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imwithstoopid

129 karma · joined March 22, 2023

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imwithstoopid··on Greenland ice sheet is close to a melting point of no return
Nope.

Get the best minds in the world together and ask for an action plan for salvaging climate within two generations...100% chance it will be some variation of "live like its 1880"

imwithstoopid··on Greenland ice sheet is close to a melting point of no return
exactly, fly all over the world and tell the dirt poor uneducated masses about the dangers of carbon emissions!

and then realize the dirt poor uneducated masses already have a low carbon footprint because THEY'RE DIRT POOR

imwithstoopid··on Greenland ice sheet is close to a melting point of no return
live like its 1880

buy stuff as if the garbage man does not exist...in 1880 they didn't have trash removal

buy one set of clothes you wear pretty much every day until they fall off of you

buy a few tools that will last you forever

no more disposable anything, remember the trash man doesn't exist

wash clothes by hand

cook everything yourself, even better grow your own food

sorry no biking, rubber is an industrial process...you walk everywhere just like great grampa did

no need to worry about fossil fuels...you won't be using them in any capacity other than maybe a nice fire in the winter in your wood burning stove which will be the only "appliance" you own (good news - they last forever!)

etc etc

this is probably what sustainable living looks like until we get star trek matter synthesizers

you'll never get a date living like this but you'll also never again worry about 98% of the crap of modern life

imwithstoopid··on Apple passwords deserve an app
don't lose or break your phone....
imwithstoopid··on Big oil on campus: how US universities are ‘colonized’ by fossil-fuel industry
Rich kids at Ivies come from wealthy households that surely consume 5x the fossil fuels as average Americans, and probably 100x the global average

Big homes, vacation homes, pleasure boats, SUVs, sports cars, ski trips to Switzerland...I know how cruel it was for Exxon to force all of these terrible luxuries on to your families

imwithstoopid··on First-Citizens Bank to assume deposits and loans of Silicon Valley Bridge Bank
you as the seller don't get to "discount" treasuries, its auto-computed (why would it not be? your treasuries are not special, no one has any reason to buy yours over another with approximately the same duration)

its a currency market, liquid and fungible...there is no "enticement" of buyers

imwithstoopid··on Windows needs to stop showing tabloid news
> But linux assumes you kinda sorta do want to do it.

huh?

imwithstoopid··on First Republic's courtship of the wealthy led to meltdown
oh Wells Fargo has this too...try them out and you will see why the competition is just fine
imwithstoopid··on The sad state of U.S. life expectancy
let's just call this one out - the people on HN who say diet and exercise don't matter are fat and trying to rationalize it
imwithstoopid··on Windows needs to stop showing tabloid news
> The average HN user seems to be a fervent Linux fan

maybe at one time, and it might be cool if that were true...but I would say HN is probably 90% fully committed to the Apple ecosystem at this point

no different than the general public for their age cohort...we are slowly running out of people...even "technical" people, who understand systems under the hood

imwithstoopid··on Windows needs to stop showing tabloid news
> I can rebuild an engine, but I pay a mechanic to do it. I don't buy cars as pet projects. I just want to drive the goddamn thing.

this is hackernews, not usernews

imwithstoopid··on First Republic's courtship of the wealthy led to meltdown
the high-net-worth customers will be back

there was never any real reason for them to bail on FRC, they just freaked out

they won't be getting personalized banking from BofA or Wells Fargo

the dip on FRC stock will be one of the best buy-in opportunities in years

imwithstoopid··on First-Citizens Bank to assume deposits and loans of Silicon Valley Bridge Bank
Treasuries are the most liquid market in the world, they are basically used as currency at a certain level.

You can sell treasuries almost instantly for an instantly computed discount/premium...it's not like selling real estate, treasuries are nearly perfectly fungible

So it's not really a matter of demand for low yield treasuries...they've been instantly revalued every second since they were issued. All that matters is the duration remaining.

imwithstoopid··on Ask HN: How do I move forward after being laid off?
1. If you've been working for 26 years, no one will care about your degree. Finish it if you want, but it's safe to say it isn't going to matter for your job search.

2. A job is just a thing you do to get money. You won't be the only person who does something else for a while as you job hunt.

3. Retrain. This is a great time to adopt new sills. We have probably seen the end of the CRUD era, and a lot of folks will be learning this the hard way.

imwithstoopid··on Ukraine’s scramble for “game-changer” drone fleet
The Iranian drones are definitely not camera toys.
imwithstoopid··on The sad state of U.S. life expectancy
obesity...the story tries to pin this on COVID but COVID was mostly a fast-forward for obese people (or old people, or in the worst case, both)

there are still some people who think COVID impacted fit people equally...as if it were some random lightning strike

the least obese state as of 2019 is more obese than the most obese state as of 1990

literally no one is making progress

now the rest of the world is adopting the American lifestyle and catching up to us on obesity too

we dramatically underestimate the amount of physical activity we need

we dramatically misunderstand nutrition

next up in the US is people moving from merely obese to morbidly obese - 200lbs+ will be normal...300lbs+ is next-level

HN has this weird thing where they tell me "correlation does not equal causation" so we can't really say obesity is related to diet and exercise

suuuure

imwithstoopid··on The layoffs will continue until (investor) morale improves
my point was that the layoff rationalization posts on HN are irrelevant

a company can grow profits by moving the top line up or the bottom line down

if they can't move the top line up, they will move the bottom line down

imwithstoopid··on The layoffs will continue until (investor) morale improves
let's just simplify this so the next few years aren't too hard to figure out

why are tech companies laying people off?

because they can

imwithstoopid··on The layoffs will continue until (investor) morale improves
how can startups absorb all this talent when their fates are hanging by an even thinner thread than bigtech?

and how do React devs help a battery startup make better batteries?

imwithstoopid··on What's the next idea that will be used by a billion people?
That when the police aren't coming, you can do what you want
imwithstoopid··on An Anxious Asia Arms for a War It Hopes to Prevent
Russia won the Eastern Front despite suffering dramatically higher casualties than the Germans

China smashed the US at Chosin Resevoir despite dramatically higher casualties

Ho Chi Minh once said something like "ten Vietnamese will die for every US soldier that dies...we will win"

and he was right

keep that in mind

every American should learn about Chosin Reservoir...a forgotten battle that may very well be the worst US military defeat since WW2, maybe the only time in recent history where US soldiers broke unit cohesion and were running for their lives

imwithstoopid··on An Anxious Asia Arms for a War It Hopes to Prevent
they're dual citizens, I'm many steps ahead of you
imwithstoopid··on An Anxious Asia Arms for a War It Hopes to Prevent
even from a purely material perspective, the US would lose little - China will be more than happy to sell us chips from its conquered TSMC labs just like they are happy to sell us everything else (and chips are not a singular strategic issue - we already need Chinese rare earth minerals among many other things, not just cheap crap at Walmart)

the only real losers are the Taiwanese who now don't own those factories anymore (but are otherwise fine - they will be on the first planes out)...and American soldiers who are dead or maimed

...and still, no one seems willing to answer if they or their kids should be among the dead/maimed

rich Americans with opportunities are far too comfortable about asking poor/disadvantaged Americans (i.e almost everyone who joins the armed forces) to die for oil, phones etc

bring back the draft, get kids from Stanford and MIT CS potentially on the front line and you will see a 180 change in almost all US policy

imwithstoopid··on An Anxious Asia Arms for a War It Hopes to Prevent
the owners of Taiwan's capital must be just thrilled to have so many willing mercenaries

answer honestly any parents of teens here - would you volunteer your kids to defend Taiwan?

I have two 18 year-olds who will be on the first plane to Canada in the event...they're not dying so Apple can secure its relationship with TSMC

imwithstoopid··on Pentagon woos Silicon Valley to join ranks of arms makers
oh they are definitely thinking about carriers - specifically ways to kill them

China has invested rather deeply in the space of carrier-killer missiles, which are cheap enough to build that it will always be possible and economical to sink any carrier, including Ford class

imwithstoopid··on Pentagon woos Silicon Valley to join ranks of arms makers
they already have a larger Navy and will soon pass us in aircraft

while we were blowing up the Middle East, they were building shipyards

imwithstoopid··on Pentagon woos Silicon Valley to join ranks of arms makers
The gaps in US/China arms will never be closed by startups...no startup is going to start churning out Columbia-class subs or F35s.

We screwed up and lost decades on crap like the Zumwalt class, the LCS and numerous other boondoggles that easily cost us a decade and $100 bln++. The LCS really deserves special mention for a unique level of stupidity - we are scrapping them pretty much as they come off the line. Its crazy - we don't want these ships, have committed to scrapping them...and we're still ordering them! Only in America.

Let's not forget how much we built and burned in Iraq and Afghanistan. How many subs and carriers could have been built with the resources squandered? We sure did buy a lot of Humvees that never came back.

Even without those epic failures, it isn't clear we could beat the Chinese in manufacturing. Throwing bodies at a problem is definitely in their wheelhouse.

While we were bombing, they were building. Now we get to deal with it.

imwithstoopid··on Pentagon woos Silicon Valley to join ranks of arms makers
US DoD already makes its own ammo
imwithstoopid··on Pentagon woos Silicon Valley to join ranks of arms makers
So far, the "defense 2.0" companies seem to be following the path of Anduril - very high grade drones and cams. I'm not trashing them - there is a huge market for military grade observation tech.

I'm just wondering when one of these startups commits to making things that kill people.

Even then, a company isn't just limited to selling to the military...way waaaay more Sig P320s have been sold to civilians than will ever be sold to the army, and I expect the Spear to likewise be much larger for civilian sales than government sales (yes, a civilian Spear is coming).

imwithstoopid··on An Interview with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang About AI’s iPhone Moment
Apple has no present experience in building big servers (they had experience at one point, but all those people surely moved on)

Mac Minis don't count

Sure, they are super rich and could just buy their way into the space...but so far they are really far behind in all things AI with Siri being a punchline at this point

if anything, Apple proves that money alone isn't enough

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