891 karma · joined March 10, 2011
https://www.pca.state.mn.us/waste/pfas-investigation-and-cle...
Yes we can certainly automate this or that workflow just give us the specification of what to do, oh did you remember every quirk and nuance. Now to make this work without constant human interaction we actually need to know a lot about the problem, the problem space, the specific requirements of each task because the automation process does not have anything close to common sense reasoning capability. Without that every possible nuance must be explicitly detailed and our brains are not good at that. This is what much of software development is, even when given detailed specs, you find out that there are plenty of requirements yet to be discovered.
This is a huge problem in AI. It's a complete non-starter of a design problem when making a robot. You really need to know what the hell the thing is going to be used for before you draw 1 line in the cad program. The fantasy of the humanoid model is to say look, humans can do a lot there's your design specs go make something that can do that. Good luck, first of all how much energy can you pack in a humanoid robot after affording for actuators and the support structures? How long will the thing last on a single charge? How much and what kind of work can it really do? How do you tell it to do some task? What can it really accomplish? Ok now look at the cost of an employee for one of the mundane jobs, their capabilities are greater, they have true intelligence so you don't need to specify arcane level of detail for requirements because they have common sense.
Lets not even limit ourselves to humans, any general purpose robot will never be able to compete with a task specific robot and when you think about it, the mundane use cases are often the kind where you do the same thing over and over, aka a limited set of specialized tasks. Well design a robot to do just that and it will be cheaper and more effective than a humanoid robot. Carpet cleaning is one example, a roomba works just fine, no need for a cybernetic humanoid to accomplish that mundane task and the cost differential is huge.
One time at Sunday school in the 80s we did a craft project, little lanterns out of coffee cans with patterns of holes punched in them. Mine was a star and a simple cross. As a kid I knew I could not play with matches but wanted to try out my new creation. So I snuck behind the garage and lit a bunch of matches and melted the candle. A week later my dad finds it, I’m adamant I have no idea where that thing came from. Later on in the day I overhear him tell mom he thinks there are some kids in the area doing some kind of satanic ritual behind the garage.
Rock and Roll however that is from satan.
- There is much economic activity that comes from increasing inefficiency, think cost disease, this is a feature not a bug in a system straining to maintain full employment at all costs that is increasingly managed in a top-down manner
- queueing theory probably explains most monetary policy, as inflation gas pedal is feathered to make historically large debts look like speed bumps in the rear view they do the same to buying power but the inverse to assets, keeping this process slow enough but not too slow probably has something to do with avg human lifespan
- no empire lasts forever and usually exhaust their hinterland expansion efforts for various reasons ultimately debasing the currency to mfg more growth while the fundamental drivers are long gone, what is the hinterland for our empire and how much more of it can we exploit?
- During the Black Plague something like 1/3 of Europe died off, this gave rise to a new wealthy class of inheritors laying some foundations for the Renaissance, we are on the edge of a historic population decline as birth rates plunge across the world, will we see a similar effect, or does this only work when lives are cut short?
World governments, Big Tech be like: "We are shocked, shocked! to find back doors and spying in here!"
The two work in tandem to facilitate the needs of each other. This is just the new military industrial complex for an age of hybrid war. Not going away any time soon, no matter how we feel about it.
As pointed out in another post today "A key product of ubiquitous surveillance is people who are comfortable with it" [1] All of the revelations with no recourse or reform lead to what we have now, everyone assumes big brother is watching and thats just how big brother wants it.
“lets you create the file directly where you want it, saving you the trouble of having to navigate through the Save As dialog just to get back to where you started.”
Nobody is going to circumvent the power of government. I can show you proof that you don’t need to pay income tax, but I also promise you that you will go to jail eventually for doing so.
Extraordinary popular delusions take on a life of their own. They reflect the zeitgeist of the time.
Bitcoin is the savior so many tech enthused idealists can believe in, but if it supplants anything it will be legitimated and used by those already running the show.
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