henrifdrake

The correction is based on physics is really quite straightforward...

How can you distinguish survivorship bias different from... developing better models? If there are any models that made quantitative predictions of global temperature change (whether warming, cooling, or neither), please let me know. I am extremely interested :)

P.S. Read the paper here: https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha08910q.html

Indeed, the authors (I am one of them) would appreciate this. I'll personally add any extra papers you find to the plots. If it turns out we really left out some important papers, we (or at least I) will publish a revision to the paper.

P.S. Our coauthor at NASA was able to host the paper on their official site for anyone to read. https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha08910q.html

I share your wish for open access journals.

We didn't find any quantitative and peer-reviewed projections of cooling, or we would have included them. If you know of any, please let me know and I'll publish an update to the paper.