hansmayer

I agree. But I was talking about the "super secret" ability to write prompts, which pretty much anyone can do.

Well, your title certainly was not, in any case!

Well, it is a big news when the COO of Uber says it no? Not quite some small consultancy shop here.

Funny you should mention Uber. What was it their COO said recently about the AI costs?

> I currently subscribe to the $100/month Max plan from Anthropic and the $100/month Pro plan from OpenAI. If you are a heavy user of coding agents these plans are a fantastic deal.

Agreed. But its only a great deal because it is heavily subsidized, as you said yourself. Enjoy while it lasts, but in my book, product-market fit means something along the lines of "product which enjoys a loyal customer base, sold at a price perceived fair by the customers, and generating profit. How many of these does your definition of product-market fit hit here?

This should be the top comment. Also, I think its not that many people, including our Simon here, are not good at math. Its more like, some of them seem to be incentivised to not be cough, cough, "good at math". How else will the hype sell?

> Anthropic are strongly rumored to be about to have their first profitable quarter

No, its more like their own leak to WSJ and according to Ed Zitron -> seems to be heavily engineered via non-GAAP practices such as counting potential, but not realised revenue as actual revenue - the stuff for which I would be arrested if I did it at my company.

Also it appears according to Ed's analysis - strangely they seem to be projecting only that one quarter as profitable - potentially to calm the investors ahead of the IPO. Investor fraud anyone?

Well... it is still a huge relative increase. And who knows where it could lead them, if they can sustain that sort of growth on a weekly basis...compounding and all...

Here is a provocative thought - maybe these are the so-called "better designs" from LLMs? It's not like writing English sentences is some huge secret you are sitting on that no one else knows.

No, it's not just you. It is fairly obvious what's happening - the same old Entshittificators now have a great tool to up the speed of entshitification by 100x - thus these crappy outages every other day.

It seems before AI eats software, its going to first eat GH and Microsoft.

Please. Don't compare the objectively useful deterministically operating tools with the stochastic shit-generating-machines.

Oh well now, let's see if it really is a disagreement with the majority indeed.

I mean at this point, you should just write a few deterministic orchestration scripts to automate away the boring parts and write the code yourself. Why are we wasting our time on making the wonder shit-machine work?

We really need a tool to flag and remove AI slop like this.

Oh great! Another AI slop article about "working" with AI (= working for AI). Do you notice how much bloody work you put in the boring parts, only to leave out the most creative aspect of software engineering to a slot-machine?

:) Really? Because in the same paragraph, their solution to avoiding hallucinations is using an expert system, you know that stuff we declared as un-scalable decades ago: "However, a non-hallucinating model could be easily created, using a question-answer database and a calculator, which answers a fixed set of questions such as “What is the chemical symbol for gold?” and well-formed mathematical calculations such as “3 + 8”, and otherwise outputs IDK. "

Do you still think they are inevitable? Are we going to now feed the Shit-Chat-Gpt with a lookup table of all addition combinations in the universe? Please stop trying to justify this crap, it will never really work.

> if you engineers

What are people like you who were bad at maths in school doing in engineering companies anyway?

Sweet Jesus, so not only are they performing qualitatively worse than humans, too expensive for any serious work, but now they also "need" to sleep? What's next - unionisation so they can enjoy 8 hours of culture too?

That's a lot of words, out of which I am unable to understand what your material gains had been so far. And I don't mean the bullshit that the hired managers/CEOs usually mention, like story point "productivity" and "tickets closed". I mean the stuff that founders, i.e. people with skin in the game value: what key features did you build with the incredibly productive new workflows and how much ARR did they generate? How much did you decrease your cost of customer acquisition and how much did you increase your customer LTV? Let's skip the gamified "playing house" bullshit and talk numbers.

> the second crowd that believe AI is an ontological evil, are a much more vocal (and insular) minority.

Wasn't that generally the case that people seeing through something as bad, regardless of whether it indeed was evil or something of lesser degree of badness, were usually the minority? Think we've got ample evidence in each century.

One other thing I noticed - the AI idiots are always the ones to volunteer their "experience" and say how they find it super helpful. Not once have I heard them say they find it useful, and that is after they first hear you say it's not helpful and explain in detail why. Dunning-Kruger or not, but they must think they are smarter and seeing something we are not seeing, for some reason.

Agree, indeed a great term. I will adopt it in discussions with AI boosters.

> really sophisticated stuff with claude - custom skills, plugins, tooling

You mean the "make-no-mistakes.md" and linter pipeline? Did not know that was now considered top-notch stuff.

No way - everyone tells me the AI adoption is going great?

> new data centers are being frantically built to satisfy the demand.

More like, frantically being announced and hyped up. How much new capacity has really come online recently? Show me the data, let's not bullshit here.

No, it's a myth - actually they scoffed and complained very loudly recently when they were picking a destination for a school trip, and the teacher suggested they would use ChatGPT "quickly" to compare their suggestions. Also anyone who thinks the kids could survive school assignments based on ChatGPT...clearly does not know who schools work these days...

Buddy you keep changing the parameters. Nobody talks about downloads, what are you talking about? What circle? Have you been following the graduation ceremonies in the US recently? Seen the AI boosters being booed off into oblivion ? Is that a "terminally online circle"? And if you think young people don't care about the envionment or ethics ... Maybe you should get out a bit more, it sounds like you are describing yourself, talking about terminally online folks...

> I see plenty of deep adoption by junior folks

Where mate? Details?

> From the details on every model so far - each model is wildly profitable over it's amotized time-frame

Is it? Is that why all of them are switching their users from the subsidized flat-rates to billing based on usage?

> hence it's conclusions are a bit off the mark

You're funny - they are spot on and any dreamer who is working for equity in these LLM-wrapper-product companies who dreams of getting rich in the next few years or so, is in for a nasty surprise.

> and it saves me time when I have to write end of quarter status updates".

You boss is a fucking moron. How is that shit even legal, especially in publicly traded companies I wonder? It makes me livid - people invest their pension funds into these companies which are managed by shitty slot machines now?

Not to mention that there is a reason why long reports are long - they contain details that will invariably be skipped by the LLM-ShitGenerators. But I guess it makes them "productive".