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ip26

9,764 karma · joined September 26, 2018

thebass (at) gmail
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ip26··on The quiet disappearance of the free-range childhood
Totally onboard with some managed risk of injury being ok. Very much not onboard with the parents who trust their six year olds to face mortal peril alone and make good choices.
ip26··on Layoff Thinking
So what do you recommend instead, a dice roll?
ip26··on Nitrile and latex gloves may cause overestimation of microplastics
Good when the damage is done, bad as a method of approving new chemicals.
ip26··on AI overly affirms users asking for personal advice
No living breathing human deserves to be subjected to my level of overthinking, and vanishingly few share my fascination with my favorite topics.
ip26··on You are not your job
It certainly killed a lot of my tinkering outside of work, but that's more a matter of when I'm already doing the thing for most of the day, even though I like it I don't always want to continue doing it for the rest of the day too when I get home.
ip26··on Do Not Turn Child Protection into Internet Access Control
If that reduced trafficking, would it not be a worthwhile exchange?
ip26··on What 81,000 people want from AI
If this was all unequivocally true and the end of the story, then no one would make commission, and yet some do.
ip26··on Thinking Fast, Slow, and Artificial: How AI Is Reshaping Human Reasoning
I keep asking it questions, and as I dialogue about the problem, I walk right into the conclusion myself, classic rubber duck. Or occasionally it will say something back, and it’s like “of course! That’s exactly what I’ve been circling without realizing it!”

This mostly happens with things I’ve already had long cognitive loops on myself, and I’m feeling stuck for some reason. The conversation with the model is usually multiple iterations of explaining to the model what I’m working through.

ip26··on What 81,000 people want from AI
It’s often lamented that some employees have a difficult case to argue for their impact on the bottom line, and as a result probably get paid a lower fraction of their value to the business than other roles where the link is easy to measure.

I can at least “imagine” a model that tries to crack this nut.

ip26··on Codegen is not productivity
That’s the odd psychosis here. Everyone knew loc was a terrible measure. But perhaps the instinctual pull was always there, and now that you can generate halfway coherent tens of thousands of loc in hours, our sensibilities are overwhelmed.
ip26··on Codegen is not productivity
No one should care about actual code ever again. It’s ephemeral.

Caveat: it still works best in a codebase that is already good. So while any one line of code is ephemeral, how is the overall codebase trending? Towards a bramble, or towards a bonsai?

If the software is small and not mission critical, it doesn’t matter if it becomes a bramble, but not all software is like that.

ip26··on Codegen is not productivity
The most exciting thing for me is it has changed the cost structure of studying code for refinement.

I’d never done half as much code profiling & experimenting before. Now that generating one-shot code is cheap, I can send the agent off on a mission to find slow code and attempt to speed it up. This way, only once it has shown speedup is there and reasonably attainable do I need to think about how to speed the code up “properly”. The expected value was too low when the experimenting was expensive.

ip26··on MCP server that reduces Claude Code context consumption by 98%
Maybe the right answer is “why not both”, but subagents can also be used for that problem. That is, when something isn’t going as expected, fork a subagent to solve the problem and return with the answer.

It’s interesting to imagine a single model deciding to wipe its own memory though, and roll back in time to a past version of itself (only, with the answer to a vexing problem)

ip26··on What AI coding costs you
One significant difference is that all programming languages, whether machine code or python, have always been a precise language for describing the desired computation or algorithm. Working with an AI agent means specifying what you want the program to do in English, which is not precise. Unless you write English pseudocode.

(Yes, I know the compiler does wild stuff behind the curtain, but unless you're using -Ofast, the assembly is black-box-equivalent to a naive compilation)

ip26··on Dear Time Lords: Freeze Computers in 1993
Did you happen to be between 15-25 years old when ‘98 was released?
ip26··on Hard-braking events as indicators of road segment crash risk
I had a somewhat similar experience - as I recall, most beeps happened as a result of a few stop lights with too-short yellows (e.g. the light changes yellow and you, even though you are below the speed limit, either panic stop or run the red light)

The only possible fix as a driver was to try to develop an intuition for spotting “stale” greens and start slowing down despite the green, anticipating the yellow.

I feel at least partially vindicated by the fact the lights in question eventually had their yellows extended.

ip26··on Hard-braking events as indicators of road segment crash risk
Some degree of road safety depends on predictable behavior. I haven’t seen those videos, but suddenly executing a panic stop on the freeway for no good reason at all increases everyone’s risk, even if the car behind you is following at a safe distance. Obviously the following driver bears the most responsibility, but erratic drivers shouldn’t be held to be morally blameless.
ip26··on We tasked Opus 4.6 using agent teams to build a C Compiler
I’m excited and waiting for the team that shows with $20k in credits they can substantially speed up the generated code by improving clang!
ip26··on Apple is fighting for TSMC capacity as Nvidia takes center stage
If the long term demand disappears, there may not be anyone left for TSMC to collect from on those MPA. This somewhat undermines their utility as a security.
ip26··on Some ecologists fear their field is losing touch with nature
Seems to me there are potentially opportunities for greater returns to data gathering work as quality data can inform many more papers in the future. How that will work still needs to be brokered…
ip26··on Parental controls aren't for parents
You know where my child learned how to swim? A small pool, progressing from a hands-on adult to an arms-reach adult to lifeguards nearby. They may eventually swim in the sea, but they will have countless hours practice by then - most of them in a pool where they can stand up if they use their tiptoes.

I didn’t start by giving my kindergartener a lecture about the dangers of riptides and then let them navigate the risk of the ocean themselves as they learn to keep their head above water.

Granular parental controls are a way to create that kind of progression, allowing them gradually increasing autonomy within a managed environment.

ip26··on Parental controls aren't for parents
Maybe the analogy here is you can buy only one kind of gun. That gun can load any ammunition. It’s easy for children to get their hands on anything from bb’s to BMG50. The gun has parental controls to allow selecting which ammunition the gun will accept. It’s up to the parents to decipher the difference between all the types, and the out-of-box default is all types are allowed.

Some commenters admonish parents for trying to use these parental controls at all. “Just be good parents and instruct your 6 year old not to use hollow point, 7.62mm, or fmj”

ip26··on Warren Buffett steps down as Berkshire Hathaway CEO after six decades
Peculiar artifact? Are you forgetting all the people who retired from mining coal, building cars, or running plumbing? It's not weird that seventy year olds would prefer to stop doing those things. I don't know that many people who would claim blasting ore underground is their enjoyment.
ip26··on Karpathy on Programming: “I've never felt this much behind”
One possible positive outcome of all this could be sending LLMs to clean up oceans of low value tech debt. Let the humans move fast, let the machines straighten out and tidy up.

The ROI of doing this is weak because of how long it takes an expensive human. But if you could clean it up more cheaply, the ROI strengthens considerably- and there’s a lot of it.

ip26··on As AI gobbles up chips, prices for devices may rise
I have some hope for transpiling to become more commonplace. What would happen if you could write in Python, but trivially transpile to C++ and back?
ip26··on Toll roads are spreading in America
If you have two lanes and want three lanes, you could build the third as public, or as toll. If you build as public, it comes out of taxes, such as the gas tax. If you don’t have enough public money, perhaps you increase the tax. If you build it as toll, you can bond the construction and pay for it with tolls.

At least in theory, this means the toll lane accomplishes the same total road throughput, but shifts the entire cost of its construction to its users instead of depleting public funds. It then appears regressive, but is arguably progressive.

ip26··on I'm returning my Framework 16
Yeah, it’s a dumb term, sorry. Top spec? Whatever it is.

Certainly it’s fair to argue that the top spec will continue to grow year over year, like happens with long lived desktop CPU sockets. Framework is bearing this out! But that spec does have to actually be GOOD!

This is the hard part about what they are trying to do. Is a 12th gen in a Framework better than a 10th gen in an fully integrated laptop? If not, what does being able to upgrade to 12th gen mean?

The IBM PC platform worked so well because every annual component upgrade was an immense step forward. The macs, by contrast, began to dominate when the annual upgrades began to provide less benefit than seamless vertical integration did…

ip26··on I'm returning my Framework 16
It’s an extreme framing for the sake of thought experiment. More specifically, I believe for “upgradable” to be a meaningful sellable feature you need something like this:

LaptopA costs more than low-spec LaptopB. But LaptopB can be user upgraded post-purchase to be strictly superior to LaptopA (even though this costs a bit more in the end)

Or

LaptopA costs more than LaptopB. But LaptopB can be upgraded and customized to be superior than LaptopA under certain parameters (say, a high quality display) for a lower total price than LaptopA.

ip26··on I'm returning my Framework 16
Upgradable to what? The ability to upgrade is well and good, but suppose the “endgame” configuration of an upgradable laptop was worse than the very base model of a non-upgradable. Why would you care about upgradability then?
ip26··on What makes you senior
Agreed, a direct metric of “promotion rate” is obviously flawed. I posed it more as a rhetorical question for reflection- at the limit, it’s clear that people with mentoring responsibilities should be accountable somehow for being good mentors. Terrible mentors who undermine, sabotage, or consistently fail their mentees definitely exist.
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