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jakelarkin

1,341 karma · joined March 14, 2016

@jakelarkn
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jakelarkin··on Stripe to donate $1M to California Yimby
California and the Bay Area is so screwed. The Powers-that-be looked at SB827 like it was the work of lunatics, and did not engage in any of the significant concessions that were made. The bill was completely impotent at the end ... local demolition control + 4-5 story buildings. It drew no interest nor alternative proposals to actually help solve the housing crisis.

So yeah we're going to end up with middle class social housing lotteries, 1.5 hour commutes and crazy inflation of basic service costs ($3k/month child care, anyone?).

Every neighborhood can't be a wealthy enclave of SFH. There is literally no where to live in the central Bay Area on teachers salary much less a Social Security Disability paycheck. The homelessness epidemic will grow.

It's a rentier economy of land owners and the rent-controlled incumbents. How "Progressive".

jakelarkin··on IBM is not doing "cognitive computing" with Watson (2016)
ML is the new A/B testing
jakelarkin··on WeWork to Sell $500M of Bonds in Debut Sale
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bond_credit_rating

when major banks/investors refused to deal with BBB or lower they called it 'Junk'. When they realized 1) the credit risk can be safely managed with modern financial theory and instruments 2) there was money to be made ... they quickly adopted it and had to figure something out to drop the 'Junk' pejorative.

jakelarkin··on WeWork to Sell $500M of Bonds in Debut Sale
nobody involved in buy/selling High-Yield debt uses the term 'Junk'. It's a term from the 80s before every major investment bank serviced that market. Even the journalists at bloomberg are spinning clickbait language, sheesh ...
jakelarkin··on A $76,000 Monthly Pension: Why States and Cities Are Short on Cash
the entitlement and whats unsustainable is the employer guaranteeing ALL of the downsides of market returns not being high enough, management risk (underfunding), rising cost of healthcare, and longer life times.

If I live twice as long my 401k doesn't magically double.

jakelarkin··on Why New York City Stopped Building Subways
those are just the stations, the tunnel is bore
jakelarkin··on A $76,000 Monthly Pension: Why States and Cities Are Short on Cash
I don't really know that market but assume theyre not more popular because the companies that sell them charge high embedded fees, and also a very high risk premium? Similar to whole life insurance.

Anyway, the crux of the problem its very difficult walk the line of having institutions that safely guarantee massive financial payouts 50+ years into the future. From the perspective of the seller its an asymmetric risk. We can't even accurately predict the yield on government bonds 5 years from now.

The logical thing would be to phase in mandatory 401k contribution and healthcare savings accounts with fixed amount in high-rated bonds. But that might put a dent in the ability of Coca-Cola/Disney/Comcast Co. to suck the American consumer dry so its probably a no-go in our political environment.

jakelarkin··on A $76,000 Monthly Pension: Why States and Cities Are Short on Cash
is it humane or an entitlement? most people in the private sector work their whole life never get anything remotely close to a pension

secondly, its just an intergenerational wealth transfer. another excess of the selfishness of the boomer generation. Who will pay the price ... the school kids getting a crap education in 35 student classrooms in crumbling buildings in a towns who's infrastructure is going to literally fall apart in 2 decades time from zero maintenance. Ah well at least we kept the promises some corrupt politicians made in the 90s to well-off gov workers.

jakelarkin··on A $76,000 Monthly Pension: Why States and Cities Are Short on Cash
the argument is that police work is more physically demanding and stressful, there's not too many desk jobs.

that said the benefits in some states are ludicrous, cops spike their payout the last few years and retire with $200k pensions and healthcare for life at 50, then move on to your 2nd careers. In the private sector even if you max out your 401k you'd never come close to that sort of retirement.

jakelarkin··on SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round
Tesla shareholder lawsuit against SolarCity deal set to proceed https://www.reuters.com/article/us-tesla-shareholders/tesla-...
jakelarkin··on SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round
that's a great way to lose your CEO job and get sued by your shareholders.
jakelarkin··on Google seeks to limit ‘right to be forgotten’ by claiming it’s journalistic
eventually we just need to accept that a much greater depth of history is index searchable and adjust our actions, attitudes & judgments accordingly. Enshrining the old ways in rigid laws and bureaucracy is not going to work.
jakelarkin··on SpaceX can't broadcast Earth images because of a murky license
let me guess, ULA filed a complaint?
jakelarkin··on How warehouses for personal junk became a $38B industry
its a huge amount of mental and emotional work to decide what to get rid off. the storage industry capitalizes on people's procrastination.
jakelarkin··on Water Slide That Decapitated Boy Violated Basic Design Standards
just the wealth/livelihoods of people who don't know any better.
jakelarkin··on ‘The Trains Are Slower Because They Slowed the Trains Down’
the abysmal state of their technology is completely to blame. problems described point to an inability to monitor trains or operators in ways that don't create massive slowdowns as knock-on effects.
jakelarkin··on Permanent Daylight Saving Time? Florida Says Yes, but It’s Not So Simple
"Sunshine Protection Act" oh ffs
jakelarkin··on Open-sourcing a 10x reduction in Apache Cassandra tail latency
- has anyone run it FB scale? for how long?

- how many experienced scylladb devops are there globally that we can hire?

Those questions asked at BigTechCo before it adopts somebody elses tech.

FB already operates RocksDb and Cassandra so there's way less technical, career, financial risk for just hacking the two together with some aggressive refactoring.

jakelarkin··on A Supreme Court Case That Could Give Tech Giants More Power
some of those cases will involve healthcare providers or energy distributors, so what? The case potentially affects all transactions where there is processing or market-making intermediary. There's no specificity on how it applies to Google, Amazon or Facebook products even those are named in the headline. It's just a terribly written editorial with vague legal analysis and mentions tech firms for click-bait sensationalism.
jakelarkin··on A Supreme Court Case That Could Give Tech Giants More Power
somehow in a case about the credit card industry, which actually extracts monopoly rent on most personal financial transactions its more important for author to talk about about "tech" bogeyman
jakelarkin··on Why Don’t Patients Get Sick in Sync? Modelers Find Statistical Clues
saved you a click:

time distribution follows a log-normal distribution (fat tail to the right)

statistically modeling pathogen progression over tissue spatially (2d, 3d) seems to confirm the real world distribution

jakelarkin··on Why I Quit Google to Work for Myself
my co is moving from managers to anon committee, because it gives managers too much unchecked power to favor/punish. the wheel goes round.
jakelarkin··on Self-owning corporations are legally possible
one could argue that some large multi-national corporations are already acting as a collective & super-human intelligence. Indeed, isn't that the point of many human "institutions" which subscribe to the notion that rule of law (the code) supersedes the rule of man.
jakelarkin··on Stride, Atlassian’s Slack competitor, opens its API to all developers
biggest gripe with Atlassian is all their products are slow as hell. Hipchat was sluggish and buggy but at least they were steadily improving. Now everyone has to start over on a new platform (?) Confluence, how freakin long does it take to return a static info page, Seconds? As if visiting the HR subdomain wasn't painful enough already. Heaven forbid you click on something makes a POST request in JIRA, RIP developer.
jakelarkin··on What to do when tech jobs go bad
the pace of making changes grinds to crawl as codebase becomes larger and more complex. eventually the time spent trying to understand code, figure out what changes can be made safely and paying down tech debt outweigh the time spend making measurable improvements.

key things that help - focusing on extensibility/abstraction in areas of code that will require ongoing changes. This is where you most need experienced and talented engineers. - maintain testing discipline - conservative dependency management and picking the right battles between DIY and open-source - creating periodic blocks of time for engineers to refactor software or architecture.

jakelarkin··on New ethics courses in computer science
great, but how about also focusing on the MBAs and non-tech background managers/execs that fill out the 5-10 levels of hierarchy above line engineers at any BigTechCo. Not like bottom-of-the-rung SWEs necessarily have visibility or control of the company selling some ads to customers using them for dis-information campaigns. Or how about teaching fact-checking & propaganda skepticism to ALL citizens.

too often the problems currently ascribed to "tech" are problems of society as whole.

jakelarkin··on Bay Area family’s quest to create a backyard container home
everything in housing is codified around the naive technology of early 20th century America homebuilding - mostly bespoke wood frame structures. Try something different and you will have to pay up for special consideration, mostly so that everyone up and down the approval/work chain can contractually cover their liability without having to think too hard about it.
jakelarkin··on California's hidden homeless: workers living in cars due to property prices
starting to believe that homeless camps are our a logical outcome of the legal/governance system. If cities build housing for the homeless they become responsible (assume civil liability) for their health, well-being, property, safety and civil rights to a much greater degree. In addition to the actual service costs they have to deal with nitpicky lawsuits. Suddenly every 1000 homeless you house is 100m/year budget item. No voters/donors want the city budget slashed or to build a lot of poverty-level housing. So whats the rational thing for local politicians to do ... given nobody dies from exposure in California, easier and cheaper to let the homeless fester on some side streets or little-visited skid row neighborhoods, provide some token services without taking responsibility. sad truth.
jakelarkin··on DIY MacBook Stand
ah, the mythical $500 MacBook stand (4 or 5 college textbooks)
jakelarkin··on Ajit Pai is right
right but typically the company has to be close to a monopoly for the federal gov't to scrutinize their actions. and the bureaucratic/legal bar for monopoly has been contorted quite far from the common sense one, especially in the case of ISPs.
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