288 karma · joined March 18, 2019
[ my public key: https://keybase.io/jimzhou; my proof: https://keybase.io/jimzhou/sigs/5542hVA_DUqiel7JlfbKdp9gWCY9XNaLMiMgRaQf0ZQ ] wonderfuldev_jn85tk9qvounx4pq2bpjmixw
Also, I live in Las Vegas now and I also don't know anyone who had their car broken into or packages stolen. I left my Steam Deck outside for 48 hours since it was delivered early and hidden poorly, but I wasn't looking and didn't even notice it. But since none of the polls - the Chronicle or the Standard's - mention vehicle prowling, we have even less data on that. Why even bring it up? Nobody was expecting Rumble in the Bronx (great movie in spite of the whole movie being made up of stereotypes).
The opinion, btw: https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/20pdf/19-438_j4el.pdf
This viewpoint issue is not limited to financial legibility of course. We do know that the underground economy, because data is only reported by authorities, is inflated or deflated for political purposes, further muddling any potential estimations. Oh, and plenty of what the IRS wish to do is just that - wishful, and only when it's convenient for the other party. You can try to regulate cash transactions domestically in a more heavy handed manner, but you're mostly going to affect those least able to afford it to begin with, and the costs involved may not be worth the effort. Oh, and US currency is commonly used abroad, including in place of native currencies in some countries. When it comes to cash, there are only estimates as to how much the government can reasonably regulate the transacting of, and the government's policies have undermined efforts to do so even when they could. Not everyone is in the cohort that posts on HN.
And I've practiced administrative law which, since they are not established under Article III of the Constitution, can be pretty cowboy and roughshod. I've also appeared in tribal court which seem to frequently take cues from TV courts. But they are not frivolous, not at all. Administrative hearings can and do determine the liberty of people every day. Same for tribal courts. There's something farcical about all 3 types of proceedings but family court just hits the perfect note of "legitimate", "important", and "farcical" to me, even though they are undoubtedly important. I can assure you that no immigration or NLRB hearings, the administrative courts in this country with teeth, sink into farce at a similar rate.
At one point there were some half-joking talks about finding an agreeable local tribe to partner with us to open a startup that allow same-day in-app divorces. Sadly even with introductions and approaching tribes in several states they all ended up saying no. There's a free idea for y'all, business-wise, if you can pull it off.
The really interesting counter-example - or really, the most incompetent series of lotteries ever ran by a state - was the excise farming schemes the British colonial administrators ran in SE Asia, in particular Penang and Singapore and further afield in Malaya, between the 1840s and officially 1903. Excise farming is basically the lotterying of monopolies on the vice trade for fixed periods of time, which existed since the 1500s and periodically gets brought out (prominently under Cromwell, and a bit during the restoration), except because the decline of the East India Company and the lack of civil servants and administrators who had a working knowledge of Chinese, which had become the biggest financial players and essentially realized that the authorities were unable to make sense of the place-of-ancestral-origin system that had little to do with what the British were familiar with (like blood quantum) and inadvertently enabled the same native-place association or Landsmannschaft (we need an English word for this, btw) to simply dominate certain vice trades by the simplest subterfuge - by leveraging the comparatively fluid role personal names represented. Yes, it took more or less an actual case of "all Asians look alike" for a state lottery to fail. Carl Trocki's works are the authoritative research on this subject and time period for those interested in what probably represents one of the most mind-boggling peacetime self-owns by two successive governments that in mainstream academic discourse (outside Subaltern, Asian, and Diaspora/Migration studies, which are arguably niche and very much interdisciplinary), represents the archetype for hegemonic power relationships in practice. I suppose one can also chalk it up as a lottery win there, a rare one, but someone does usually actually win the lottery eventually.
Some automated tagging solutions do work on some aspects of the tag deficiencies - performers using different stage names, for example. However, just as obscenity is defined on a "I'll know it when I see it" basis, individual and perhaps previously unnamed categorizations pop up frequently enough that there's no realistic way to anticipate every future community tag that may come about. There's also inconsistencies as to how currently-used tags are defined, and even in the generally more centralized and almost over-specific niches of the industry in Japan, with consistent and unique product codes for reference, you still don't get a single consistent studio tag system, even for their domestic mainstream market. And language certainly factors into all this, as well as culture. It's already evident that some tags translate and some simply don't, either because there is no word for it in the other language, or the categorization loses some aspect of cultural significance in the translation process that makes it end result valid but also nonsensical. Some degree of community curation to augment even a relatively consistent, centralized, and comprehensive canonical source.
There are a few projects on Github that are hashing out compatible systems for at least the English language (and it appears that projects in Korean and Chinese exist too, also on Github). This is definitely an arena that is organic, disorganized, and even if in the future can mostly be automated, will always have room for community curation, and is actually actively being worked out and evolving in real time. Tags, or community curation at large, will likely persist as content, the market, culture, CV/classification tech, and mores change as time goes on. Definitely not dying.
If anything, Egypt is one hell of a counter example of institutional stability. I would also make the pedantic quibble that the HRE never called itself "Germany" until the term was incorporated into part of its much longer official title in the late 1400s. English usage started in the 1500s. It's not to say that the concept of "Germany" or "Deutschland" didn't exist, but pre-Westphalia it's difficult to make truly apt comparisons to conceptualizations of states today, and the term equivalent to Germany was used, intermittently at that, from Charlemagne's death for the next 700 years somewhat like the status of Scotland or Wales within the UK today, as in, it coexisted with the HRE as an part but not considered to have referred to the whole until the HRE lost its non-German territories an that was pretty much all that was left.
The focus on GHB/GBL seems... lacking in coverage, considering that there's a whole range of water/alcohol soluble substances that is easier to carry (in powder or pill form, instead of liquid) and doesn't have the taste problem GHB/GBL has when mixed drinks tend to drown out the chemical taste of Midazolam or, if push comes to shove, research chemicals based off existing formulations such as Nifoxipam represent just the tip of the iceberg in the analogues of just one category of potential "date rape drugs", quotes because without question the likes of Midazolam have contributed much more to the health and well-being of patients than as the moral panic du jour once again that overshadows its utility.
And I would posit that alcohol is not viewed as an epidemic in part because those who drink tend to know what they're drinking, while there's virtually no street demand for fentanyl and its analogues and the supply-side demand is generated entirely by the failed war on drugs that targets the supply side aggressively enough so that the golden rule of prohibition kicked in and the most potent and easiest to carry form of the prohibited substance becomes what the supply side focuses on. Regular, non-opiate-naive users were overdosing and dying, which is very much an aberration when it comes to overdoses generally. And we've utterly failed at implementing anything more than the bare minimum in terms of harm reduction while politicians go out of their way to blame everyone but themselves. It's effectively a government sanctioned epidemic. If you want to kick off your week on a shitty note, read Inspector Generals' reports on DOJ and the DEA specifically. However impractical, this is at least an attempt at putting a harm reduction product on the market, and should be applauded as such. It's more than what congress have managed to do for god knows how long.
If you're picking up basketball at age 30, I hope you know that you're never going to be anywhere nearly as good as Curry, or Lebron. But you can definitely pick up a subject matter and become an expert later in life. Heinrich Schliemann essentially began his archeological career at age 36 and yes, basically excavated Troy in the worst way possible, but managed to actually excavate Troy. That's the difference between an adult piano learner and an adult code learner, I think.
But I really consider Eliot the first poet who openly advocated for what we'd consider "sampling" or "mashups". Although actual tech that could be used to sample music wouldn't exist until 30 years after Eliot first expressed his sentiments, and musical quotation certainly have existed before that, musical quotations are seldom directly acknowledged and never formed as the basis of a work in its entirety. Eliot did not necessarily quote verbatim every reference he made, but he made extensive footnotes directing to the source in many cases and in other cases used references to works popular enough that notation would not be needed. I very much think that what was being expressed by his works, starting with Prufrock but really peaking before the Four Quartets, is an attempt at legitimizing a way of creating art that served as a precursor for hip-hop and electronic music today.
https://help.producthunt.com/en/articles/2690626-how-do-i-sh...
https://help.producthunt.com/en/articles/484935-can-i-ask-my...
I think the problem is that they don't seem to have a good enforcement mechanism, and so for what must've been years I haven't really seen staff proactively go after those who do game the system. The only times when I've seen action taken is when the community comes out and basically calls out a product/maker. Most people don't care enough to do that kind of stuff, I'd imagine. I've done it a few times (either outright illegal stuff like peddling American legal services from overseas without qualifications, or obviously scam crypto projects) but these should have been obvious. The staff is also unresponsive on email, although better on the forums.
In those cases, the specific site to follow would be https://www.regulations.gov/ and the api docs are at https://open.gsa.gov/api/regulationsgov/ and at least most administrations (last one excepted, although they didn't seem to have anyone on staff in the executive branch who was familiar with the APA to begin with) are pretty good about at least reading, if not agreeing - sometimes cruelly and sometimes nonsensically - to your comments.
It's good to see what the government is doing, but in a sense if you want change, that's already too late. Focus on the regulatory aspects of things, and you can make a real difference, possibly. The CFR feed on the RSS page shows how regulations are routinely promulgated, and it's not an ideological thing necessarily: DHS/ICE is an agency just like the FDA or EPA. Rules are, after all, rules.
Firstly, the NHTSA freely defines fatal crashes as "alcohol-related" or "alcohol-involved" if any person, driver or pedestrian or victim in another vehicle had 0.01 BAC or above. It does not mean that the cause of the crash is related to alcohol, only that it is present in a party involved. For non-fatal crashes, the label attaches if the police report indicates a presence of alcohol on the scene, even when no person involved had been tested or was suspected of intoxication. A glossary of definitions can be found here: https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/...
Secondly, the actual numbers of alcohol-related crashes and fatalities are largely estimates imputed by filling in the gaps in the data with values derived from alcohol-involved data that was collected and extrapolated under the assumption that the two populations would have similar distributions of BAC levels when tested, without regard as to considerations as to why BAC data wasn't collected. The imputation is validated by comparing the new imputed statistics to that which is also derived but from an older method with fewer classification categories and not actual recorded data. Methodology: https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/... In any case, the extent of the problem is obfuscated by both a very broad definition and statistically imputed figures based on earlier estimates. While the researchers have pointed out the shortcomings and limitations of the method, the numbers reported to the public and used to justify punitive measures under criminal and administrative laws are taken at face value.
Thirdly, the common DUI/DWI laws punish in a manner more out of the Minority Report than how any criminal justice system that isn't a sham should - by punishing behavior based on the potential for such behavior writ large to potentially cause harm, although there's no victim, no actual harm, no intent to cause harm, and in some cases may not even be possible to cause harm. It's pre-crime in the purist sense, especially since nearly all states have vehicular homicide and vehicular assault charges, or charges that cover the same ground, to deal with instances where actual harm is caused. This is made possible by lawmakers simply designating an arbitrary BAC level as the line for per se intoxication, regardless of actual impairment. NHTSA's own literature states that their guidance material is focused not only determining impairment, but determining whether any individual stopped by the police has a BAC above 0.08, a figure that shifted throughout time and was first set into law around the height of the push for prohibition. Field sobriety tests and such, obviously, have tons of critics both on the false positive and false negative side, but more problematic is the fact that the punitive laws are made not to stop impaired driving but rather, to act as a crude way of divining whether a person's BAC is over or under a precise but arbitrary level, through which probable cause can be established. It's a giant game of charades.
Many laws passed with the best of intentions end up with unforeseen outcomes and ramifications. This is worse than that, as it takes a real problem of unknown scale and pushes it into moral panic territory. Maybe the moral crusaders of MADD should actually take a hint from their organization's name and figure out the extent of the problem outside of crashes where only the driver is killed (70% of alcohol-related fatalities, the NHTSA estimates) before letting loose the moral panic at the heart of their campaign. Reading the footnotes tend to help.
Really? Maybe times have really changed but I know a lot of people, myself included, who pirated software - starting in the mid 90s for me - because we couldn't buy software since we were too young to make money and lived in constant fear that the one time our parents do buy some game or piece of software it turns out to be total crap. At this point, even though my education have led me to a more nuanced and philosophical objection to the enforcement of intellectual property in the manner at least the United States does, and equates physical property either on par with it or even underneath it, the only times I pirate software now is if there's no trial version, and if it's something I really want to use long term I'd purchase it anyway. Effectively the only long term sort of piracy I conduct at this point is to circumvent blackout rules on sports streaming because for whatever reason a whole fifth of MLB is blacked out on mlb.tv where I am but the biggest streaming package only shows 2 of those teams. Access, ultimately, determine whether someone pirates. That includes cases when access is outlandishly expensive or simply barred, and even knowing my share of anarchists and career criminals as defined by state I really don't see people who are ideologically committed to piracy in an absolutist sense. It's like, if I can pay $25 a month for unlimited access to JSTOR it would entirely be for my intellectual curiosity but I'd do it, but that's not an option so sci-hub when the article isn't available is kind of the only reasonable option. The alternative is simply to give up and find something else to be curious about.
Some aspects of reverse-engineering/cracking in the scene was gamified to such an extent where it became a prestige sort of thing, a competition for its own sake. That tends to stop where-ever your rivals stop, and as a result it's never a sure thing that patches would be cracked, for example.
It's not that the venn diagram of tech-literate and criminal-defense lawyers are entirely separate circles, but having been "that guy" in a public defender's office for even basic stuff like cell tower triangulation accuracy to finding proprietary surveillance video codecs to decode exculpatory evidence, you really need to start at square one while the prosecution have the whole police department's resources, expertise, and initiative at their disposal. You can afford the expert, it just won't do any good when you don't know what questions to ask that will actually be effective. And unsurprisingly those who do have experience in technical, specialized fields tend to get poached into the private sector or out of trial (really plea) practice all together, so the knowledge/bullshit gap will still exist and there's no real consistent way to bridge it.