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justapassenger

6,234 karma · joined July 23, 2016

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justapassenger··on Majority of CEOs report zero payoff from AI splurge
It's part dysfunction for sure, but it's mostly just reality being messy. Anyone who worked on a bigger engineering problem, solving real business problem, learns very quickly that reality is messy and doesn't conform to rules. And that's usually main challenge of building any project.

And it's problem specific to software engineering. Any engineering deals with it - when you manufacture physical things, for example, tolerances, safety factors, etc, are all tools to deal with reality being messy.

justapassenger··on Lock-Picking Robot
This is the lock picking robot and what I have for you today is a github repo.
justapassenger··on OpenAI's Sora now sits at #71 in the US App Store and #108 on Play Store
Explicit AI slop isn’t very desirable. But tricking people into thinking that AI slop is real is, sadly, mostly desirable.

Sora fading may just reinforce that companies need to continue to focus on sneaking in AI slop manifesting as content to drive adoption.

justapassenger··on Fabrice Bellard: Biography (2009) [pdf]
He’s one of the GOATs, but this article is written by someone who has no idea about software engineering and full of exaggerations as a result. For example:

> Many times there are certain chunks which will occur many times in the code of a program. Instead of taking the time to translate them all separately, QEMU stores the chunks and their native translation, next time simply executing the native translation instead of doing translation a second time. Thus, Bellard invented the first processor emulator that could achieve near native performance in certain instances.

JIT is about as old as Fabrice, or even older depending on what you consider a modern JIT.

justapassenger··on Meta is using the Linux scheduler designed for Valve's Steam Deck on its servers
Like them or not - when it comes to the Linux kernel they are one of the biggest contributors for many years now.
justapassenger··on iOS 26.3 brings AirPods-like pairing to third-party devices in EU under DMA
Apple is not really interested in giving you nice features that makes it easier for you to escape their ecosystem and have Apple make less money.
justapassenger··on United 777-200 fleet faces an uncertain future after Dulles engine failure
Flying everywhere is degraded experience - no need to argue if Europe or US is worse.

Most of flights today are glorified busses, with less room, that just happen to have wings attached and staff trying to sell you things.

justapassenger··on United 777-200 fleet faces an uncertain future after Dulles engine failure
I wouldn't hold my breath for it. It was suppose to be released in 2020. It's end of 2025 and current release date is 2027 (and who knows if it'll be pushed back again).
justapassenger··on Oracle made a $300B bet on OpenAI. It's paying the price
Oracle has been selling large enterprise contracts for many decades and those enterprises were looking to migrate off Oracle since then too (I've been working on a project like that almost 20 years ago, at my first real job).
justapassenger··on Apple Services Experiencing Outage
1. About 25% of their service revenue is from charging commissions in app store and other 25% of the revenue is Google paying them for search default. Other services include things like insurance (applecare) That's not exactly same type services that most of the people would be thinking about.

2. A lot of their services have less criticality (and it's not a ding at them - it's often very explicit design choice).

3. App store having hiccups or iCloud backups being delayed it's not something that will usually gather enough attention of media.

justapassenger··on Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now
Engagement.
justapassenger··on Microsoft increases Office 365 and Microsoft 365 license prices
Yes, bugs in sheets are worst part of excel, by far.

But many end users prefer dealing with bugs than with inflexible software that doesn’t understand all the different ways how real world is messy and hard to model.

I hate using Excel. But I 100% understand why world runs on it.

justapassenger··on Microsoft increases Office 365 and Microsoft 365 license prices
Yes, there's many many cases that should likely not be using Excel.

But given that Excel is the second-best tool for everything, world runs on it.

And when you try to build systems to replace Excel for a specific task, you quickly learn how extremely powerful Excel is and how hard is to replace it and add value that customers would care about.

justapassenger··on Microsoft drops AI sales targets in half after salespeople miss their quotas
AI is people looking at EV hype and saying - I'll 100x it.

It has all the same components, just on much higher scale:

1. Billionaire con-man convincing large part of market and industry (Altman in AI vs Musk in EV) that new tech will take over in few years.

2. Insane valuations not supported by an actual ROI.

3. Very interesting and amazing underlying technology.

4. Governments jumping on the hype and enabling it.

justapassenger··on Court filings allege Meta downplayed risks to children and misled the public
We can also solve global warming problems by banning oil, coal and cows, and solve hunger by banning having kids.
justapassenger··on Blue Origin lands New Glenn rocket booster on second try
None of them were cancelled. But none of them exist in any form or shape remotely reassembling the product - therefore - vaporware. It's that simple.

But also, since you're telling me there had been no material impacts to the customers timelines, sorry, I don't think you're arguing in good faith, so I'm not going to engage here anymore.

justapassenger··on Blue Origin lands New Glenn rocket booster on second try
US government didn't pay for getting its mass into orbit.

Getting Starship to the orbit means that they have something called Starship in the orbit. It doesn't mean product that they sold isn't vaporware - what was sold with a name of Starship included much more things than getting stage 2 into orbit.

justapassenger··on Blue Origin lands New Glenn rocket booster on second try
SpaceX is only space company that does hardware rich development. Blue Origin takes much more traditional approach of linear design.

Blue Origin may fail (I couldn't care less about them or SpaceX), but yes, they're in final validation steps, as that's just how they develop things.

Starship is at the stage of putting random ideas on the rocket and seeing if it explodes.

justapassenger··on Blue Origin lands New Glenn rocket booster on second try
There are prototype that are called Starship.

There's nothing even remotely reassembling what was advertised to the public (and sold to the government) as Starship.

It's Duke Nukem Forever.

justapassenger··on Blue Origin lands New Glenn rocket booster on second try
https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/vaporware

"a computer-related product that has been widely advertised but has not and may never become available"

It's not available and it's going to be the same as all products coming from their CEO - it maybe one day available, but only thing it'll share with original announced product is a name. Nowhere close on the cost/features/scale/etc.

Only things that were shown so far are prototypes that are many iterations away from being anywhere close to a product.

New Glenn is actual product that's just going through final validation steps.

justapassenger··on Anthropic invests $50B in US AI infrastructure
Are you saying that in next 10 years they'll make more money that there's an atoms in the universe?
justapassenger··on Yann LeCun to depart Meta and launch AI startup focused on 'world models'
If it ever feels weird - just watch Silicon Valley show again.

"Revenue? No no no no. Why would you go after revenue? If you show people revenue, they’ll ask ‘how much?’. And it will never be enough. The company that was the 100x-er or the 1000x-er becomes the 2x dog. But if you have no revenue, you can say you’re pre-revenue and you’re a potential pure play.”

We took it now from no revenue to no actual product, or even a concept of a product.

justapassenger··on AI isn't replacing jobs. AI spending is
Talented workers get talented pay. But global average of talented pay is much different than average of talented pay in HCOL areas.
justapassenger··on Solarpunk is happening in Africa
> Decentralized solar plus batteries is already cheaper than electricity + transmission for me at my home in the US. The only thing stopping me is the permitting hassle or the contractor hassle.

Does decentralized solar plus batteries give you same amount of reliability? How many days without sunny weather can you survive without having to change your energy use habits?

Each 9 of reliability for infrastructure is EXTREMELY expensive. And grid has a lot of 9s.

justapassenger··on Tesla's German car sales more than halve in October as wider EV sales jump
Not releasing any new model in half a decade (let's forget about cybertruck - tesla already did) didn't help either.
justapassenger··on ChatGPT terms disallow its use in providing legal and medical advice to others
I'm a hobby woodworker - I've tried using gemini recently for an advice on how to make some tricky cuts.

If I'd follow any of the suggestions I'd probably be in ER. Even after me pointing out issues and asking it to improve - it'd come up with more and more sophistical ways of doing same fundamentally dangerous actions.

LLMs are AMAZING tools, but they are just that - tools. There's no actual intelligence there. And the confidence with which they spew dangerous BS is stunning.

justapassenger··on iOS 26.2 to allow third-party app stores in Japan ahead of regulatory deadline
You do bare minimum, get sued, litigate for few years, pay some fines (that are MUCH less than amount of money they made), then do bare minimum again, etc - rinse and repeat.

And one may argue - it's not malicious compliance. It's just how world is setup for big companies. Any other strategy is leaving huge amount of money on the table - that's not what shareholders want. Unless you're willing to have fines that exceed the profits (and not just say about possibility of those, but actually impose and collect them) it's not going to change.

justapassenger··on AI and Copyright: Expanding copyright hurts everyone
Most important part of fair use is does it harm the market for the original work. Search helps to brings more eyes to the original work, llms don't.
justapassenger··on Microsoft needs to open up more about its OpenAI dealings
You can invest in a fundamental research without investing in a company creating tons of weird circular financial deals.
justapassenger··on AWS outage shows internet users 'at mercy' of too few providers, experts say
There’s a huge difference between “similar” and “works and is ROI positive for my business across the whole lifecycle”.

Multi cloud redundancy is like Java being a solution to platform independency.

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