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jdewerd

662 karma · joined December 8, 2023

My email is at the domain of jdewerd.com with username jon.
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jdewerd··on The Apple Vision Pro’s missing apps
Yeah, "webapps are all you need" is the one time I can recall Steve Jobs getting booed on stage.
jdewerd··on 2023 Letter
LOL. Soviet Russia and Imperial China are calling, they want to show you what power looks like.
jdewerd··on A jump into the middle of an instruction from nowhere (2023)
Yeah. It's not fair to judge Microsoft for people abusing the API, but that's a different question from whether or not they should lock it out. That would be a big freedom reduction, and even though I'm sure it would make life slightly easier for for some parts of Microsoft, I'm pretty sure it wouldn't be for the best.

Going to the game console example, blaming Nintendo for the botched upgrade is dumb, but what if Nintendo puts security keys in every component to prevent repair? Yeah, it's fair and good that they foiled the 3 modders who bricked their devices and tried to claim warranty, but they also sent 3 million extra devices to the dump that otherwise could have been fixed by enterprising teenagers with soldering irons. It would be 100% fair to blame them for that.

jdewerd··on A jump into the middle of an instruction from nowhere (2023)
Because they are also used by debuggers, security tools, and other flavors of "keep the world humming along despite its best efforts to kill itself."
jdewerd··on The NSA Furby Documents
They wanted to avoid FURBYGATE. They avoided FURBYGATE. Sounds reasonable to me!
jdewerd··on Too much serendipity
The numerical version of this sin is

    typedef float real;
which promotes a similar confusion of concepts, even if the true meaning is understood by experts.

That said, I think the QM/not QM lingo from the molecular dynamics community is considerably worse because it stokes a common misunderstanding: that the universe runs on classical mechanics except in lasers, particle accelerators, and other "exotic circumstances." By contrast, nobody thinks that the universe runs on float32s except in lasers and spaceships where it runs on float64s. Where confusion does not exist, we do not need to fight it, but where it does, we should probably try.

jdewerd··on Czech republic sets IPv4 end date
If they wanted people to migrate, they could first put a bit of effort into making their tools suck just a bit less on IPv6. It's not even "second class citizen" status, it's more "bastard stepchild of my least-favorite in-law" right now.
jdewerd··on Too much serendipity
> there may be quantum effects involved

Quantum Mechanics is why atoms and molecules exist and form bonds. QM is the physics of chemistry. Without QM, chemistry does not happen. The universe would just be a big churning mess of particles and you would never get little lego pieces that snap together according to repeatable rules that, when repeated, form macroscopic substances of innumerable description up to and including life itself.

So QM is no doubt involved, but on this scale it is either a trivial fact or an indication that someone tried to lean on a classical approximation, it broke, and they had to revise it (which arguably says more about the approximation than it says about the underlying behavior).

Apologies for the nitpick. It's a pet peeve of mine that discussions of QM tend to focus so hard on the strange behavior that they forget to mention where QM fits into the bigger picture and leave people with the impression that it only matters under special circumstances when in fact it matters so much that you can hardly have "matter" without it.

------------

Re: anesthetic, a large fraction of simple halocarbon compounds have intense neural effects, so anyone doing halocarbon chemistry would quickly be put on the "scent" even if they weren't tasting everything in the Sigma Aldrich catalog.

jdewerd··on Ask HN: How do you know it's time for you to quit your FAANG job?
A company that lets you "invest" in fine art. They sell shares in famous paintings & such that they buy, hold, and sell (and charge big fees to do so, naturally). I think they predate the NFT craze, but when they saw it happening they started running extremely aggressive astroturf / content marketing campaigns trying to convince people that fine art was an "alternative asset class" worthy of investment. These articles/posts had a bait and switch quality to them: you would start reading something that sounded conservative and reasonable about the importance of diversification and then BAM, they hit you with "alternative asset classes like fine art" and then you would realize you had been reading an ad. That's what I'm parodying here.
jdewerd··on Ask HN: How do you know it's time for you to quit your FAANG job?
(this post sponsored by Masterworks)
jdewerd··on NASA loses contact with Ingenuity Mars helicopter
Definitely a substantial portion of it, but we should be far more scandalized by the damage your typical runaway hype machine does to otherwise brilliant achievements than by NASA's successful efforts to wrangle expectations.
jdewerd··on How Monopolists drive the power and wealth divide
Applying formal reasoning to defend a self-admitted heuristic is a special kind of silly.

Besides, your heuristic sucks. Just because it formally sucks due to being an ad-hom doesn't mean it can't informally suck on other dimensions, like mindless deference to authority. Logic has nothing to say about that, but when considering bias it's something you should probably try harder to keep in mind.

jdewerd··on How Monopolists drive the power and wealth divide
Ah, yes, all the economic think tanks funded by people and organizations of a certain economic background promoting policy that coincidentally serves the purposes of those same parties are more trustworthy because they try to obfuscate their bias.

What? This argument is certifiably nuts! The biggest players can launder their size into the appearance of impartial organic consensus, yes, but observing this in action isn't a reason to trust them!

jdewerd··on What Happened to GE? (2021)
You've seen how celebrity worship works -- how often does it involve "very many superb characteristics?" Yes, the pumped up numbers helped, but there will always be a market for selling validation to assholes.
jdewerd··on Autonomous trucking is harder than autonomous rideshare
A respectable track record and a margin for error are fine things to insist on, but that was not the argument being presented or objected to.
jdewerd··on Autonomous trucking is harder than autonomous rideshare
So it's OK to have more deaths so long as we can punish someone with no expectation that doing so will fix the problem? I suspect you are right, but I don't think it reflects well on us.
jdewerd··on Spot Bitcoin ETF receives official approval from the SEC
You can prove presence of assets, you can't prove absence of liabilities, and you can't audit the balance sheet without seeing both sides.
jdewerd··on Asking people to "do the research" on fake news makes it more believable
Right, and the "opposition comment" standards were clearly efforts to address that problem. Insufficient as they were, they pretty clearly helped. Media is worse for their loss and they have yet to be replaced.

Ground News is the first "new" thing that seems to be a clear step in a good direction, but I don't know how much adoption it actually has vs flash in the pan VC money.

jdewerd··on Asking people to "do the research" on fake news makes it more believable
If I had nothing to compare CNN to, I'd be scandalized.
jdewerd··on Asking people to "do the research" on fake news makes it more believable
Nothing made me respect mainstream media more than a thousand "alternative" pundits crying foul while not only failing to do better but regressing on the basics: asking accused parties for comment, asking adjacent experts for comment, retracting articles when conflicting evidence arises, clearly delineating op/ed, etc. It's fair to argue that these things aren't sufficient, but it's absolutely wild how easy it wound up being to pass off regression for progression on this front. People really do just want to hear confirmation of their own opinions.
jdewerd··on The immediate victims of a con would rather act as if the con never happened
It's different in the level of documentation and severity. Or maybe not and maybe you can prove me wrong!

Show me the Democratic equivalent of Trump leaning on Brad Raffensperger to find 11780 votes. Show me the Democratic equivalent of the Eastman memo and the attempt to swap in fake slates of electors. Show me the Democratic equivalent of Sydney Powell launching and losing 60 post-election lawsuits to maintain the party line at all costs until Eastman's fix could be put into play.

jdewerd··on Minuteman III Missiles Are Too Old to Upgrade Anymore, Stratcom Chief Says
That was the hopeful speculation flying around when Russia surprised to the downside in Ukraine, but the counterpoint is that the nuclear forces are the best funded part of the Russian military [1] and, due to arms reduction treaties and inspections, possibly one of the most inspected / least corruption rotted.

That Perun video also talks about tritium [2] and estimates that they probably have enough.

[1] https://youtu.be/xBZceqiKHrI?t=2162

[2] https://youtu.be/xBZceqiKHrI?t=2504

jdewerd··on The immediate victims of a con would rather act as if the con never happened
> Russian Communist Party during the USSR

Or during Putin.

Here's another: Donald Trump's inner court.

jdewerd··on NuScale Lays off 40% of its Staff
From googling around it looks like prices doubled and then halved. It looks like they were back to 2019 levels by the beginning of 2023.

https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/steel

jdewerd··on Universities Are Not on the Level
> I’m not under the impression that the replication crisis in the social sciences looms as large for others as it does for me

Not just social sciences. I decided to get out of biology when I helped an adjacent lab with some machine learning, discovered that the entire effect they were looking at was due to the old gotcha about groups of correlated files getting split across the train/test barrier, gently communicated the bad news to the person who had asked for my help... and a year or so later saw the uncorrected result on the front page of Nature.

Brutal competition against brilliant peers for shit pay is one thing, but this? This was a step too far. I couldn't compete with this. I hit the eject button and didn't look back.

jdewerd··on Operation Triangulation What You Get When Attack iPhones of Researchers [video]
Is there an "everyone knows but nobody says" dynamic here, like if the tea comes from Mandiant/CrowdStrike it's about Russia, if it comes from Kaspersky it's about NSA, etc?
jdewerd··on Linux hits nearly 4% desktop user share on Statcounter
"Just ignore the cloud features, it's fine."

"Just ignore the ads, it's fine."

"Just unplug ethernet during setup to get the option to ignore the cloud features, it's fine."

"Just edit the registry to ignore the cloud features, it's fine."

(sound of boiling water increases)

jdewerd··on Text Editors Should Be Worse
> git gud scrub

Does your workflow demand a comparable number of different editors to OP? Let's be generous and say comparable = within a factor of 5. You're talking about a singular IDE and OP is in the security space, so my guess would be "no."

Security has this way of one-off dredging up random-ass dev environments from forgotten corners of the universe that have been ravaged and forsaken by time because you need a compiler/debugger/etc matching today's production artifact of interest. Putting up with emulation and evil autocomplete is still easier than building a one-off DIY compiler and debugger without documentation, but mismatched autocomplete can really absorb a truly astounding amount of life energy before tomorrow forces you to move on to something different.

In any case, it sounds like you two are fighting completely different boss battles, and perhaps some allowance for that fact is warranted before passing judgement on OP's build.

jdewerd··on Text Editors Should Be Worse
Ha! I was prepared to disagree, thinking "nah, I generally like smart features like block select and block indent/comment, but auto-quotation belongs in the pits of hell."

Turns out TFA is a rant about auto-quotation. I withdraw my objection. I would gladly sacrifice all other smart features in this hypothetical world where I could eliminate auto-quotation with the same blow. This world is not that world, but one can dream. Carry on!

jdewerd··on Ant Completes Process of Removing Jack Ma's Control
> over repeated trope with little nuance

Says the guy whose entire argument is "war is risky." Well, yeah -- and a ruler weighs that risk against the risk of losing legitimacy and power due to a stalling economy. This story has repeated many times in history. That's why it's a "trope."

> political aims. Any distraction is an excuse to do something they were likely to do anyway.

You don't have to read between the lines on Taiwan, you can simply read the lines.

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