial model of the company, and then you “stress test” it to see where the company struggles to pay you back by changing a few variables up or down. If it was distributions you’d simply assign distributions to those variables and look at the distribution of outcomes for your loan.

As a number of the comments have suggested there are a number of Monte Carlo methods (including this addin) but I was hoping that someone would make one which calculated based on random variables and output a resultant random variable, over brute force monte carlo. Monte Carlo is also somewhat slow, but doing the maths analytically should be fast.

What would be a revolution in excel is if we could have probability distributions in cells. Right now all spreadsheets are fairly deterministic and we think that tells us something about the real world. Having an ability to make cells distributions (and then all resultant cells would be distributions too) would represent the uncertainty in the world better (and expose lots of interesting things like distributions of tails)

And heavily punish the users (which is the only way to actually win a war on drugs)

A war on drugs can only be won through heavy penalties on the users and the political classes refuse to come down hard on the users (themselves, their children) but rather come down hard on the dealers (poor people) or traffickers (foreigners). For this reason we never really had a war on drugs, just lip service towards one, hence a failure of government.

There is not that much difference between the state and a mafia. The fact that the mafia has successfully managed to keep out fentanyl shows just how much democratically elected states are failing their citizens. This outcome is not surprising.

perhaps they use this as the carrot to get you locked into their monthly plan over anthropic's.

They actually want that to come protect their business model

Funny how they talk so much about safety when most people don’t give a hoot about it, and actually have quite the opposite reaction

A MacBook Pro is probably the best bang for your buck. I have a 64gb m4 max, but you’ll run decent models with half that ram I think.

However bad anthropic’s financials look I’m sure OpenAI’s look even worse

Presumably there’s a future where your ai agent posts all your videos / pictures / comments on every platform you have so we get around the idea of X, for example, being the only one to receive posts?

If the government is stupid enough to write law that it cannot enforce when applied by all citizens (and not only those with means), then we should welcome anything which will bring about the demise of those laws.

I guess in theory it can already run basically unnoticed on a MacBook Pro, and there are millions of them out there

20x related to the 5h limit only. Weekly seems to be around 10x, although they deliberately don’t give a number.

OpenAI is 20x on both limits

It does require regulation if you, as the state, find it inconvenient where the proceeds of the arbitrage end up.

Costs not born by those who made the decision is kind of a key property of the EU integration project in general.

I think the most interesting thing about this, that I can tell so far, is the cache hit discount. Anyone who had an autocompaction threshold optimised for their use case should consider upping it from where it is.

I would be interested in whether someone has done research here on these things as it seems a fairly complicated function to work out, and use case dependent. (?)

In some sense an expired kv cache is basically like an expensive cache hit, so your compaction token threshold should come in. Ideally claude code should allow you to vary the autocompaction threshold to vary with time since last token, but it doesn't of course. This perhaps suggests that someone should manage claude code through their own intermediary agent who manages these sorts of rules.

Lastly, I strongly suspect that anthropic isn't offering this price cut out of the kindness of their hearts. I am sure that they are to some extent banking on people not reacting to their price cut and leaving their autocompaction thresholds unchanged.

[edit - looks like the discount is only for the api, so they still don't give a rats ass about subs!]

When I was young and naive I voted to remain in the EU in the brexit referendum. Since then I’ve learned a few things and realise the EU is not an institution to be affiliated with politically. In terms of what we did with the opportunity we had - we totally dropped the ball.

It’s just so disappointing how the EU is still so popular across Europe.

Interesting. I guess one would then ask why was it not the case that the merchants were not also behaving in a similar way and looking for the cheapest payment processors (as long as they were also asked to eat their own side of the fees).

Perhaps forcing everyone to just implement free payments between any bank accounts, like pix, is actually the only viable solution here (and i just accept that this is one of those market failure things).

The only way to solve this is to have the user of the credit/debit card pay the fee. Sure, you can do an EU thing of 0.2-0.3% or whatever it is, but this might still be 0.2-0.3% more than it could be in a competitive market.