54 karma · joined December 2, 2021
So, a +/- of $3B is a 16% shock to the fertilizer market. That is plus one year of explosives, but if you are going to war, you might need several years, all at once (pow). We are talking about future prices in the grand scheme.
That is in gross, too, we don't know specific chemical or supply bottlenecks: one kink in ammonia might not mean much except for fertilizer production; if ammonia is produced via hydrocarbon extraction, then fertilizer is not only dependent on energy prices, but competing directly with wartime energy supply.
You don't train on music, you train on technique (and practice music, or play).
You were not born with the innate "cognitive ability" to know what these symbols mean, you must train yourself to recognize them, read them in many configurations, iow stay training or go dumb.
The link OP found is the same link between spending extra on education and the expected outcome.
It's b/c this is a money forum when you get down to it, not really a hacker forum, and this is last place that is really going to shake the alter. Disrupting business is just business, nothing radical about it.
I liken this to the paradox of Godel's incompleteness (they couldn't just call it a paradox ;). The Big Bang is like staring into the paradox of the way we calculate most of the universe. Mathematically, there is a big bang in every moment, if you take the parameters far enough.
Big Bangists see this as the origin of the universe, not the the paradox of Quantum Physics.
I am pretty hip to modern AI workings, and that is what I assumed they meant by compute. What I know also tells me that "compute" as a concept is lacking for what we might later call holistic AI, and if, for instance, they are conjecturing strictly SGD proved networks, then I maintain my position that they are merely noodling, with AI and terminology alike.
Intelligence is not entirely computable; nor is occurrence entirely probabilistic. Respectively, there is randomness at work, and dynamic systems that produce novelty.
7. While there is enough room on every street to build a row of houses.
People like to talk of very smart AI but what about the brute force kind? That is what we are making in this era. AI designing AI sounds like a way to make cruel, dumb, machines.
https://erowid.org/library/books_online/pihkal/pihkal023.sht...
My point is, regulators let the businesses protect their assets, without giving people the real information.
Yes, "lab leak" is exactly the phrasing the media uses to diminish the importance, to preclude the asking of more serious questions in light of other evidence. The term is too simple, it does not imply the worse, possibly criminal, involvement. But then, why was it a lab, and not hospital leak? Seems odd place to start for a virus that some guy caught at the fish market.
That virulence (contagiousness) is also evidence though. Yes, an airborne respiratory viruses needs to be more contagious than other types, and a more contagious virus needs to be less deadly, or natural selection is going to do its thing (people die before spreading it). Sars-COV-2 was LESS contagious and more deadly than a typical respiratory virus. That is called evidence.
Manslaughter need not have intent or motive. The actions or consequences that precipitate from powerful leaders of state who bio-engineer weapons (against the law) do not need murder-intent either.
Also, evidence is not fact. Evidence is anything. Evidence was O.J. Simpson's hand didn't fit the glove. That was weak evidence, but that turned into "proof", via not-guilty verdict. Even proof is not fact (there are no facts lol). Evidence is anything you can find to solve the crime. After you collect evidence, you go through it at piece together the story. Read a book yo.
To me, the "strength" of the covid-19 is evidence of successful lab experiments, not a fluke contagion. As the pandemic variants showed, natural evolution of viruses tend toward being less lethal. So why did Sars-Cov-2 start overpowered and get weaker?
As viruses can make the jump from one species to another, then it should not be hard to imagine how easy it would be to engineer that same outcome; that is all "gain of function" experiments do: try to emulate a pipeline for viral mutation.