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logtrees

25 karma · joined October 12, 2023

Building logtrees.com and other fun projects.

Please reach out to dany@logtrees.com if you are interested in discussing further!

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logtrees··on I spent twenty years becoming good at the wrong game
I agree with you. So many variables at play and every 7-10 year cycle stacks and compounds knowledge and skills if one does it right. A stint as a PhD in Chemistry is extremely valuable substrate to build upon, especially if the person was interested in it and understands it deeply.

I think if that time was spent productively, it's not a loss at all. With AI the coming iterations will favor different kinds of combinations of perspectives and experiences towards identifying esoteric solutions. Or otherwise stated, people who are deep learners will find that they are able to deeply learn faster and at a larger breadth now too and this will produce new kinds of solutions to problems that in some cases haven't even been defined yet.

I think this will be a critical thing in the near timeline that Elon and others predicted, when more things can be automated. There will still be a lot of increasing demand for thought workers and researchers and engineers including those who started out in other thought-based disciplines. I believe tokenization of financial instruments or for development of new ones means an additional productive substrate layer to the economy and that is why big/smart money are flowing into it. Those + AI will be a big driver in growing the power of that new layer and driving wages for those people/teams pushing the envelope further there.

We have a lot of control over this kind of thing these days...meaning we can be productive in creating such incentives and possibilities because the yield is far greater. It produces and will produce way more knowledge and products/services in the future. I think people are severely underestimating the potential of the American system to produce 0 to 1 innovation in literally everything at huge scale with the right incentives/environment set up for people. Productivity here is not the issue, the problem is legacy notions on what is valuable and how to fund it. Legacy meaning no longer functionally or logically sound due to the advanced possibilities afforded by decades of compounded gains since WW2 or the Industrial Revolution or the Printing Press.

logtrees··on [dead]
Ethereum Classic and Ethereum both matter, to be clear.
logtrees··on Poker fraud used X-ray tables, high-tech glasses and NBA players
This one would be an amazing film exploring both the intersection of tech and the NBA and the families involved too. It would be a stunning production if done with high quality in mind.
logtrees··on Meta is axing 600 roles across its AI division
Sprinkle in minimization and virtualization and it's extremely cool!
logtrees··on Meta is axing 600 roles across its AI division
Not yet, but could there be?
logtrees··on Willow quantum chip demonstrates verifiable quantum advantage on hardware
What is it about then? I'm not spreading propaganda - I'm maximally truth seeking and approaching things from a technical/economic/governance point of view and not an ideological one per se. Though ideology shapes everything, what I mean is that I'm not ideologically predisposed towards a conclusion on things. For me what matters is the core, truthy aspects of a given subject.
logtrees··on Meta is axing 600 roles across its AI division
Is it known that there are fewer than infinity tools?
logtrees··on Meta is axing 600 roles across its AI division
There are N useful AI tools that can be made.
logtrees··on Willow quantum chip demonstrates verifiable quantum advantage on hardware
I don't consider the current system to be worthless. In fact, it functions remarkably well. There is certainly room for additional substrate layers though, and Bitcoin being digital or electronic gold and Ethereum being an e-steam engine or e-computer make for a powerful combination for applications together. I agree that the crowd here has historically not understood, or wanted to understand, the underlying protocols and what is possible. A bizarre kind of hubris perhaps, or maybe just a response to how the first iterations of a web2.5 or web3.0 were...admittedly more mired in a kind of marketing hype that was not as reflective of what is possible and sustainable in the space due to there not being realistic web and engineering muscle at the forefront of the hype.

I think this current cycle is going to change that though. The kinds of projects spinning up are truly massive, innovative, and interesting. Stay tuned!

logtrees··on Willow quantum chip demonstrates verifiable quantum advantage on hardware
No, I don't think so. By the time quantum supremacy is really achieved for a "Q-Day" that could affect them or things like them, the existing blockchains which have already been getting hardened will have gotten even harder. Quantum computing could be used to further harden them, as well, rather than compromise them. Supposing that Q-Day brought any temporary hurdles to Bitcoin or Ethereum or related blockchains, well...due to their underlying nature resulting in justified Permanence, we would be able to simply reconstitute and redeploy them for their functionalities because they've already been sufficiently imbued with value and institutional interest as well. These are quantum-resistant hardenings.

So I do not think these tools or economic substrate layers are going anywhere. They are very valuable for the particular kinds of applications that can be built with them and also as additional productive layers to the credit and liquidity markets nationally, internationally, and also globally/universally.

So there is a lot of institutional interest, including governance interest, in using them to build better systems. Bitcoin on its own would be reduced in such justification but because of Ethereum's function as an engine which can drive utility, the two together are a formidable and quantum-resistant platform that can scale into the hundreds of trillions of dollars and in Ethereum's case...certainly beyond $1Q in time.

I'm very bullish on the underlying technology, even beyond tokenomics for any particular project. The underlying technologies are powerful protocols that facilitate the development and deployment of Non Zero Sum systems at scale. With Q-Day not expected until end of 2020s or beginning of 2030s, that is a considerable amount of time (in the tech world) to lay the ground work for further hardening and discussions around this.

logtrees··on How to sequence your DNA for <$2k
Amazing. I remember when something like this was a massive cost, if even accessible to the layperson. Now it's ~$500? Godspeed.
logtrees··on The AI emperor has no clothes
Not really. One is a conscious design choice for what you choose to build as your ethos or Magnum Opus or what have you. And the other is a consequence of dealing with hard techincal engineering and scientific matters. :)
logtrees··on The AI emperor has no clothes
Don't send garbage in!
logtrees··on The AI emperor has no clothes
Completely agreed. It won't even displace the people who were diligent in all of those crafts. It will supercharge them. And there will be novel combinations producing new services/products. It's going to be great.
logtrees··on The AI emperor has no clothes
"There is no way the trillions of dollars of valuation placed on AI companies can be backed by any amount of future profit."

This is just a case of the user being unable to see far enough into the future. Yes, there's huge future profit to be had.

logtrees··on The Wood Dragon and the Year of Jubilee
This is chapter 2 of the story I am developing for my web3 project called logtrees.

You can find chapter 1 here:

https://logtrees.com/blog/the-year-of-the-wood-dragon-and-pl...

logtrees allows users to log n activities for varying rewards, so that as a system logtrees then justifies N Fiat Print Events for the purpose of achieving and sustaining "Financial Fusion" as to sustain the present economies and bootstrap an Economy 3.0.

I seek to leverage time, fiat currency, and blockchains in order to produce a useful perpetual money generation machine. logtrees will be The Battering Ram against exaggerated worries over national deficits and debts. It is in pre-alpha and here is the whitepaper rough draft if you'd like to read more about it:

https://logtrees.com/whitepaper/carbon_negative_blockchains_...

Here is Google Drive for receiving comments and in case the site goes down like last time:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/18F67bqIZqZUdjGowmwFLTL8pla5...

I have many significant feature updates coming in 2025, including Version 1.0 Launch. I will also be looking to find some funds in order to build a small development team as to build more things faster. Merry Christmas, Happy Hanukkah, Happy New Year, Happy Holidays, and enjoy a Most Blessed 2025 and Year of Jubilee. I love you, God bless you.

logtrees··on Y Combinator often backs startups that duplicate other YC companies, data shows
Makes sense. That way it reinforces those accumulated companies so they remain best in class.
logtrees··on Carbon negative blockchains via logtrees [pdf]
There are systems being built to confirm the plant beyond any reasonable doubt. Those systems do not involve anyone going to check it out for you. :) logtrees maintains privacy.

I will build logtrees without it needing anyone to check that, and it will still work. :)

logtrees··on Carbon negative blockchains via logtrees [pdf]
Server is back up now, here is Google drive link as well just in case: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1CkgnFdcbt_VsYBCpVIzGzDffYvU...

I do have mechanisms that are being implemented for both of those scenarios. Easy to detect fakes, easy to discourage sloppy work. It's about the quality and the results, so the incentive will be to produce the best work regardless of the speed. logtrees will encourage the best work, not the sloppiest.

logtrees··on Carbon negative blockchains via logtrees (rough draft RFC)
This is not a dupe submission because it's an RFC and because it's a Google Drive link. My site got hugged to death.
logtrees··on Denmark will plant 1B trees and convert 10% of farmland into forest
Oh yeah that far into the future is singularity so at that point, what we're all doing is just interfacing with the AI. :) But I think that's still a while away, most likely? Or who knows, maybe sooner lol.
logtrees··on Denmark will plant 1B trees and convert 10% of farmland into forest
Tree logging is one of my favorite new jobs that will exist in the future.
logtrees··on Cost of self hosting Llama-3 8B-Instruct
I don't know enough about networking and that level of configuration to do it confidently and safely yet. I'd rather rely on using credentials where the only real access is some limited command line executables or file transfer, rather than exposing more of the hardware directly to the network for a direct connection. I do have interest in learning this much, but I find that my current FTP/SFTP approach has more guard rails than a direct connection. Do you agree with this or am I just not understanding enough about ipv6 and direct connections home?
logtrees··on Cost of self hosting Llama-3 8B-Instruct
I will try it out, curious to see how it will work with 8gb of memory haha. Thanks for the heads up!
logtrees··on Cost of self hosting Llama-3 8B-Instruct
Whooooaaa that is mind-blowing. Thanks for sharing. <3
logtrees··on Cost of self hosting Llama-3 8B-Instruct
Unfortunately my mac mini isn't beefy enough to run ollama, it's the base model m1 from a couple years ago lol. But it's very powerful for builds, deploys, and some computation via scripts. Now I'm curious to check out how much memory the newest ones support for potentially using ollama on it haha. Thanks!
logtrees··on Cost of self hosting Llama-3 8B-Instruct
Whoa, so you have code running in AWS making use of your local hardware via what is called a reverse SSH tunnel? I will have to look into how that works, that's pretty powerful if so. I have a mac mini that I use for builds and deploys via FTP/SFTP and was going to look into setting up "messaging" via that pipeline to access local hardware compute through file messages lol, but reverse SSH tunnel sounds like it'll be way better for directly calling executables rather than needing to parse messages from files first.
logtrees··on Is Microsoft trying to commit suicide?
I like that you proposed a technical solution like that. The BAT (Basic Attention Token) integration with Brave sort of works that way. I will spend some more time ruminating on it and trying it out as a daily driver approach to see if it is viable anytime soon.

https://brave.com/brave-rewards/

This would work for content, but so far I don't think it would protect developers of digital tools or other works that are more than just content. Like artwork or anything else that can be easily copy-pasted. But I think that you have raised interesting points and I am open-minded about it all and consider this to be an interesting and complex subject without an easy answer. Thanks for your comment!

logtrees··on Is Microsoft trying to commit suicide?
Wouldn't getting rid of digital copyright affect someone who produces the idea and the code, though? By empowering others to just steal their idea and their code.
logtrees··on Is Microsoft trying to commit suicide?
Both.
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