12 karma · joined October 31, 2013
Where to start? I'll just fire off some thoughts as they come to mind. Real estate is a long term asset. It is complicated and everyone is different, like your apps, but long term. For example, you could make returns look better by using short term loans (where interest rates could rise). A rise in rates would expose this term structure imbalance/risk. On the other hand, single family production compared to population growth looks good (opposite of when real estate crashed in 2007 or so), so housing looks good generally (every market is different). Retail is getting crushed by Amazon, etc. Office is hard to analyze as it is expensive to replace tenants. Industrial can be made to look good by building more office space in it, but then getting crushed if that tenant leaves. Oh, and winning buyers of commercial real estate have to make the most aggressive assumptions in their models. Every buyer has basically the same information.
Good luck out there people!
Add $20/month for electricity: 3 years: $197/month 4 years: $156/month
Could that rent respectable enough device(s) in the cloud?