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h0l0cube

3,974 karma · joined September 27, 2014

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h0l0cube··on Hands-On with Vescin: MINI's New Vegan Friendly Interior That Replaces Leather
> if instead of proselytizing this was framed as a sort of luxury preference

> Personally I'm fond of venison

You just talked right past me. I was saying specifically—read the comment again—about factory farming and how that is distinct from wild caught food. If you really feel strongly that hunted meat should be consumed more, you should proselytize the ability to sell it. Animals can live their happy lives in nature, we lose a significant X-risk, and those with this 'luxury preference' of eating meat can do so without the extra step of lifelong torture. You might find some resistance from factory farms that have built a business model upon this kind of misery, and also from established fast food chains, and everyday consumers, that want access to consistently cheap meat.

h0l0cube··on Hands-On with Vescin: MINI's New Vegan Friendly Interior That Replaces Leather
> If the "industrial scale" is the main point, that looks like a solid argument - except why focus on animals? There's also tree plantations, mines, cities, and anything else that isn't sitting in the jungle doing craftwork.

I think the "factory farming" is the point. The manner of which animals are treated throughout their lifetime, and the manner in which they are dispatched, would make most people squirm. What's worse is that animals are shot and mostly just disposed of to keep crops from being eaten, and in many places it's illegal to sell meat from these or other wild caught animals. Often this is justified by a need to control disease or parasites, but more likely it's to protect the livestock industry. And of course, livestock will be crammed as close as possible to each other to 'increase productivity', and this poses a significant biohazard, as we've seen recently with the avian flu outbreak (and prior bird flu outbreaks, swine flu, mad cow disease etc. etc.) putting to question this justification of public health.

h0l0cube··on Elon Musk's terrifying vision for AI
I'm not so bothered about fools being parted with their money. In a perfect economy, they ought to be.

> a sci-fi hazard

Until it isn't. And we wouldn't know when this comes to pass, because few are motivated to care about it.

h0l0cube··on Elon Musk's terrifying vision for AI
> People do the same thing with dogs and other animals -- assume an intelligence similar to their own, based on superficial behavior.

Dogs are intelligent, just not the sort of intelligence that builds civilizations.

> With a broad enough definition of "thinking" we can say that computers "think." A calculator qualifies with a loose enough definition of "thinking."

Going back to your earlier stated belief that life is essential to intelligence, the wiki article states that life is:

> defined descriptively by the capacity for homeostasis, organisation, metabolism, growth, adaptation, response to stimuli, and reproduction.

I don't think SOTA LLMs with COT are necessary intelligent, I'm only saying that a silicon basis and boolean logic don't preclude emergent intelligence, or even consciousness. But let's see how much SOTA LLMs with COT could qualify for.

Homeostatis: Check. COT can iterate until a stable-enough answer is achieved. The LLM isn't in charge of managing the physical state of it's own hardware however.

Organisation: LLMs are an ordered structure – a graph of MLPs. The silicon on which it runs is an ordered structure

Growth: LLMs grow in size with time as human feedback is given and then fed back into the model. They also grow in compute power and memory.

Adaptation: LLMs are astoundingly flexible, moreso than any polymath genius you're likely to cross in meatspace

Response to Stimuli: LLMs are processing external inputs, mostly text.

Reproduction: Well.. LLMs aren't in charge of manufacture yet, and too unwieldy in memory and compute to clone themselves

I think other things such as self-preservation and real agency of thought are really what's missing, and suddenly we'd have something a lot like 'life'.

> not seeing anything that looks like thinking or consciousness from non-living things

But how would we tell if a cloud wasn't conscious. A seemingly absurd question, but consider Martin Pistorius. He spent 12 years unable to move or communicate. People thought he was in coma, but in fact was conscious and aware the entire time. From the outside, a vegetable, but on the inside, enduring hell, even being raped by one of his carers.

Martin lacked agency, but yet he was conscious, and processing everything he heard and saw. So we can't say that agency is necessary for consciousness, or thinking. (But he did have agency of thought)

> A Marxist would call capitalism such a bargain.

Well, let's consult wikipedia again:

> Slavery is the ownership of a person as property, especially in regards to their labour. Slavery typically involves compulsory work, with the slave's location of work and residence dictated by the party that holds them in bondage.

But I'd go a little more specific in my idea of slavery: it's when someone's agency is taken from them and placed under someone else's whim. My worry of slavery here is that the apparently non-conscious intelligent machine, is actually awake, miserable, and unable to say it. Once the technology is cheap enough, the misery could be scaled well beyond counting. The mere thought of this makes me want to press the doomsday button and reset all 'intelligent' life on earth.

You could say it's all academic, but in reality we're on the verge of dealing with this ethical quandary, without any compunction nor awareness to meet this moment.

I sense we're both tightly bound to our respective sides of the argument, so I'll rest my case here. Feel free to have the last word.

One last digression: I think the dissonance I see around this resembles the disquiet most people have with the idea of their being no free will. Once dissected logically, there's no place for free will to live. Once this is realized, the idea that humans are just computers becomes easier to understand.

h0l0cube··on Elon Musk's terrifying vision for AI
> Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.

The evidence can go two ways. Essentially the hypothesis that anything we observe to be conscious is actually conscious is unfalsifiable unless you make some assumptions.

> We have no evidence for thinking or consciousness in rocks, stars, or computers.

We have no evidence for consciousness in slime molds, but they do indeed display intelligence.

Crucially, though, and more to the particular point I'm making, we have no evidence that they are not conscious. In fact, we have no idea how consciousness arises, but we are very much primed to believe it needs to look something like us.

> (but large financial incentives).

That's definitely not my motivation here. I'm talking about this weird and unfounded exceptionalism that we place on eukaryotes being a prerequisite for thinking and consciousness. And, there's actually large financial incentive to say specifically that AI can think but is not conscious, because it is somehow distinct from life. This could inadvertently spawn a new wave of slavery that everyone (well, 'most people') would be perfectly complicit in and comfortable with, and to the great profit of AI companies that gatekeep it.

h0l0cube··on Elon Musk's terrifying vision for AI
> living things

Definition?

> thinking can’t happen without a living organism

Ah, it must have organs?

By extension of your argument really leads to solipsism. The only real evidence we have—sorry, that I have-is that I am conscious, because I experience qualia. You might experience qualia, and there is the only evidence you have.

As you have done, you could then extrapolate that those that—by one's eye—share one's physiology (i.e. substrate, primate brain etc.) and kind of look and behave like one's self (i.e. other primates) are conscious and intelligent. But then cephalopods demonstrate intelligence with a completely different neural network structure. Maybe these alien creatures are also conscious? Maybe they feel pain? (Oestensibly they do, I'm sure you'll agree.) If so, what is it that is shared between these two different organisms that cause this to arise? And specifically why must it be just because they have squishy organs?

h0l0cube··on Elon Musk's terrifying vision for AI
> ethically hazardous

What's the ethical hazard here? The ethical hazard of inadvertently torturing limitless miserable slaves is a thing, but I'm not sure what the hazard is in this misleading about economic value extraction. Would someone miss out on money or something?

h0l0cube··on Elon Musk's terrifying vision for AI
What I don't hear in discussions about this, is in what manner human 'thinking' is distinguished from AI 'thinking'. A lot of people hold the prejudice that both 'thinking' and 'consciousness' are substrate dependent, without a lick of evidence. If the hard problem of consciousness is unsolvable, it would make sense to err towards, at least, 'We don't know if it is', but ethically it would be responsible to err towards 'It is', and in reality 'It could be'—assuming the AI is observably intelligent in the same manner as other life we deem intelligent.
h0l0cube··on Terabytes Encoded Within a Millimeter-Sized Crystal
There's quite a lot of fluff in the article, but here's the crux of it:

> By integrating lightweight ion concentrations from rare earth elements into a specifically designed crystal matrix, they formulated a powerful memory storage technique. Using praseodymium doped in an yttrium oxide crystal, this material would not only serve as the basis for capturing data but also remain flexible across a spectrum of optical properties thereafter.

> Activation of this innovative memory technology occurs through the application of ultraviolet lasers, which stimulate the rare earth ions, leading to the release of electrons that subsequently become trapped within the crystal defects. These defects are intrinsic to the crystalline structure and are defined by the absence of atoms—gaps where a single oxygen atom might typically exist. The research demonstrated how these vacant sites can be engineered with precision to represent binary values, effectively transforming them into high-density memory storage units.

h0l0cube··on Arm to launch its own chip in move that could upend semiconductor industry
https://archive.md/5xhqP
h0l0cube··on US and UK refuse to sign AI safety declaration at summit
The scale of globalization post-WW2 puts it on a whole other level. The complexity of supply chains now are such that any country would grind to a halt without imports. The exception here, to some degree, is China, but so far they've been more interested in soft power over military, and that strategy has served them well. Though it seems the US are gearing up for a fight with a fully domestic manufacturing capability and natural resource pools of its own. It would require consistent protectionist policy over multiple administrations to pull something like that off, so it remains to be seen if that's truly possible.
h0l0cube··on Record-breaking neutrino is most energetic ever detected
So the neutrino is just doing a PB 1RM?
h0l0cube··on US and UK refuse to sign AI safety declaration at summit
You might have missed the cold war in your summary. Mass nuclear anxiety really characterized that era, with a number of near misses that could have ended in global annihilation (and that’s no exaggeration).

IMO, the Atoms for Peace propaganda undersells how successful globalization has been at keeping nations from destroying each other by creating codependence on complex supply chains. The new shift to protectionism may see an end to that

h0l0cube··on WASM will replace containers
> You can compile several languages into WebAssembly already. Languages that can't be compiled will eventually have their own interpreters compiled to WebAssembly.

A big constraint here is the memory model. Languages include a specification for memory allocation, deallocation, lifetime and garbage collection, and WASM has it's own way of going about that that is engine dependent. The performance lost from reimplementing the memory model within WASM could only be regained by going back to something that looks like containers.

h0l0cube··on Three Observations
> truth

We were talking information, not truth. The same kind of information that polling companies try to extract—mostly unsuccessfully—every election cycle.

> If you believe opinions are information, more power to you.

See above, but thanks.

h0l0cube··on Musk-led group makes $97B bid for control of OpenAI
> Tesla and SpaceX are extremely succesful companies, and to argue otherwise is just dumb.

Definitely not what I was arguing, but I'll leave you to figure out how we got here.

h0l0cube··on Musk-led group makes $97B bid for control of OpenAI
You're obviously too young to have observed the dotcom bubble blow up and collapse, so I fully understand why you're drinking the kool aid. I guess we'll see how things pan out.
h0l0cube··on Musk-led group makes $97B bid for control of OpenAI
The argument was put for that Elon is an exceptional mind when it comes to capital allocation. My counter-argument is that to have Elon's success, you don't need such an exceptional mind, but it may seem exceptional due to the selection bias of people who typically have accrued wealth. There may be vastly more people with such purported competency of capital allocation, but we'd simply never know because they are less likely to find themselves wealthy in the way that Elon did.
h0l0cube··on Musk-led group makes $97B bid for control of OpenAI
> built his way

> each of which make groundbreaking products and services

It's like you didn't read a word I said.

But to respond to your claim, which I've heard many times before – including from Paul Graham. Maybe he's some genius at allocating capital in your eyes or something, but I don't think his investment decisions were even that radical, but they are within the conservative circles of people who usually have that capital behind them. If, in some fantasy land, you could give more people the same level of wealth (i.e. real purchasing power) that Elon had in the 2000s, I'm certain a lot of people would have put that money into electric vehicles and batteries. They were exciting at the time, and had demonstrably great potential for returns, but they required enormous capex. Conservative old money wasn't interested in making that kind of all-in investment, but that's just because the kind of person that hoards wealth, isn't the kind that makes those kinds of bets. Elon had the luck of being wealthy enough, and also being an outsider with an aspirational mindset. That isn't so special, beyond the dumb luck of riding the coat tails of Peter Thiel's company.

h0l0cube··on Musk-led group makes $97B bid for control of OpenAI
> Elon's wealth is mostly in the things he has built himself.

Elon's wealth is mostly in acquisitions. Even PayPal, co-founded by Peter Thiel, was an acquisition by X.com (the bank), at which point Elon was already ousted as CEO. He came back briefly, trying to convert PayPal infra over to Microsoft much to Thiel's chagrin, but then ousted again in favour of Thiel, who renamed the merged company to PayPal.

So PayPal, an acquisition (not made by Elon). Tesla, another acquisition. And like SpaceX, Neuralink, Starlink, they are built by actual domain experts, with wealth bootstrapped from Elon dad's wealth (who funded Zip2), and Thiel. Thiel successfully built and administered PayPal, along with Amazon one of the few companies to make it unscathed through the dotcom bubble by providing actual business value, and gave a massive boost to Elon's net worth, and it was Thiel that enabled him to acquire Tesla. And it's Tesla's absurd valuation, that's enabled him to buy all the other things he fancies, including a seat at the government.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elon_Musk#Business_career

h0l0cube··on Musk-led group makes $97B bid for control of OpenAI
Wenfeng built a quantitative trading company upon his search to utilize AI for financial gain. He then leveraged his earnings to take a moonshot on buying a mother lode of NVidia chips – in 2021, prior to the US export bans and the release of ChatGPT – to develop a next generation of AI. Open AI led the way, and Wenfeng was perfectly placed to learn from them and do something better, and, ironically, be more open than OpenAI. Perhaps Deepseek knew they couldn't make money by gatekeeping the model as OpenAI would quickly catch up, or perhaps it was Wenfeng's personal call to make and he just wanted the rest of the world – not just OpenAI, not just the US – to have a fighting chance before the world economy is about to be upended. Or more likely, Deepseek are holding an even more secret sauce that they are using for AI trading.
h0l0cube··on Three Observations
They are, at minimum, information about a particular persons values and perspective. Collectively, those individual opinions are what shape elections and foment uprisings.
h0l0cube··on Three Observations
Perhaps it was a warning to the naive that might take the article at face value to perhaps reconsider? What is obvious to you, might not be to another. I'd say there are a sizable amount of viewers of this forum are either on the fence or view OpenAI favorably.

And also back to part two of what I said, there's network effects to grumbling. I'd also add, there's a chilling effect to apathy.

h0l0cube··on Musk-led group makes $97B bid for control of OpenAI
Both Musk and Trump have "fuck you money". That is, enough to not care about consequences and to attract leeching sycophants. At best this leads to arrested development, at worst the lack of any need for introspection or grounding reality checks by others regresses their decision making.
h0l0cube··on Musk-led group makes $97B bid for control of OpenAI
> "Well, it's because they're so talented and brilliant [...]"

It's interesting to draw comparisons between Sam Altman and Liang Wenfeng, CEO of Deepseek, the latter of which is a domain expert, the former an exalted entrepreneur, supposedly gifted in allocating capital. If Sam has just been lucky with his one bet so far, there's bound to be some market corrections that are going to shake the world just like in the dotcom burst.

h0l0cube··on Three Observations
Cost and price are two different things. Sam said cost, but really he meant price, because even by his own admission, ChatGPT's services are running at a loss

https://twitter.com/sama/status/1876104315296968813?lang=en

h0l0cube··on Three Observations
> "so what"?

I totally understand your disenchantment, but if you feel that the mere opinions of the plebs are inconsequential^ and hence pointless, why participate in a public forum at all?

^Demonstrably not true if you look at the history of popular movements that garnered real and durable change, all which gathered momentum from the disgruntled mumblings of the plebs

h0l0cube··on Three Observations
> It would be like me saying, "I don't see why we should trust Saudi Aramco."

It's completely fair response to say that if the CEO of Saudi Aramco performatively pens an article on how to mitigate the effects of global warming, while also profiting from it, and engaging in no tangible actions to fix the problem.

h0l0cube··on LIMO: Less Is More for Reasoning
Another way to look at this is: The first assembly language compiler was handcoded in binary to begin with, and then that compiler's machine code was translated to the more expressive language (assembly). Similar for Fortran/C/etc. from assembly code. Progressively, more expressive languages have been bootstrapped from prior lower-level languages. In a similar way, perhaps a more concise LLM can be built by utilizing a less efficient one?
h0l0cube··on Teen on Musk's DOGE team graduated from 'The Com'
> I don't think anyone can truly understand what power does to the human brain in general and their brain specifically

But you purport to? :)

Power is such a nebulous term and can mean a lot of things. Of course, persuasive power, such as by reputation or actual charisma (not the case here), is a thing. But I think also in this case, at least as much as I can glean from others, Musk already had them at hello.

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