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ip26

9,764 karma · joined September 26, 2018

thebass (at) gmail
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ip26··on "Normal" engineers are the key to great teams
People disagree on what it looks like. If you think it’s an engineer who types 10x more lines of code, or makes 10x less bugs, there is someone ready to argue that person doesn’t exist or is actually a boat anchor.

Once you define it as an engineer who ships 10x as much business impact (ships fewer bugs, builds the right features, etc), it’s less contested but also less glamorous and harder to measure. In fact you start to develop an inkling that such people may not even be the same coders you once idolized.

ip26··on “Normal” engineers are the key to great teams
It’s been described before that this mythical unicorn is instead 10% more efficient- as well as works 10% harder, does 10% more of the right things (e.g. less waste), understands everything 10% better… the multipliers stack. You get the idea.
ip26··on Kill your Feeds – Stop letting algorithms dictate what you think
… and you are watching it because the HackerNews algorithm put this link on the top of its feed.
ip26··on Geothermal power is a climate moon shot beneath our feet
I would have thought directional drilling could work to bridge the two boreholes
ip26··on The $1.5B Bybit Hack: The Era of Operational Security Failures Has Arrived
It seems more analogous to the Soviets infiltrating your small business. Which no small business owner is prepared to screen for, and which happened.
ip26··on Apple Debuts iPhone 16e
Their first CPU was launched in 2010, and development likely began in 2006-2007. The M1 launched to much fanfare in 2020.
ip26··on To avoid being replaced by LLMs, do what they can't
Simulators are the bridge. Just like AI could operate calc.exe to cross check math, it could use a circuit simulator to prove a circuit topology.

Perhaps our future overlord will thank you :)

ip26··on Life is more than an engineering problem
I’m not demanding it discover new science before it can be called intelligent. It’s a thought experiment.
ip26··on Life is more than an engineering problem
Can an LLM discover a new theory of natural law, such as prove or disprove string theory? This is what I ponder. The creation or discovery of something new that it can’t just copy, that would have to be discovered via human thought otherwise. Something provably true. The equivalent of discovering general relativity before humans had.
ip26··on Nvidia’s $589B DeepSeek rout
Not sure if I believe it’s bearish, but the PC made computers cheaper and demand exploded, yet wasn’t very good for IBM.
ip26··on To make electricity cheaper and greener, connect the world's grids
That feels like a tilted assessment. The technical solutions can break down enormous walls, and very quickly. There are just some walls they can't - political, social, etc - and once the other walls have been leveled, we tend to get focused on those & lament.
ip26··on AI founders will learn the bitter lesson
The people selling models are actually just selling compute

Yes, fully agreed. Anything AI is discovering in your dataset could have been found by humans, and it could have been done by a more efficient program. But that would require humans to carefully study it and write the program. AI lets you skip the novel analysis of the data and writing custom programs by using a generalizable program that solves those steps for you by expending far more compute.

I see it as, AI could remove the most basic obstacle preventing us from applying compute to vast swathes of problems- and that’s the need to write a unique program for the problem at hand.

ip26··on Meta's memo to employees rolling back DEI programs
The "good old boys" network is a problem. But given how hard we all agree it is to interview effectively and determine who is a great fit for the role in a matter of a few hours, there's a lot of good sense in hiring people already widely known to be excellent by your team from years of past experience working together.
ip26··on I am rich and have no idea what to do
The mountains are loaded with metaphor, seem nearly insurmountable, filled with danger and excitement…

Turns out, of course, that they are less dangerous than in the past, money goes a long way, and the human body is pretty good at walking even without training.

Notice it’s never free climbing the nose in a day, which would require 5-7 years of dedicated training.

ip26··on I am rich and have no idea what to do
One did a lot of reasonable little stuff but never did anything with much impact again

This always stymies me. If I were to make it big, I’d want to go on to do other very useful things. But so commonly that doesn’t happen. Is it because they lost the fire? Because they were really lucky exactly once? Or perhaps their talents were suited only to that one thing?

ip26··on I am rich and have no idea what to do
As a founder, the people relying on him would have been the employees at Loom. But now that’s done. Far from the first story about a founder feeling unmoored after a buyout.
ip26··on How AI is unlocking ancient texts
artificially produced gaps in ancient texts

Someone deleted part of a known text.

This does require the AI hasn’t been trained on the test text previously..

ip26··on MI300X vs. H100 vs. H200 Benchmark Part 1: Training – CUDA Moat Still Alive
It does seem like an improvement. Six or twelve months ago, I recall a lot of crashes and even more basic problems. “If you tune it right, it’s awesome” is a big step forward compared to that.
ip26··on The higher fertility of TSMC semiconductor workers
people just want to travel, party, and drink instead of having kids

That’s something of a self-correcting problem, don’t you think?

ip26··on Show HN: Cut the crap – remove AI bullshit from websites
Wait, are you suggesting they SEO'd the article on how to remove SEO filler? I'm sure that can't be true.
ip26··on Show HN: Cut the crap – remove AI bullshit from websites
I see it more like, there are a lot of relationships balanced by conflict, such as Adsense advertiser and target audience. The advertiser wants you to buy product, the target audience wants to get free content. Both sides will exploit every tool at their disposal (Adsense metrics, adblockers) to get an upper hand in the relationship. It just so happens that this time, AI can play both sides.
ip26··on McKinsey unit will pay $123M to settle claims it bribed South African officials
Why?

The explanation I've heard before is that when you need anything from a thoroughly corrupt government, as simple as a building permit or a visa for a foreign employee involved in a project, officials will simply not process your request without a bribe. They believe it is owed. End of story.

I don't like the explanation in the slightest. But I do see how it might shut down opportunity if you can't overpower the obstacles, and aren't willing to bribe.

The utility of US laws against bribing foreign officials is to break down the expectation by those officials of a bribe. But, from a game theory point of view, if China is willing to bribe, this becomes much less effective.

ip26··on Honeycrisp apples went from marvel to mediocre
The clearing price probably actually rises with improved color and shape, and the overhead declines with greater shelf stability. It’s not until years later that consumers slowly realize the texture and taste have gone downhill (as result of these developments) that clearing price begins to decline. So the market has a lag in response; it resembles a high value brand being sucked dry.
ip26··on Understanding SIMD: Infinite complexity of trivial problems
Is CUDA not more analogous to using MKL, rather than AVX?
ip26··on Hey, wait – is employee performance Gaussian distributed?
You can apply a filter to top 10% talent and get a perfectly well supplied collection of driven, high output people who are motivated by high TC. It’s a subset, of course. And while visionary genius may not be motivated by TC, nobody said Netflix was looking to crack string theory. People don’t have to be passionate about their job to do really good work.
ip26··on Hey, wait – is employee performance Gaussian distributed?
If IQ is a good predictor of employee performance, then it does follow that employee performance would be Gaussian. It doesn’t matter that IQ was “made” to be Gaussian.
ip26··on Hey, wait – is employee performance Gaussian distributed?
There’s a “marriage problem” element not covered here. The marginal value of an employee is higher if the team they join is small. Eventually, the team reaches a size where more employees add little value. Most people understand this. However, it follows that the marginal productivity theory of wages gets more complicated. They might not be willing to pay you the full value they get from your work, for example, because they might suspect a replacement (e.g., keeping team size constant) would likely produce higher value. Or, they might pay you much closer to the full value of your work than others because they fear a replacement would likely bring lower value.
ip26··on Hey, wait – is employee performance Gaussian distributed?
The actual value is complex. The only reason an engineer’s presence at the company generates $X in revenue is because the company already has sales, marketing, finance, legal, and all the other necessary functions covered. On their own, that engineer’s output is worth less. So a light switch test does not tell the whole story. The surplus from the combined output is deserved by everyone whose input is required for those $X, not just the engineer.

In different terms, maybe you leaving costs the company $X. But if product engineer Joe Bob left first, maybe you leaving suddenly only costs the company $Y, where $X > $Y. Are you really worth $X?

ip26··on Pushing AMD's Infinity Fabric to Its Limit
He goes far deeper than I remember Anandtech going.
ip26··on New Apple security feature reboots iPhones after 3 days, researchers confirm
All that private key nonsense falls in this bucket as well. What else is a private key than an attempt to guard your system behind a thin veil of "an obscure number I know and you don't"? Classic security by obscurity.
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