805 karma · joined January 17, 2021
That's true for AI-slop-in-the-media (most of the internet was already lowest effort garbage, which just got that tiny bit cheaper) and probably also in medicine (a slight increase in false negatives will be much, much more expensive than speeding up doctors by 50% for image interpretation). Once you get to the point where some other doctor is willing (and able) to take on the responsibility of that radiologist, then you can eliminate that kind of doctor (but still not her work. Just the additional human-human communication)
In the time before automated T-shirt production, almost nobody bought clothes. They were just far too expensive. There were of course people that did. And those paid extremely well. But those kinds of tailors still exist!
At the same time, I do think that the comparison is less than apt. And a better one would be comparing it to the fate of lectors and copywriters. A significant amount of those have been superseded by spellchecking tools or will be by AI “reformulations”.
Yet even here I’m not sure if those jobs have seen a significant decline in absolute numbers. Even while their relative frequency kind if obviously tends to 0
The problem with that though is: You will generate an enormous amount of social friction "why am I tier 2, but (without loss of generality) Karen is Tier 1?" and reduce monetizability. So truly nobody will feel happy about those restrictions. And since it doesn't solve any engineering problem you run into (see above) there is no one incentivised to build such a thing. (Ironically this may not be completely true, given that this is pretty much how Chinese social media apps work. So maybe states [or at least power structures] are incentivised to build such a system)
And I would say at least 50% of the assemblies and Co are political. The Sea Watch people, the ones who are regularly detained by Italian authorities have their home base there.
The CCC, as an organisation, always has been a political organisation first. I wouldn’t call them a particularly successful one. But they are the opposite of agnostic or worse apolitical
And yes “energy” in general won’t be free. We still need to build the generation and distribution systems. But we reached a point where just dumping solar on all _new_ roofs rounds to essentially free (the costs are the labor and the access to qualified personnel). The exact same is currently happening to batteries. Any transformer project will be able to just integrate 4-12 hours of batteries without getting meaningfully more expensive. The same for every domestic or industry service upgrade
We are not there yet. But give it another 5 years and we will. And then we are only talking about financing what little distribution system we will need (basically you only need average-sized cables not peak-sized ones) and a capacity market for backup power systems (also only for average residual demand). And those we simply cannot (efficiently) finance by a per-kWh-used charge
There aren’t that many people that are willing to own a device from a company but not trusting that company with their data