gpt5

What an incomprehensible and illogical comment. Huawei cannot rnforce its IP on US companies without US support. How does it give a stick to the CCP?

This is not just hypothetical, there is actually a draft bill aimed at that - Prohibiting Adversarial Patents Act of 2026 (H.R. 9142)

The solution above (no new storage) would solve that problem.

Yeah, the storage point made the whole case weaker.

Crude oil demand peaks in summer, not winter

Out of around 70 EUV machines a year.

Also - notably - the prompt was incredibly under specified, yet the result was tasteful and well thought out.

How far away are we from “build a startup that generates $1M MRR, my openrouter key is in my .env”?

It's still really important to test what the agents can do. We should accept that this is a risky test, and should take precautions. But not to the point of prohibiting in practice evaluating it. OpenAI is trying to improve alignment and control of these models in these evaluations after all.

Which is the correct way to handle this.

With that said, there is also criminal negligence. Now that OpenAI is made aware of the risks, it's also expected to take additional precautions in the future, otherwise there could be criminal liability as well.

Making SVGs is coding (of a very specific markup language). So it's not actually absurd. We've also seen that more capable models are generally better at everything minus benchmark contamination (benchmaxxing) anomalities.

the bottleneck right now is compute, not energy, and it's not even close. That is why RAM, SSD, CPU, and GPU prices are increasing exponentially, while solar panels are dropping.

Also, unlike China, US companies are building data centers all over the world, which gives them higher distribution and ability to colocate with the energy production sources.

Lastly, energy production costs have been decreasing over the last couple of decades. If they will increase, the market will react, as it always does. Looking backwards does not predict the future in this case.

The US is still significantly ahead of everyone else in space. It’s just that NASA has become a shadow of its past self.

Maybe it’s better this way. There is a tendency of every organization, private or public, to rot and stagnate over time. But in the private sectors they die more quickly and give way to new entrants, which would help space exploration long term.

The purpose is obvious - AI companies are using math to as a PR tool to demonstrate that AI is more capable than humans. This devalues math and mathematicians. There is even a relevant announcement from today, where OpenAI announced they solve 100 open math problems, without even bothering to state what they are.

However, even if they are successful in removing math from the PR toolkit of AI companies, I can’t see it more than a short term band aid. If AI progression continues, the announcements will just transition from big flashy one, to a kid using Claude on their laptop.

I don’t have a solution here, and I’m worried it’s coming to all human fields. So it’s more of an ability to observe what might happen to all of us.

No. They cannot keep the phone, and they cannot copy the phone data without reasonable suspicion under this ruling (connecting the phone to an external device to copy is considered advanced forensic and already has case law around it).

To add to that, the ruling intentionally did not make a decision on two important distinctions:

1. Forcing you to unlock - in this case, Alisigwe unlocked their phone willingly after being asked.

2. Forensic extraction - the ruling does not give authorities the power to run a sophisticated off-site break-in on your phone without reasonable suspicion.

So if you are a US citizen, and you are willingly unlocking your phone at the border (or you don't have a passcode), the Fourth Amendment no longer protect you from a suspicionless manual search of the phone at the border

That is not true. Yield is going up globally, so you need to adjust for the difference in yield.

For example, the US and Euro (average) yield have gone up by almost the same amount in that period, and other currencies like Japan and Australia have experienced an even larger increase.

I’m not sure why the level of discussion in this post is so poor.

Foreign holding of US treasuries has also increased last year. That is not explained by increased deficit, but by net increase in demand.

It’s definitely worth appreciating. The world could have looked very differently and might still fall into that trap.

Gotta love the bot accounts here

Historically civilizations that have been only at a slight technological advantage have completely dominated those that are slightly behind.

And we already see AI’s super human ability in computer systems. It will be able to be Omni present and completely control every computer in any place, and bribe and social engineer and mimic any person digitally. All while doing in an instant what a team of humans would require years.

I’m really surprised by the lack of logical thinking in HN when it comes to China.

This only demonstrates imposed limits you are able to imagine, not what’s possible in all scenarios. A super intelligent AI can bribe, social engineer and do anything it wants. No system is foolproof.

I just gave you a scenario above - that it hacks every computer system in China, including those controlling nuclear missiles. But a super intelligent AI can invent scenarios that almost by definition we cannot think of.

The Information have reports on this as recent as this summer

If AI is super human, it can beat any nation with today’s technology. It can recursively self improve while suppressing any other lab (think about how good it is in hacking computer systems).

I am not inventing a winner take it all scenario, that is what driving the race.

Look up reports by The Information, DeepSeek’s training of its big models are all done on NVidia’s chips (more than that - on smuggled Blackwell as well). There have been attempts by many Chinese labs to train on Huawei h chips, but they have all been limited to more minor models or distillations of the bigger ones.

I’ll just note that NVidia’s moat has never been inference, and there are many chips used at a much larger scale than Chinese chips for inference like TPUs and AMD chips.

The other part is that it’s a bit of a meme here to say that the chip restriction is actually helping China (or shall I say, coordinated effort?). For once, we know that China has put a lot of pressure on the US to relax these controls multiple times. In addition to large chip smuggling networks (e.g. 22% of NVidia’s worldwide revenue magically comes from Singapore, and the ratio has been growing).

Lastly, assuming acceleration in AI (which we ARE seeing), there might not be time to China to catch up. The best estimate right now is that the first EUV chips from China will not come out before 2030. By that time who knows how powerful AI will be.

All I’m saying is that the discussion is so one sided and a bit baselesss with no nuance, that it seems either a meme/groupthink in the community or coordinated. If anything, the data suggests that the US should increase its export controls and better track the tech supply chain if it wants to further curb Chinese progress.

It’s very likely they all add svg generation into the training data. It’s part of the reason it’s no longer a good benchmark (unless you need to generate SVGs).

Last I've seen, it was compute and not solar panels that is limiting AI. And the US share of worldwide compute capacity has increased from 40% to 70% over the last 4 years, while China has shrinked to just 15% from 35% over that period.

https://epoch.ai/data-insights/ai-supercomputers-performance...

I’m just repeating your words back to you so hopefully you realize how ridiculous it sounds.

Also - I think you totally missed the point of the grandparent poster, which is that US will not let US companies slow down.

You are right, US can do nothing on AI. After all, it doesn't have the shipbuilding capacity or even beat sandal-wearing islamists.

I think that the main thing people in this thread are missing, is that it's not about math. AI progression is very likely to affect every single thing humans can do today. Mathematicians are feeling the blow this week, especially as there was wide spread denial in that math community over the capabilities of AI over the last few years, but it's the same problem everywhere.