2,766 karma · joined November 23, 2008
The PC era, call it 1975-2005, was one of the greatest wealth creation events in history, was characterized by the cost of the underlying commodity dropping mercilessly for the whole time. Each time it did, the space of problem you could solve with a PC would increase, to the point that by the end, they were both replacing mainframes and powering users who do nothing but chat and post cat pictures.
Could there be a correction in the short run? Quite possibly. I think an underestimated last mile problem is just the massive weight of bureaucracy and human process inertia. But in the long run, cheap, efficient intelligence is a new engineering capability that we've just begun to even explore.
I said, “Always remember that the company is not your friend. I don’t mean your boss or your coworkers, they might well be or become your friend. I mean the company itself. If all is well, it may be an excellent ally, but the company can and sometimes will turn on you in an instant if its goals change. Your boss’s job, even if they are your friend, is ultimately to serve the company.
Go out there, work hard, have fun, but put your needs first in the bigger picture.”
AI coding, for all its flaws now, is the first thing that takes a chunk out of this, and there is a HUGE backlog of good-but-not-great ideas that are now viable.
That said, this particular story is bogus. He "just wrote the tests" but that's a spec — implementing from a quality executable spec is much more straightforward. Deepseek isn't doing the design, he is. Still a massive accelerant.