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learc83

13,583 karma · joined April 23, 2011

I'm a programmer and founder with experience ranging from web development to embedded systems and network programming.

Currently working as a principal engineer for a unicorn supply chain startup.

learc83@gmail.com

https://github.com/learc83/

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learc83··on Heavy is the Head that wears the AirPods Max
For one headphone maybe, but I’m finding it harder to imagine a maneuver to grab one from each ear while you run past someone.
learc83··on The Airbnbs
> In the case of Airbnb, what was the social norm? Staying in a hotel?

The social norm is the expectation that your neighbors won’t be running a hotel next door.

learc83··on First person receives Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine in UK
I have no idea what goes on in Greece or what incentive people would have to do that. But excess death numbers are higher than COVID deaths everywhere, so the numbers aren't likely that far off.

Also my fiancee, an ER doctor, assures me that this isn't the case in the US.

learc83··on Coronavirus Could Push More Than 1B People to Extreme Poverty
Tipping severs is the way our society works. By eating at table service restaurant you are implying that you are going to pay the server despite the fact that you have no intention to do so. It’s no different than your manager dicking you around by saying you’ll probably get a raise if you work overtime despite having no intention to do so.

Rationalize all you want, but you’re acting like a huge asshole.

If you are morally opposed to tipping, eat takeout or at a counter serve restaurant.

learc83··on First person receives Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine in UK
"the data they've seen so far is inconclusive" has connotations that I don't think the FDA has implied officially or unofficially.
learc83··on First person receives Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine in UK
The study didn't control for the differences in the vaccinated and unvaccinated groups. Children with chronic medical conditions are more likely to be vaccinated, and some preliminary reports show a correlation between medical conditions that indicate flu vaccination and narcolepsy [1]. And from what I can tell, the control group didn't exclude kids vaccinated with other H1N1 vaccines.

Because of that, that study can't say that the 4x higher number is the relative risk of taking Pandermrix.

There are also issues with potential over diagnosis and recall bias because of public awareness of the issue through the media [1].

The real problem is that this effect is so small, not that the effect takes years to develop. We're talking 4 cases of narcolepsy per 100k kids. Even a 10 year long study of 30k Phase 3 vaccine participants is unlikely to discover something like that.

Nearly all new drugs that are released could have similar side effects. It's just not feasible to conduct studies large enough to discover them until you start rolling it out to millions of people.

1.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4962758/

learc83··on Tech elites leaving San Francisco threaten Silicon Valley's supremacy
Look at a map of national parks. Most of the population of the US is within driving distance of a national park.

The Appalachian mountain range stretches from GA to Maine, and contains dozens of state and national parks that people travel across the country to see. Nearly the entire eastern seaboard is within range of one of them.

The only part that isn’t is Florida, and they have better beaches than California, swamps, lakes, and massive crystal clear springs.

learc83··on First person receives Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine in UK
That's true. States seems to be split on 60 vs 65 as the age cutoff for healthy adults.
learc83··on First person receives Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine in UK
It was less than a year before people started reporting it, and it took less than 2 years before a study was released by the Swedish health agency warning of increased narcolepsy risk in Children--not 4.

Also the increased rate of narcolepsy was 0.005%. That's why it took several months before anyone noticed it.

Additionally the flu itself can cause the same kind of narcolepsy, which means that this vaccine was worse than other vaccines, but still potentially better than no vaccine at all.

learc83··on First person receives Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine in UK
The FDA set a meeting date for December 10th, that was at least somewhat arbitrary. They reportedly had no one working for 4 days during Thanksgiving break, so It's likely they could have just worked through Thanksgiving and had that meeting last week if they'd wanted to.
learc83··on First person receives Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine in UK
Pretty much every state has a publicly available vaccine plan that you can read. The variance is pretty big even though it mostly follows the same progression. My stepdad can get the vaccine in phase 1b in his state, but not my mom. The state over from her my mom could get it in phase 1b, but not my stepdad.

My fiancée's parent's can't get it until phase 3 in their state, but they could both get it in phase 1b in my parent's state.

learc83··on First person receives Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine in UK
The US vaccination plan is state by state. In many states people working in food service and grocery stores, people under 60 who are overweight, have high blood pressure, asthma etc... will be offered the vaccine in phase 2. It’s not just doctors and the elderly, it’s a huge chunk of the population.

And depending on how many people actually want the vaccine and how many are approved it’s possible that healthy, under 65, non essential workers could start being offered the vaccine.

learc83··on With Proton and Steam Play, many Windows games now work on Linux
If steam would give me the ability to make it so that reviews from users on "unsupported" platforms didn't impact my score I'd be a lot more willing to do that.
learc83··on Tech elites leaving San Francisco threaten Silicon Valley's supremacy
>Other suburby places with nature easily accessible usually have a more spartan retail experience and sometimes the mail/Amazon doesn't work so well.

Most suburbs of decent sized cities on the east coast have 2 day Amazon shipping, even the ones close to national parks. And the mail works fine in basically any suburban area.

learc83··on The Game UI Database, a comprehensive reference of game interface design
I’ve worked with dozens of “UX designers” and they are almost always just graphic designers who realized that they can make more money calling themselves UX designers.

Most of them don’t do much user testing, and the ones that do seem to use user testing just to provide support for their preexisting ideas.

Real UX experts, and real rigorous UX design methods exist because I’ve taken classes in grad school that teach them. But it’s basically impossible to find people who know how to do that in the sea of graphic designers calling themselves UX experts.

learc83··on Computer Science Degree – Is it worthy it? Should You Get it?
Freshman English classes are generally English composition classes not literature classes. More often that not they have nothing to do with Marxist literary critique.

If you think that English composition shouldn't be taught in college, you clearly haven't ready many undergraduate essays. It's fine for you to think that this information should be remedial. Looking at the writing of "normal" students, it clearly isn't.

Also most schools offer a CLEP exam for English composition, so if you consider the information remedial, you can easily skip it.

learc83··on Computer Science Degree – Is it worthy it? Should You Get it?
That’s fine now, but times change, and you change. Are you going to be happy after 20 years doing grunt work?

Even if you are, the industry advances, and that kind of grunt work has a history of being automated away. Web masters probably felt the same way.

You don’t need to get another degree, but since you have the math background, it wouldn’t be that hard to spend some time on CS fundamentals.

learc83··on Computer Science Degree – Is it worthy it? Should You Get it?
I was never required to write Marxist literary criticisms of poetry. I learned rhetoric. I learned to write clearly and concisely, and I learned to write persuasively.

Correct grammar is not sufficient for effective communication.

learc83··on “I've had to relearn coding to get through the new interviews”
Moving work to lower level practitioners is functionally equivalent to reducing physician requirements.

Of course companies are going to do anything they can to reduce prices. And of course the industry is going to put out flattering white papers in support of their cost cost cutting measures. Yet those reduced costs haven't been passed on to consumers or measurably improved medical care, so the argument merely that the industry is doing something is a poor argument in favor of it from a consumer/public health/societal standpoint.

Some companies love to outsource labor to countries with relaxed labor laws. That isn't a convincing argument against the need for labor regulations.

learc83··on “I've had to relearn coding to get through the new interviews”
> Doctors _should_ be a dime a dozen. They should not cost so much - because their services are valuable and therefore, more of them should be produced to make medical costs lower.

Physician salaries make up about 8% of medical costs. And even if you doubled medical school class size, you wouldn’t get 2x the doctors because there aren’t enough resident slots available.

And even if you had enough slots available, you’d still need to guarantee high salaries afterwards. Most people who are smart/driven enough to be doctors aren’t going to work 80-100 hours in a high stress position for 3 years if they are only going to come out making $80k.

So the only way to drastically increases (3x,4x) the supply of doctors is to drastically decrease the standard of training.

So you reduce residency down to 1 year and you triple the number of doctors. Now you’ve reduced the quality of doctors, and you save people less 5% in healthcare costs, but no one even notices because that number gets drowned out by the continued rise in the other 92% of healthcare costs.

learc83··on Baby girl born from record-setting 27-year-old embryo
Storing sequences in your phonological loop is a common tactic. Not sure whether it relates to ADHD or not.

You can do it sub vocally without making sound.

learc83··on Computer Science Degree – Is it worthy it? Should You Get it?
I worked as a programmer for 7 years before I went back for my CS degree. It was 100% worth it just to fill in the gaps.

A CS decree gave me building blocks to solve problems that has made me a much better developer.

learc83··on Salesforce Deal to Buy Slack Expected to Be Announced Tuesday After Market Close
Pretty sure that's a legal decision. The cheapest slack plan comes with unlimited backups from what I know.
learc83··on No one who got Moderna's vaccine in trial developed severe Covid-19
1. The median age of death at 79, and 50% of people have 3+ diseases doesn't imply that "Nearly all of the people who die from COVID had a life expectancy of < 1 year" as you say. Those 3+ diseases you mention include diabetes, high blood pressure, and obesity etc... Diseases that people commonly live with for decades. The median remaining lifespan of a person who dies of COVID has been estimated to be around 12 years [1,2].

2. Lets say you are correct and 90% of people who die of COVID would have died within 1 year. And let's assume that you have some magic PR method that will convince 100% of the population that this is true.

That means that COVID is still more deadly than the Flu, and some large percentage of people will still choose to remain home, stop traveling, stop eating out etc...

These people will continue to damage the economy until an effective vaccine is available. And even in your scenario a vaccine that is 95% effective will still save millions of lives.

An effective vaccine will save lives, and it will improve the economy. There is no logical reason to deny that fact.

[1] https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/5-75 [2] https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.08.20050559v...

learc83··on No one who got Moderna's vaccine in trial developed severe Covid-19
Those 2 numbers aren’t comparable.

A 1% death rate with a disease as contagious as COVID means more than 50 million dead globally at some point (not everyone will get it but the majority will eventually).

Near universal vaccination with a vaccine that is 95% effective at preventing severe cases means saving 47.5 million lives in that scenario. Despite the disease having a 99% survival rate.

If the vaccine provides sterilizing immunity (or just reduces your ability to pass it on), it could save more, and wouldn’t even require universal vaccination to do so.

Furthermore, people are staying home voluntarily in many places. An effective vaccine will alleviate their fears and help the economy. In a way that telling people not to worry about a <1% chance or death will not.

learc83··on Matestack – Reactive UIs in pure Ruby
Go to the Blazor homepage. Right there on the front page--the 2nd bullet point is "Run on WebAssembly or the server".

Most people I've talked to using Blazor are in fact using Blazor server not Blazor WASM.

learc83··on It's only fake-believe: how to deal with a conspiracy theorist
They do release the details—-both to the FDA (and the equivalent organizations in dozens of other countries) and in their patent applications.

But if you want to base medical decisions on an ill fitting analogy because it sounds catchy, then go ahead.

As for your article, the phase 3 trials for COVID vaccines can’t be cherry picked because they were registered before hand with preselected success criteria, and they have been intensely followed by the media.

learc83··on Matestack – Reactive UIs in pure Ruby
1. Being too large for constrained bandwidth networks hardly makes it a non starter for anything performance sensitive unless you have a very narrow definition of performance.

2. 2MB includes bootstrap CSS and they are working on getting that number down.

3. 2MB is only the Wasm version of Blazor. You don’t have to use that version if it doesn’t fit your use case.

learc83··on The Tyranny of Merit
No they probably don’t. That’s one side of the argument.
learc83··on When tipping was considered un-American (2015)
For a server to underreport 40% of their income they would need to be making a good bit more than that in cash. Especially when you consider that they are making some money hourly as well.

I find it highly unlikely that a server is making anywhere near 60% or so of their tips in cash these days.

Maybe there are a few locations with that high of a mix of cash, but not enough for that to be anywhere near normal.

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