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lil_dispaches

54 karma · joined December 2, 2021

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lil_dispaches··on Mullvad VPN now accepts Monero payments
When only criminals care about privacy, privacy becomes criminal?
lil_dispaches··on Ask HN: Could the fertilizer shortage be caused by weapons manufacturing?
Explosives are surely up in revenue now (double, triple?) and the world is using about every drop of production for both (as with every supply chain).

So, a +/- of $3B is a 16% shock to the fertilizer market. That is plus one year of explosives, but if you are going to war, you might need several years, all at once (pow). We are talking about future prices in the grand scheme.

That is in gross, too, we don't know specific chemical or supply bottlenecks: one kink in ammonia might not mean much except for fertilizer production; if ammonia is produced via hydrocarbon extraction, then fertilizer is not only dependent on energy prices, but competing directly with wartime energy supply.

lil_dispaches··on Ask HN: Could the fertilizer shortage be caused by weapons manufacturing?
AFAIK, without going nuclear, the biggest booms come from organic chemistry.
lil_dispaches··on Fruits and vegetables are less nutritious than they used to be
Why are fertilizer prices rising? Could it be that fertilizer is the same stuff as gunpowder?
lil_dispaches··on New links found between musical training and cognitive ability
Why is this world so backwards? Humans have musical ability, and cognition requires training (that's opposite of OP).

You don't train on music, you train on technique (and practice music, or play).

You were not born with the innate "cognitive ability" to know what these symbols mean, you must train yourself to recognize them, read them in many configurations, iow stay training or go dumb.

The link OP found is the same link between spending extra on education and the expected outcome.

lil_dispaches··on It Will Be Years Before Raytheon Can Build New Stinger Missiles
I really hope that the U.S. sending these weapons to Ukraine is a clearance on outmoded military technology, not a strategic failure.
lil_dispaches··on How destructive are nuclear weapons really?
If this isn't misinformation, I don't know what is.
lil_dispaches··on Chinese inmates had hearts or lungs removed during executions, study says
Lungs? Do they have a buyer in Wuhan?
lil_dispaches··on Heresy
What is the name for people who call you a heretic? This forum is full of them.
lil_dispaches··on Astronomers just discovered the farthest object in the known universe
I wish. This is my fifth heretical account. They all end up in the ghostbin thanks to anonymous downvotes. Yet I have never cursed, sworn, or made any false allegations, only drawn out it very precise terms what I consider to be the case.

It's b/c this is a money forum when you get down to it, not really a hacker forum, and this is last place that is really going to shake the alter. Disrupting business is just business, nothing radical about it.

lil_dispaches··on Astronomers just discovered the farthest object in the known universe
Yet "physicists" are staring deeper into the paradox with the notion that the image is perfectly logical.
lil_dispaches··on Astronomers just discovered the farthest object in the known universe
When you look through a lens, you will get diffraction around the perimeter. This is the kind of thing you try to reduce, i.e. as an astronomer or optical physicist. But it is there, with any lens, no matter what.

I liken this to the paradox of Godel's incompleteness (they couldn't just call it a paradox ;). The Big Bang is like staring into the paradox of the way we calculate most of the universe. Mathematically, there is a big bang in every moment, if you take the parameters far enough.

Big Bangists see this as the origin of the universe, not the the paradox of Quantum Physics.

lil_dispaches··on Microplastics found in live human lung tissue
My feeling is that the cosmetics industry has a lot to do with micro-plastics. Where does the glitter go?
lil_dispaches··on Some AI Systems May Be Impossible to Compute
Thanks. What reason do they give that these network weights cannot be computed?

I am pretty hip to modern AI workings, and that is what I assumed they meant by compute. What I know also tells me that "compute" as a concept is lacking for what we might later call holistic AI, and if, for instance, they are conjecturing strictly SGD proved networks, then I maintain my position that they are merely noodling, with AI and terminology alike.

Intelligence is not entirely computable; nor is occurrence entirely probabilistic. Respectively, there is randomness at work, and dynamic systems that produce novelty.

lil_dispaches··on Alright, amigo, let's build some affordable housing
6. Today, automobiles are housing a lot more people than any "homeless" numbers give.

7. While there is enough room on every street to build a row of houses.

lil_dispaches··on The Scottish Play
See also "break a leg".
lil_dispaches··on The singularity is close?
"AI will design AGI"

People like to talk of very smart AI but what about the brute force kind? That is what we are making in this era. AI designing AI sounds like a way to make cruel, dumb, machines.

lil_dispaches··on Some AI Systems May Be Impossible to Compute
It is terrible, they literally can't explain what they mean. They don't say what it means to "compute the A.I. network". Makes me think it is a bogus story, some academic runoff.
lil_dispaches··on Phenethylamines I Have Known and Loved (1991)
Maybe you were looking for 2c-d "the tofu of drugs"? I would be >_>

https://erowid.org/library/books_online/pihkal/pihkal023.sht...

lil_dispaches··on How is portable AM radio possible?
Was the answer harmonics?
lil_dispaches··on Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging?
Did you notice Google's monopoly over online ads? Competitors can't make money. It's literally called anti-competitive.
lil_dispaches··on A new tool for finding dark matter digs up nothing
I know how to build a dream catcher.
lil_dispaches··on Are “safe” levels of air pollution safe?
I am sure the regulators are not being totally honest. My folks in CA live in a gated condo residence, where recently Prop 65 signs in giant metal placards have been posted at the entrance, with the warning that "cigarette smoke and cooking gas" might be polluting the area and giving you cancer. No mention of open air garages under every building, the nearby highways, etc.

My point is, regulators let the businesses protect their assets, without giving people the real information.

lil_dispaches··on I’m not convinced by the new lab leak debunking
Okay, well accidentally killng people as a result of bioengineering is war crime, if not a crime Alameda County.

Yes, "lab leak" is exactly the phrasing the media uses to diminish the importance, to preclude the asking of more serious questions in light of other evidence. The term is too simple, it does not imply the worse, possibly criminal, involvement. But then, why was it a lab, and not hospital leak? Seems odd place to start for a virus that some guy caught at the fish market.

lil_dispaches··on I’m not convinced by the new lab leak debunking
You have deep experience with viruses, via your biology. Science knows very little about virology, if you learned nothing but that from the pandemic. Your intuition is actually quite strong, as your whole body is a fractal complex of nature itself.
lil_dispaches··on I’m not convinced by the new lab leak debunking
Virulence is not the only parameter. Damage caused by the disease is obviously more important. And in that case Sars-Cov-2 is way overpowered compared to previous coronaviruses.

That virulence (contagiousness) is also evidence though. Yes, an airborne respiratory viruses needs to be more contagious than other types, and a more contagious virus needs to be less deadly, or natural selection is going to do its thing (people die before spreading it). Sars-COV-2 was LESS contagious and more deadly than a typical respiratory virus. That is called evidence.

lil_dispaches··on MasterCard suspends all services in Russia
Ya, and the oil companies too are not simply pausing, but leaving large investments in the field.
lil_dispaches··on I’m not convinced by the new lab leak debunking
The first illegal thing would be the act of making it in the lab, not the release, accidental or not.

Manslaughter need not have intent or motive. The actions or consequences that precipitate from powerful leaders of state who bio-engineer weapons (against the law) do not need murder-intent either.

lil_dispaches··on I’m not convinced by the new lab leak debunking
Is there somehow more evidence of natural origin than lab leak? By common sense, this is what I mean: the strain of coronavirus that caused covid-19 was very strong, much stronger than any previous strain, and we have seen many. Common sense says we have seen all the strains Nature could throw at us already, and none have been that deadly. So common sense leads to looking for evidence i new light, in new places.

Also, evidence is not fact. Evidence is anything. Evidence was O.J. Simpson's hand didn't fit the glove. That was weak evidence, but that turned into "proof", via not-guilty verdict. Even proof is not fact (there are no facts lol). Evidence is anything you can find to solve the crime. After you collect evidence, you go through it at piece together the story. Read a book yo.

lil_dispaches··on I’m not convinced by the new lab leak debunking
Accidental release or not, if they were attempting gain-of-function, which is bio-engineering, and they succeeded, that deserves inquiry. Especially if U.S. leadership, WHO, or NGOs were involved.

To me, the "strength" of the covid-19 is evidence of successful lab experiments, not a fluke contagion. As the pandemic variants showed, natural evolution of viruses tend toward being less lethal. So why did Sars-Cov-2 start overpowered and get weaker?

As viruses can make the jump from one species to another, then it should not be hard to imagine how easy it would be to engineer that same outcome; that is all "gain of function" experiments do: try to emulate a pipeline for viral mutation.

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