13,583 karma · joined April 23, 2011
Currently working as a principal engineer for a unicorn supply chain startup.
learc83@gmail.com
https://github.com/learc83/
The social norm is the expectation that your neighbors won’t be running a hotel next door.
Also my fiancee, an ER doctor, assures me that this isn't the case in the US.
Rationalize all you want, but you’re acting like a huge asshole.
If you are morally opposed to tipping, eat takeout or at a counter serve restaurant.
Because of that, that study can't say that the 4x higher number is the relative risk of taking Pandermrix.
There are also issues with potential over diagnosis and recall bias because of public awareness of the issue through the media [1].
The real problem is that this effect is so small, not that the effect takes years to develop. We're talking 4 cases of narcolepsy per 100k kids. Even a 10 year long study of 30k Phase 3 vaccine participants is unlikely to discover something like that.
Nearly all new drugs that are released could have similar side effects. It's just not feasible to conduct studies large enough to discover them until you start rolling it out to millions of people.
The Appalachian mountain range stretches from GA to Maine, and contains dozens of state and national parks that people travel across the country to see. Nearly the entire eastern seaboard is within range of one of them.
The only part that isn’t is Florida, and they have better beaches than California, swamps, lakes, and massive crystal clear springs.
Also the increased rate of narcolepsy was 0.005%. That's why it took several months before anyone noticed it.
Additionally the flu itself can cause the same kind of narcolepsy, which means that this vaccine was worse than other vaccines, but still potentially better than no vaccine at all.
My fiancée's parent's can't get it until phase 3 in their state, but they could both get it in phase 1b in my parent's state.
And depending on how many people actually want the vaccine and how many are approved it’s possible that healthy, under 65, non essential workers could start being offered the vaccine.
Most suburbs of decent sized cities on the east coast have 2 day Amazon shipping, even the ones close to national parks. And the mail works fine in basically any suburban area.
Most of them don’t do much user testing, and the ones that do seem to use user testing just to provide support for their preexisting ideas.
Real UX experts, and real rigorous UX design methods exist because I’ve taken classes in grad school that teach them. But it’s basically impossible to find people who know how to do that in the sea of graphic designers calling themselves UX experts.
If you think that English composition shouldn't be taught in college, you clearly haven't ready many undergraduate essays. It's fine for you to think that this information should be remedial. Looking at the writing of "normal" students, it clearly isn't.
Also most schools offer a CLEP exam for English composition, so if you consider the information remedial, you can easily skip it.
Even if you are, the industry advances, and that kind of grunt work has a history of being automated away. Web masters probably felt the same way.
You don’t need to get another degree, but since you have the math background, it wouldn’t be that hard to spend some time on CS fundamentals.
Correct grammar is not sufficient for effective communication.
Of course companies are going to do anything they can to reduce prices. And of course the industry is going to put out flattering white papers in support of their cost cost cutting measures. Yet those reduced costs haven't been passed on to consumers or measurably improved medical care, so the argument merely that the industry is doing something is a poor argument in favor of it from a consumer/public health/societal standpoint.
Some companies love to outsource labor to countries with relaxed labor laws. That isn't a convincing argument against the need for labor regulations.
Physician salaries make up about 8% of medical costs. And even if you doubled medical school class size, you wouldn’t get 2x the doctors because there aren’t enough resident slots available.
And even if you had enough slots available, you’d still need to guarantee high salaries afterwards. Most people who are smart/driven enough to be doctors aren’t going to work 80-100 hours in a high stress position for 3 years if they are only going to come out making $80k.
So the only way to drastically increases (3x,4x) the supply of doctors is to drastically decrease the standard of training.
So you reduce residency down to 1 year and you triple the number of doctors. Now you’ve reduced the quality of doctors, and you save people less 5% in healthcare costs, but no one even notices because that number gets drowned out by the continued rise in the other 92% of healthcare costs.
You can do it sub vocally without making sound.
A CS decree gave me building blocks to solve problems that has made me a much better developer.
2. Lets say you are correct and 90% of people who die of COVID would have died within 1 year. And let's assume that you have some magic PR method that will convince 100% of the population that this is true.
That means that COVID is still more deadly than the Flu, and some large percentage of people will still choose to remain home, stop traveling, stop eating out etc...
These people will continue to damage the economy until an effective vaccine is available. And even in your scenario a vaccine that is 95% effective will still save millions of lives.
An effective vaccine will save lives, and it will improve the economy. There is no logical reason to deny that fact.
[1] https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/5-75 [2] https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.08.20050559v...
A 1% death rate with a disease as contagious as COVID means more than 50 million dead globally at some point (not everyone will get it but the majority will eventually).
Near universal vaccination with a vaccine that is 95% effective at preventing severe cases means saving 47.5 million lives in that scenario. Despite the disease having a 99% survival rate.
If the vaccine provides sterilizing immunity (or just reduces your ability to pass it on), it could save more, and wouldn’t even require universal vaccination to do so.
Furthermore, people are staying home voluntarily in many places. An effective vaccine will alleviate their fears and help the economy. In a way that telling people not to worry about a <1% chance or death will not.
Most people I've talked to using Blazor are in fact using Blazor server not Blazor WASM.
But if you want to base medical decisions on an ill fitting analogy because it sounds catchy, then go ahead.
As for your article, the phase 3 trials for COVID vaccines can’t be cherry picked because they were registered before hand with preselected success criteria, and they have been intensely followed by the media.
2. 2MB includes bootstrap CSS and they are working on getting that number down.
3. 2MB is only the Wasm version of Blazor. You don’t have to use that version if it doesn’t fit your use case.
I find it highly unlikely that a server is making anywhere near 60% or so of their tips in cash these days.
Maybe there are a few locations with that high of a mix of cash, but not enough for that to be anywhere near normal.