(I'm not quite ready to do a Show HN yet, so please don't post it, but I'm ready for some early feedback if you'll indulge me)
13,679 karma · joined August 10, 2007
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(I'm not quite ready to do a Show HN yet, so please don't post it, but I'm ready for some early feedback if you'll indulge me)
I wish I had your optimism:
> Adam Neumann’s Flow raises over $100M at $2.5B valuation Backed by a16z, the ex-WeWork CEO's real estate platform targets global expansion. (2025)
I especially enjoyed "Seeing Like a State"
- Enabling 2fa in my accounts has solved this problem for me
- I hear that hardware security tokens are even better to get Google to not worry that you're an imposter, but I haven't done that myself
Probably because they're not continuous?
- https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/toxcancel/
- https://chromewebstore.google.com/detail/xcancelcom-redirect...
Unfortunately(?) you can't: https://news.ycombinator.com/formatdoc
Two ways. Gradually, then suddenly.
- Ernest Hemingway, The Sun Also Rises
I'd love to hear your informed take on this.
If it really is slow, how is it so successful?
[1] https://futurism.com/former-ceo-uber-ai
[2] If you need /s here to be sure, perhaps it's time for some introspection
Never attribute to stupidity that which is adequately explained by grift.
When proposing a model for evaluating startup investments -- or any decision-making framework -- it’s useful to run a kind of regression test.
Would Shark Tank have funded the most successful startups of the past decade? In many cases, no. They famously passed on companies like Airbnb, Uber, and Dropbox early on (sometimes indirectly via pitch decks or missed introductions), and even directly rejected DoorDash and Cameo, both of which went on to become unicorns. In other cases, they offered terms that, if accepted, would likely have made follow-on funding difficult.
That doesn't mean every GenAI deal today is wise. But pointing to Shark Tank as a benchmark for rational investing is a very selective filter. Historically, it’s missed more home runs than it’s hit.