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josephlord

2,734 karma · joined May 29, 2012

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josephlord··on AI is slowing down
Isn’t the thing that an LLM never knows (at all)? It just guesses words based on the context and previous words and often gets lucky.

It isn’t thinking or knowing and then expressing the resulting understanding but just spitting out contextual words and hoping it reaches a conclusion or ending of some sort.

josephlord··on Temporary pause of Bitcoin withdrawals on Binance
1. Shorting practicalities for Tether not clear. 2. Need confidence 3rd party will pay out. 3. Market can stay irrational longer than I can stay solvent. 4. Especially high risks when dealing with an entity which for the moment can print money to manipulate markets.

In short, I’m confident it will fail and fairly spectacularly but I don’t know when and I’m also not sure how to go about shorting it.

josephlord··on Facebook's Zuckerberg will not appear before British MPs
You missed threatening to sue the newspapers and reporters before the first stories dropped with Wylie on the record blowing the whistle the previous Sunday.
josephlord··on Why Were Economists as a Group as Useless Over 2010-2014 as Over 1929-1935?
Bankruptcy is actually the way to reduce debt without destroying the matching money (but may have knock on effects on further lending and related money creation).

Inflation is less clear cut and comes in many forms, assets, import costs, wages, consumer goods.

josephlord··on Drupal Confessions – An Open Letter
One is about telling other people how they should behave and possibly making them uncomfortable it they have had an abortion, the other is acknowledging the existence of people and their freedom to be who they are.

This is a pretty fundamental difference isn't it? No one is out wearing t-shirts telling other people that they should be queer are they?

And I'm assuming your use of the phrase "the LGBTQ+ life style" was a slip not an intentional denial of the many different lifestyles LGBTQ people have and that being L, G, B, T or Q is for most not a lifestyle but fundamental component of their person.

josephlord··on Why Were Economists as a Group as Useless Over 2010-2014 as Over 1929-1935?
Firstly there are two ways that money is printed.

1) Government/central bank spend more than they take in taxes.

2) Private banks make loans to private sector (biz or individuals).

Money is destroyed by government running a surplus or by loans being repaid.

Note also that for the government to run a surplus the private sector must run a deficit (decrease savings or increase borrowing) in most circumstances.

The question is where money should be created and how it should be managed and controlled.

josephlord··on How to Keep Messages Secure
Muffett is ex-FB and worked on messenger. He truly believes in it and doesn't see Facebook as the threat that you (and I) do.
josephlord··on Ask HN: Is S3 down?
Rackspace's Cloudfiles. Does support static websites.
josephlord··on Ask HN: Is S3 down?
Looks like it. Brief panic caused here.
josephlord··on I am an Uber survivor
Uber seems to be a slightly special case in terms of how blatant discrimination seems to be and the explicitly deceitful and in the obviously abusive responses from HR but the general problems of harassment and discrimination are not unique.

I'm aware of multiple issues at Google and issues at Docker (although not the full details of that one). HR being useless and protecting company and senior management is common although they may be less blatant about it than Uber. Google is obviously huge so many areas may be OK.

Those are just issues I'm aware of following a few women on Twitter, they are the tip of the iceberg, some issues never come out at all, others are privately shard between women and others that might be vulnerable (I'm not in that loop).

josephlord··on I am an Uber survivor
If that isn't what you believe you aren't clearly expressing what you do believe and what responsibilities people, particularly senior people do have.

Most who come forward aren't asking for sympathy but reporting what has happened to them. What I would ask is for you to stand up if you witness inappropriate behaviour.

Some may want the abuse recognised but they all wish they weren't victims. Going public is tough, main reasons to do it are to protect others by either changing the organisation or just waning likely victims away. You stating "Is not remotely true" does not a reasonable argument make, at least put some description behind your opposing thesis.

josephlord··on I am an Uber survivor
My problem with your comment is the entitlement you claim to define acceptable behaviour of those being abused "what I demand from anyone who wants to call themselves a victim". Also people don't want to call themselves victims, they are victims who may feel able to make that known.

Letting a bully know that they are having an effect on you is far from risk free.

You also seem to believe that people have no responsibility for making people around them comfortable unless they are explicitly told it is making them uncomfortable. Everyone has a responsibility not to be ass.

josephlord··on Reflecting on one very, very strange year at Uber
Speeding is illegal too, doesn't mean it doesn't happen.
josephlord··on Reflecting on one very, very strange year at Uber
There are huge professional and personal costs to suing. She has done more by most to protect others by going public. Isn't her job to fix Uber via lawsuit.
josephlord··on Reflecting on one very, very strange year at Uber
The personal and professional cost of bringing a lawsuit normally means it makes no sense to bring a case even if you would have a good chance of winning. You really need to be prepared to make personal sacrifice in order to try to change things by the lawsuit for it even to be worth considering.
josephlord··on Peter Thiel’s Embrace of Trump Has Silicon Valley Squirming
But isn't that Clinton? We have no real idea of Trump's policies. He barely strings full sentences together, just fragments of thoughts that people turn into the full policies that they want in their own minds.

He makes things up in writing such as who wrote his wife's speech that he really doesn't need to; surely less lies is better than more.

josephlord··on Peter Thiel’s Embrace of Trump Has Silicon Valley Squirming
I still feel that there is a real difference in the shamelessness of Trump's lies. Many easily contradictable.

At least Hillary would care if she was caught out, that puts some constraint on her.

josephlord··on Peter Thiel’s Embrace of Trump Has Silicon Valley Squirming
But he lies so much and makes so many factual errors how can you trust him on anything? His pro-torture position seems to show disregard of the 8th amendment is he really going to protect the others and is the 2A that much more important to you than all the others?

I'm no saying that you should like Hillary but congress will probably block gun reform as always and while she spins and dissembles at times it isn't the same outrageous disregard for the truth that I see from Trump.

josephlord··on Peter Thiel’s Embrace of Trump Has Silicon Valley Squirming
I thought his policy was to "bomb the hell out of ISIS"?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2015/11/18/new_trump_...

josephlord··on Peter Thiel’s Embrace of Trump Has Silicon Valley Squirming
What do you like about him?
josephlord··on In New Jersey Student Loan Program, Even Death May Not Bring a Reprieve
Then it would also be pretty cheap for the lender to insure against borrower's death or to bear the low (amortised) cost.

There is no reason a guarantor couldn't be responsible only for wilful failure to pay but not for after death.

I'm not saying these things apply in the agreement under discussion or under the relevant laws but just that different structures are possible.

josephlord··on What's New in Swift [video]
32 bit ARM has been supported from the start. As others have mentioned the 32bit Intel Macs do not support the latest OS versions anyway.
josephlord··on Symantec Issues Intermediate CA Certificate for Blue Coat Public Services
I'd forgotten that Symantec had acquired Verisign at some point and they are huge certificate supplier. I was planning to untrust Symantec but not sure that is feasible for the Verisign certs too.
josephlord··on Bank Underground, the blog written by Bank of England staff
There is the PPI (payment protection insurance) scandal in the UK. Billions has been paid out in compensation and it has been front page news.
josephlord··on Bank of Japan Is an Estimated Top 10 Holder in 90% of the Nikkei 225
Only if mainstream economic theory was correct, unfortunately it is deeply flawed and much of it depends on unrealistic (and at times inconsistent) assumptions.
josephlord··on Bank of Japan Is an Estimated Top 10 Holder in 90% of the Nikkei 225
This is the way Europe and the US are going too with quantitive easing it is just that Japan is a couple of decades ahead.

We need proper helicopter money (or a Modern Jubilee) going to the public to spend not to purchase assets at the benefit of existing asset holders.

http://www.debtdeflation.com/blogs/manifesto/ See - "A Modern Jubilee" (I'm not sure about the Jubilee Shares part though).

josephlord··on WhatsApp's Signal Protocol integration is now complete
They don't need to. They just need to stop it becoming a full competitor.

Facebook's asset is the social network, your contacts. WhatsApp was a threat because they were getting a social network to match. That could then have been acquired (by Google) or developed a more social platform on top of it. By owning it Facebook can keep WhatsApp limited to a messaging platform only and remove the risk and limit the damage to Facebook itself. Next step moves to encourage WhatsApp users onto Facebook for group messaging type services.

josephlord··on Investors Are in Denial About China
This chart tells a very different story.

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/japan/gdp-growth

Japan has been suffering from low inflation and at times deflation. This means that debts do not shrink with inflation. I think the stockmarket and property markets have been pretty flat too over the period. What growth there has been has been assisted by "extraordinary" (well they were before 2008) monetary measures and growth in government debt to 230% of GDP.

josephlord··on Investors Are in Denial About China
It's funny that we call it the lost decade but it is now really a lost quarter century.
josephlord··on Atom 1.6 Released with Pending Pane Items, Async Git and Top and Bottom Bar API
With most languages and things like XML it will need to have parsed from the start to the visible area to understand the context (e.g. what if there is comment that started 1000 lines earlier but hasn't yet been closed).
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