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knuppar

143 karma · joined March 12, 2020

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knuppar··on Anthropic's IPO prospectus shows AI vision, surging costs
Factor in their margin being chewed through with every open model release.

That spending obligation sounds extremely unlikely to be fulfilled without a bailout. Anthropic's IPO is them passing the hot potato forward.

knuppar··on When did Google get so weird?
most sociable redditor lol
knuppar··on Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes
being a bit more specific: the sample efficiency of humans is orders of magnitude larger for more abstract concepts. the same doesn't hold for memory-intensive tasks though (like any kind of trivia), but that only takes you so far.
knuppar··on Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes
Short and to the point! Open and cheap models will undercut the big labs continuously. The blast radius won't be pretty once spending commitments knock the door.
knuppar··on Anthropic boss Dario Amodei calls for AI development to slow down
I'm gonna repeat my comment from months ago, still true

> Jesus Dario we get it man, you want clout for the IPO.

knuppar··on The Waymo effect: how AI is quietly making research less collaborative
> It’s making me want to be a lot less collaborative with such individuals. I don’t want to sit around and refute Claude text outputs all day.

I echo the sentiment. It's frustrating to try to collaborate with a Claude/ChatGPT meat proxy.

You can write a very thoughtful two-line question over 5 minutes and get a 5 page design doc back in a minute.

knuppar··on Gemini 3.7 Flash
the race for the smartest/cheapest model is a race to the bottom. selling the tools is much more profitable.
knuppar··on DeepSeek V4 Flash 0731 Intelligence, Performance and Price Analysis
same. been running it in a dgx spark and it slaps
knuppar··on Our position on open-weights models
Jesus Dario we get it man, you want clout for the IPO.

This constant whining from anthropic about distillation attacks continues to be rich given the amount of stolen data that went into any Claude variant.

knuppar··on Claude Opus 5
both companies have large spending commitments while their margins will be continuously wiped by open models / router-like solutions. both companies are rushing for ipo and doing an awful lot of financial engineering to look good (highly recommend ed zitrons analysis on anthropic profitability) before their margins are eroded that much.
knuppar··on Claude Opus 5
feels almost like anthropic is desperate for ipo huh

i think we'll see one of the fastest deflations in history post anthropic/oai ipo

knuppar··on GPT‑Live
i mean you chose to be irritated by it ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
knuppar··on The deadly rise of giant trucks and SUVs
if that was true, we'd see the same pedestrian mortality rise everywhere, which we don't.
knuppar··on Unauthorized alert sent to cell phones across Brazil
doideira
knuppar··on Unauthorized alert sent to cell phones across Brazil
misantropia é um perigo rapaziada
knuppar··on How to earn a billion dollars
> I've got kids, I want people creating start ups they can work in, the alternative is too grim.

got some bad news for ya pal

knuppar··on Rio de Janeiro's "homegrown" LLM appears to be a merge of an existing model
muamba garai
knuppar··on Rio de Janeiro's "homegrown" LLM appears to be a merge of an existing model
that's just a lie lol, stop spreading misinformation
knuppar··on Googlebook
On the spot. A lot of replies in this thread which outline "useful" AI features fail to acknowledge the same: this is hackernews, and it's a very specific and non representative slice of the population.
knuppar··on Permacomputing Principles
This sounds like a fence sitter take. Everything is political and not acknowledging that is part of the problem.
knuppar··on Make your own microforest (2025)
ambrook is one of those doing the devil's work. critical small-medium agriculture infra picking a dependency in a venture backed NYC startup... sigh

my dream is that their lunch is eaten by oss

knuppar··on Claude.ai unavailable and elevated errors on the API
I guess mythos can't solve this one...
knuppar··on Why one of the largest digital banks chose Clojure [video]
ah the distant past of writing services in clj and having a crazy good repl :)
knuppar··on 'The Secret Agent': Exploring a Vibrant, yet Violent Brazil (2025)
> I interpreted it as people making up stories so that they didn't have to face the truth.

That's a very plausible interpretation. I grew up hearing about this myth :p

knuppar··on 'The Secret Agent': Exploring a Vibrant, yet Violent Brazil (2025)
yeah suddenly perna cabeluda was cool but it did feel a bit random :p
knuppar··on US Job Market Visualizer
you're not factoring in a few specific things:

1) how many of these people leave the country in this analysis.

2) OPTs likely will get h1b/l1s/leave the country and are being counted distinctly.

3) not all h1b/l1/OPTs are for tech. majority for sure, but there's a conversation factor.

specially in the current situation that green cards are much harder to obtain and many OPTs don't find a job, I expect 1 to be much larger than in the past.

as a more general observation, this line of reasoning does fit lump of labor fallacies: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lump_of_labour_fallacy

knuppar··on Claude Code, Claude Cowork and Codex #5
how cooked do you have to be to synthesize that sentence without universal healthcare and an enormous chunk of the population living paycheck to paycheck
knuppar··on I am directing the Department of War to designate Anthropic a supply-chain risk
Really hoping for an official statement from oai. If all large llms are a supply risk, I guess it's a crash
knuppar··on Canada slashes 100% tariffs on Chinese EVs to 6%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red_herring
knuppar··on Canada slashes 100% tariffs on Chinese EVs to 6%
If you think those actions are not illegal I'm stopping to reply, this is clearly just ragebait.
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