1,154 karma · joined April 9, 2021
Always happy to start or continue conversations.
We can meaningfully talk about 'unicorns in space' since it's analytically intelligible and merely syntetically unverified.
I just googled 'Daniel Dennet about meditation' and, surprise-surprise: 'Daniel Dennett acknowledged that meditation had practical value for "settling and centering" the mind. While he tried and saw benefits in practices like Transcendental Meditation, he largely discarded the mystical "aura" surrounding it, viewing the practice through his strictly materialist and evolutionary framework'
My point is about current LLMs specifically, which the article is clearly referencing. For a present day transformer, I can write down in my notebook everything the model ever sees as input, plus weights and architecture notes, and can compute the next token with pen and paper, just extremely slowly.
This does not prove that a computation cannot be conscious. But if the same transition from prompt to next token can be decomposed into an explicit sequence of arithmetic operations, then the burden is on the defender to explain: Where, in this process, consciousness is supposed to enter?
Mind that the Chinese Room experiment is comparing the mind of a Chinese speaker to a different mechanistic symbolic procedure. I am, however, executing the exact same mechanistic process, whether it is done on a GPU or with pen and paper.
My hope is that some magical consciousness process emerging from electricity circulation or whatever people believe the mechanism of consciousness would be in the case of LLMs obviously becomes implausible, unless you hold a particularly strong form of substrate-independence, stronger than what most substrate-independence supporters would need to accept.
Had to reread the title again since I thought I opened a different article about TLA+.
As for SQL, if you're referring to DBMS systems, here's what E.F. Codd, inventor of relational algebra, had to say about them and the departure from his work: https://thaumatorium.com/articles/the-papers-of-ef-the-coddf...
For an LLM, you have clear stages of mostly feedforward computation over finite numbers and a perfect way to reconstruct the computation.
For meat, even if you model it under a purely Newtonian approximation, you need to simulate at least the immediate closed system around it which is continuous, thermodynamic, chemical and so on. You'd need to choose an arbitrary time step and update enormous amounts of coupled physical state to get an inexact simulation of a minimal slice of reality.
You would have a much harder time obtaining even a substrate-independent dead organism, comapred to LLMs that are already substrate-independent, which is basically what my notebook example shows.
If it later turns out the material was not adaptable in the way you thought, I'd imagine that is not just a binary miss, since the reader, producer, writer and executives can discuss and try to see where their judgement failed and what went wrong. I get that the hard feedback is sparse, but it doesn't have to be researche-grade measurements as much as it has to be good judgement, constant reality checks, even if just from proxies, and good taste. I'd be curious if this sounds close to what you were doing.
PS: there's this Dalton + Michael YC advice for startups which seems relevant: when outcomes are highly uncertain, you can't judge the result-only whether you acted logically, ethically and treated people well along the way.. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XgcdvIj5I-k)
> subjugate other cultures (assuming you mean they're not conscious in other's minds)
Have you ever considered you might be a philosophical zombie? [0]
There's also the separate, less glamorous issue that people don't want to talk about, which is proof reliability. [0] If you have systems to help you formalise the problems and leave an algorithm or AI or whatever solve it in a verifiable way, that's a win for both the mathematicians and the rest of the world.
The deeper question is whether AI can replace the human role in deciding what mathematics should be done and what concepts matter. If that's automated, then yeah, we're screwed.
[0] https://lamport.azurewebsites.net/tla/proof-statistics.html
There's not many geniuses without an ecosystem around them that produced them. And even if there are, how would we know about them if they weren't well connected enough to start mattering?
Same with prompts, most attempts seem to be fidgeting with the models till they get your intend right, which is also a matter of hill-climbing, subtle mutation, and so on.
If I were to clarify anything from the article, I'd probably say that I'd rather do the factorisation of programming roles by how long they already existed. If someone is an AI engineer and his work only became relevant a month ago, very probably it will be obsolete in another month. If they do the same thing for the past 10 years, changes are that their skills would be useful for another 10 years to come.
It's also using only under-specific swearwords like 'm..f*king', which is not really instigating violence, attacking any characteristic directly, just exaggerated profanity to the point of unseriousness.
I'm not saying the style is good or that everyone should tolerate it, I'm saying only that for me the exaggeration softens out the sentiment. I'd argue it's also what you sing up given the URL.
I'm just tired of the 'everyone follows their immediate incentives while the system stays incoherent' as the de facto reality. I think shedding some light over the actual mechanics would maybe make someone consider 'perhaps we shouldn't allow our acquisition team just turn off their brain and choose the default to cover their bottoms; maybe vendors are worth more decision investment via actual thinking instead of performatively ending up on the default choice after a little ritualistic game of "eeny, meeny, miny, AWS"'.
I think it's worth pointing out that Jeff Bezos would fight this tooth and nail from happening in his companies. He popularised 'process as proxy'. Yet AWS as sold to external enterprises is the exact proxy Bezos warned against internally. Do what Bezos does, and even what Bezos preaches, just don't do by default what Bezos sells.
[0] (Romanian article) https://economedia.ro/parlamentarii-usr-au-depus-un-proiect-...
If you read the fine print, you'll notice something funny. You are largely responsible for data loss, SLA claims require you to present concrete evidence, and the remediation you accepted is usually credits for future spend on specifically the same product you lost your data on.
And AWS fine print is actually quite reasonable compared with, say, GCP, where the SLA seems mostly useful so the enterprise acquisition team can say "they have SLA, I can't get fired for choosing them since I did my due diligence!", while GCP can say "you already accepted the proposed remedy when signing the contract, sue us and we'll just point you to it. Thanks for your trust.". [0]
[0] https://docs.cloud.google.com/storage/docs/storage-classes
^ Standard multi-region or dual-region storage has a 99.95% availability SLA, regional Standard has 99.9%, and regional Nearline, Coldline, or Archive can be as low as 99.0%. The credits are 10%, 25%, or 50% of the monthly bill for the affected service tier, with 50% as the aggregate monthly cap, applied to future use. Google also says the customer must request the credit within 30 days or forfeit it.
It makes me wonder if this kind of technology is deployed, where should the stop line be? And I don't think it's a trivial question.
[1] Legg, S., Hutter, M.: A collection of definitions of intelligence
[2] François Chollet, On the Measure of Intelligence