hervature

> I’m currently going through an identity crisis (as a gearhead) as a result of this.

I would challenge you that it is your proclivity for logic that is causing your identity crisis. If you enjoy a certain aesthetic, the pursuit of that aesthetic is reason enough. You are already putting constraints on the concept of a car because strapping a rocket on wheels with wings is going to have much more performance than an EV. Redefine your pursuit to be the most performant muscle car and everything is squared. No identity crisis needed.

I think you mean webmain.

> It’s like we’re fundamentally incapable of understanding the value of shared infrastructure.

I think most people understand the value of parks, roads, and airports.

The point of their comment is that the statement is tautological regardless of the subjects.

"I could change in the coming decades."

"The most stable rock formation could change in the coming decades."

"Even under the best possible leadership, EU and US relations could change in the coming decades."

You are supposed to invest and keep the money working for you. Adjusted for inflation, S&P 500 returns 6.5% a year. That alone gets you above the poverty line. Recall, this is inflation adjusted so your $600,000 is growing with inflation and the poverty line income also grows over time. This does not account for any swings.

I think they are referring to actual gore. For example, bull fighting.

Genuine question for people in the field. My understanding is that the cooling effect of trees is primarily driven by evaporative cooling. That is, the shade effect only really exists because the plant does not shrivel up and die due to storing water. How much more effective are trees vs. big swamp coolers? Even in this article, they admit that daytime cooling of half a degree requires 3 times more water.

Conversely, preclearance at Pearson royally screwed up my TN visa after claiming that the other ports of entries were doing it wrong. I have received multiple TN from HOU and, in general, I like the CBP at HOU. EWR was always friendly as well in my opinion. I personally prefer getting my TN at land border crossings because they tend to take the "gather all the facts" approach vs. airports have a procedural approach that feels highly dependent on the agent you get. My most recent TN was I-129 which I think is a waste of money but if someone else is paying for it and you have the luxury of waiting in the US, then it's a seamless experience.

I know this is a convenient meme and narrative but this post is literally the consequence of having to pay more for labor, you get more people trying to automate it. We're talking about logistics, probably the most important component of the economy. Trucking salaries are probably the closest thing to "market clearing wages" that exists. Pay more -> more expensive shipping -> less demand to ship things -> lower wages.

Louisiana judges have their own rap sheet [1]. It is curious that they are the only state that does not have common law.

[1] - https://www.theatlantic.com/education/archive/2016/09/judges...

Neural network training is harder when the input range is allowed to deviate from [-1, 1]. The only reason why it sometimes works for neural networks is because the first layer has a chance to normalize it.

Exercising early only makes sense in some pathological examples that do occur but practically never happen. In general, very loosely, a put is worth something for the hedge plus the amount you could get for exercising it right now. Thus, if you want to exercise it right now, you just sell it and get the hedge premium.

Also, the current VIX is the same as January of 2020. If you believe the current state of the world is less certain than the outbreak of a global pandemic, I have some options to sell you.

This has been observation about the internet. Growing up in a small town without access to advanced classes, having access to Wikipedia felt like the greatest equalizer in the world. 20 years post internet, seeing the most common outcome be that people learn less as a result of unlimited access to information would be depressing if it did not result in my own personal gain.

If you cross into the US at a port-of-entry and are admitted as a visitor then you are good whether or not you took Melatonin supplements. If you enter illegally or associate with people who entered illegally, don't be surprised if you are caught up in a raid. However, even if you get detained, if you have no criminal history, you will get released after arrested because there are no more beds [1].

Seriously though, if you are going to make a cheeky reference to race, at least get the reference right. Melanin is responsible for darker skin [2].

[1] - https://www.newsweek.com/ice-seeks-more-bed-space-detainee-n...

[2] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Melanin

I'm not Peter. IANAL so do your own homework. However, I have been on TN visas for almost a decade.

1. Once you enter the US on a work visa, you are only authorized to work under the restrictions of that visa which are normally tied to a single employer. The "I was working remotely for a Canadian corp" does not fly legally speaking. Wherever your feet are are "where" you are working. That being said, one little known thing about the TN visa is that you are allowed to have multiple of them issued for multiple employers. If you get one from all of your clients, you can continue working for those clients while you are in the US. Practically speaking, they cannot tell you are working remotely and your clients are sending payment to the Canadian corp. However, if audited, do not expect to ever be allowed back into the US.

2. Anyone can start an LLC. You do not need a work visa. However, if you do not have work authorization to work for that company, then you cannot legally work on that business.

3. This is going to be a matter of preference and what you classify as flexible. TN visas are very convenient and issued at the port-of-entry which makes them quick to process. They are also indefinitely renewable and multiple can be issued for multiple employers. The other visas you mention will take months to process. The rules to transition to E-2 are clear "If the treaty investor is currently in the United States in a lawful nonimmigrant status, they may file Form I-129 to request a change of status to E-2 classification."

4. Consulting is one of the most scrutinized jobs under the TN classification. I do not like being the bearer of bad news but obtaining a Green Card is now a 5+ year process unless you qualify for EB-1 or marry a US citizen which you can get right away. However, you probably do not qualify based on the fact you are focused on consulting. I am not an expert on E-2 visas so I don't know how consulting is treated under that visa but it may very well be your best bet.

To clarify, the circuit is almost always 20A with 15A being used for lighting. However, the outlet itself is almost always 15A because you put multiple outlets on a single circuit. You are going to see very few 20A in outlets (which have a T shaped prong) in residential.

How is agreeing not to put tolls on roads built with money that was not yours a dumb technicality? That's literally the interstate system and how the federal government can even attempt to enforce a national speed limit.

This is incredibly misleading. The average price per solar install is $3/W so your 5kWh is probably much closer to $15k. Additionally, "+ labor" is actually 66% of the price of solar in the USA (soft costs + balance of system). Could you do the labor yourself? Of course. Do you have the time and tools? Probably not. Is saying "$2000 + labor" false? Technically, no, functionally, yes. All numbers taken from [1]. These do not include batteries in the install.

[1] - https://www.solar.com/learn/solar-panel-cost/

Actually, the planes from both crashes were Bombardier, a Canadian company. The first one means operated by a US company and the second one refers to a crash in the US.

These are NVidia's financial results last quarter:

- Data Center: Third-quarter revenue was a record $30.8 billion

- Gaming and AI PC: Third-quarter Gaming revenue was $3.3 billion

If the gains are for only 10% of your customers, I would put this closer to the "next to no gains" rather than the "massive gains".

For Least Squares, you do not even use a hidden layer. Just a single dense layer from input directly to output. You also do not use an activation function (or use the identity activation function). That is, everything that makes neural networks special.

I am going to assume you do not live in the USA based on this comment. Most supermodels, which I'm using as a proxy for aesthetic preference, have BMIs under 20.

Definition of exaggerate:

To consider, represent, or cause to appear as larger, more important, or more extreme than is actually the case; overstate.

As you point out, the weighted difference is ~17 which you can clearly see in the data. Increasing this by a full point is quite significant and most people do not even have the intuition that it is even mathematically possible to increase 17 to 18. This is why we teach Simpson's paradox. I also posted the data so people could come to their own conclusion. Just because you use a definition of exaggeration to mean some nonsensically large difference, that does not make my claim misleading.

I knew that you were going to get attacked because someone would take your statement as hateful. Unfortunately, it takes longer to collect data than it does to write a dumb comment. They took your factual statement of Simpson's paradox being able to drive one global summary (lower overall scores - a bad thing) counter to the local summaries (increased scores by all groups - a good thing) explained by shifting population proportions as you "blaming immigrants" for the bad outcome when the logical extension of your statement is "hold on, we may have a good thing going on". Ignore @mmooss.

Thank you for the high quality comment. I'll try to add some insight here for race. Using the reports [1] and [2], the difference for Grade 4 students are:

American Indian / Alaska Native - 2.5% in 2019 - 1.6% in 2023 - 515 in 2019 - 504 in 2023

Asian - 5.3% in 2019 - 4.3% in 2023 - 586 in 2019 - 571 in 2023

Black - 13.2% in 2019 - 15.5% in 2023 - 494 in 2019 - 468 in 2023

Hispanic - 25.8% in 2019 - 26.3% in 2023 - 508 in 2019 - 491 in 2023

Native Hawaiian / Other Pacific Islander - 1.7% in 2019 - 0.9% in 2023 - 500 in 2019 - 457 in 2023

Two or more races - 5.6% in 2019 - 8.1% in 2023 - 554 in 2019 - 542 in 2023

White - 45.9% in 2019 - 43.2% in 2023 - 559 in 2019 - 543 in 2023

It looks like all groups suffered at least 10 points in loss but these effects are definitely exaggerated by the reweighing of population proportions.

[1] - https://nces.ed.gov/timss/results19/index.asp#/math/achievem...

[2] - https://nces.ed.gov/timss/results23/index.asp#/math/achievem...

What these analyses normally miss:

- Building codes have changed. Things are much safer now than in the past. The chance of dying in a fire has decreased 1/4 since 1950 [1].

- Houses are much bigger. Houses have almost tripled in size [2].

- Quality of finishes have increased. People will probably debate me on this because things have generally gotten cheaper over time but that means that the expectation for a house now is quartz countertops and not vinyl.

- Desirability has changed. For example, the number of sports teams have tripled since 1950.

[1] - https://www.statista.com/statistics/526310/timeline-deaths-n...

[2] - https://www.ahs.com/home-matters/real-estate/the-2022-americ...

Are you an American citizen or ever had a desire to immigrate to another country? Do people fall in love and get married without thinking of the practical consequences? Yes. Do people also not get married to their love because it messes with their immigration? Also yes. Both are reasonable.

This is my (not Peter's) advice for Canadians/Mexicans for TN, Australians for E-3, and seems to apply for Singaporeans/Chileans for H-1B1: If it is an automated system, just put no. That may be an automatic filter. There will be time to talk to a human and say "all we need is X/Y/Z" where X/Y/Z is something the hiring manager can do without involving a lawyer. If a human is asking you, then just say "Yes. I need a visa but I can walk you through the process. No lawyer needed."

That's not at all what that "study" says. It is a critique (in poor taste if you ask me) that everything does not require a double-blind study.

I assume you are pointing this out because it is the first reference in the paper and getting the recognition it deserves and you are simply providing this link for convenience to those who do not go to the references.