2,065 karma · joined September 16, 2021
Which is to say, not that fast.
It's funny because we're once again speed running what the best practices already are!
I sometimes see people reviewing LLM code leaving the same review comments multiple times, or worse, after some time they just give up reviewing.
Tourist visas are nonimmigrant visas. So are H1B visas.
Was the comment edited?
I see people one shot stuff and it makes no sense, is completely fake half the time, just like you point out.
It should be the case that Codex and Claude Code should incorporate this kind of thing automatically at some point.
Maybe it'll take 10 years or 20 years. <5 years is not long enough for manufacturing to catch up.
Not much of a comment on the phone stuff but I'd caution against suggesting technology will never be good enough to do X. Maybe it'll be horrendously wasteful but it might happen.
It is in fact normal for new technologies to be adopted, and for there to be no cycle where the technology just disappears. There was no Internet winter or railroad winter, not in the same way there was an AI winter where AI just went away.
Those technologies had valuation bubbles but the technologies themselves stuck around and changed the world beyond recognition. If someone sees the rate of change and thinks it'll stop for...some reason, then they're the ones who believe things are different this time.
Here's a source, although it isn't that detailed and is more of a descriptive literature review: https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/103581...
This too: https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/2025/07/oecd-employment... - but I didn't have time to read it in detail.
I don't think anyone believes labor mobility reduces productivity.
The frictions we're talking about, like health insurance being tied to an employer, make things worse for families anyway - getting rid of the distortionary regulations that cause that can only be a good thing.
Now if you ask them if AI is making their lives better, they might say they don't know.
I literally don't know anyone who "hates" AI.
It does and that's what's happening.
(2) Are you saying that you think we're at the limits of computing in general, or that specific technology?
We know, for example, that a human brain level intelligence is possible to run on a human brain. We are nowhere near that. And actually that's not even a physical limit necessarily.
But that is...not a low hanging fruit.
There isn't any way to forget to drop a resource if you have RAII.
Try X finally dispose of all resources. X, defer clean up X. Or how about just X and cleanup is done automatically, with the author of the resources deciding what is needed to clean X up.
I like the idea of the story, and cool ideas can be engrossing on their own.
But well written this ain't.
There is nothing about the bitter lesson that says just be dumb and pour money into a hole, you still have to invent the methods to scale well, and being under immense pressure with constraints seems likely to produce that research.
I throw a bucket of chum into the water and walk away, putting my headphones on.
Well I did take the time to help, better than nothing, right?
If it weren't claudeslop, it would still have to be marketing corposlop.
Your point is well taken and very reasonable though.
If the next pandemic is 50% deadly, not being able to make gloves is surely the canary in the coal mine proving we wouldn't be able to make any other PPE.
And no country can rely on another if it's do or die. Other blocs will keep to themselves.
It's a demo of how easy it is to make even an ESP32 device available globally with iroh.
Not saying this is wrong or that I've watched all of the lectures above or anything, but it's just funny to imagine that aliens might look at us the same way we could look at a monkey society saying that the universe is like a big one of those rocks they use to smash nuts open.
Computation and information really does seem universal though, so this is just a funny thought and not serious commentary.
Are people actually using AI to do programmatic refactors over million line codebases directly? That is far more insane.
Using AI to write ruff rules or clang-tidy rules with fixes is literally the same thing and obviously best practice over running AI in a pre-commit hook to do those checks and refactors...