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gitfan86

2,448 karma · joined September 5, 2021

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gitfan86··on How can AI help with climate change? A conversation with MIT's Priya Donti
Reducing carbon emissions isn't a solution. We need to go to all the way to zero and then to start carbon capture.

That ONLY happens with batteries fusion and AI. We are making progress and as long as the pessimists don't get their way.

Ironically people like Greta have had the worst impact on climate. Not just that she flies around the world instead of doing zooms. But that she is all doom and gloom instead of trying to help us progress technology

gitfan86··on Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?
I'm leaning towards this being mostly legit. It may not be a perfect solution to the problem, but it may put us on a path to a solution.

If this wasn't real, I would have expected someone who works in the area to have data about something similar and why it isn't real.

gitfan86··on Llama2.c: Inference llama 2 in one file of pure C
I'm not sure how many people understand how much of a badass move this is.

Andrej is helping apple and Facebook and more importantly the open source movement while also being paid really well by OpenAI(MSFT)

But they are not going to push him out because he will go directly to Tesla or xai.

gitfan86··on Children of alumni no longer have admissions edge at Carnegie Mellon, Pitt
Yeah it is almost like the opposite situation described in this thread.

It is the super rich that are hoping their child will become friends with the next Bill Gates. Not the next Bill Gates hoping he can meet a spoiled rich kid

gitfan86··on Children of alumni no longer have admissions edge at Carnegie Mellon, Pitt
This is correct. I have three friends that went to HBS and got very high paying careers. Being friends with the CEO's son was not why they got the jobs.

They administrators at these schools really tipped their hands when the Full House admission bribery scandal broke.

They were not upset that someone paid to get into a school. They were upset that someone didn't pay them to get into a school.

gitfan86··on The US economy and the EU were the same size in 2008, the US is now nearly 2X
Right
gitfan86··on The US economy and the EU were the same size in 2008, the US is now nearly 2X
Yes but so many Americans are on Instagram and Tiktok that they feel poor since they are inundated with stories about people doing better than them.
gitfan86··on The US economy and the EU were the same size in 2008, the US is now nearly 2X
The media and politicians know that negativity drives attention. People that pay attention to that and do not think for themselves come away thinking that the world is in terrible shape ( The climate is beyond fixable, The LGBTQ+ are out to get your kids )
gitfan86··on GPT-4 details leaked?
He compared it to a cult. Not all cults have killed millions of people. But many cults do stray very far from the original stated reason for the cult existing. For example some cults will treat their members like free labor and claim the goal is to make everyone happy through hard work and lack of worry about money. But then the leader will get a lot of money and start buying nice things for himself.

Buying a nice car with other people's labor isn't as bad as killing millions of people but it is straying very far from the original declared mission.

You seem to believe that murder is the metric that can be used to measure how well an organization is doing as far as following their mission.

gitfan86··on GPT-4 details leaked?
Which is a fundamental flaw in science.

Most of AI academics have spent their career theorizing complex algorithms or complex explanations of intelligence.

But the engineers have built large enough Neural Networks to give us data points that show intelligence is emergent out of relatively simple components.

Unsurprisingly, the people who believed they were the smartest were the least likely to explore the possibility that human intelligence isn't general, but specialized.

Echos of the academics building heliocentric models of the universe centuries ago.

gitfan86··on GPT-4 details leaked?
Right. In historical context the scientific method was a huge improvement over the previous method of understanding the world, which was mostly religion.

But today, academia is a victim of organizational and political capture, making it less competitive for talent.

gitfan86··on Tuition costs have risen 710% since 1983
My favorite idea that I have seen is allowed students to return their degrees for a 70% refund within 12 months of graduation. If the school is confident that the degree will be a great asset throughout the person's career it will be no problem.

This is how lemon laws work with cars.

gitfan86··on Gitlab.com is down
That is just some extra logging, it has been happening to one of my clusters for weeks
gitfan86··on Experiencing decreased performance with ChatGPT-4
That is the fundamental nature of intelligence. Like beauty it only exists on our minds. When you stare at something long enough you can convince yourself it isn't actually beautiful because it is just a bunch of brush strokes.
gitfan86··on Twitter Is DDOSing Itself
Actually, I work at a job that perfectly fits my desired work/life balance and desired code shipping frequency/schedule.

You seem to be assuming that people working at Twitter don't have the ability to look for another job, if they are unhappy.

gitfan86··on Higher- than-recommended doses of Vitamin D reduced risk of atrial fibrillation
Which is the problem with the medical research.

They are figuring out if it is better to cut your toenails 2 times a week or 3 times a week, while obesity is killing millions.

gitfan86··on Rivian embraces Tesla's charging standard for EVs
He is really into good engineering which has made him a huge fan of Tesla, especially since they took some of his recommendations and incorporated them into their manufacturing process.

It is fair to say he is biased, but at the same time I don't see why his assessment of NACS vs CSS is wrong.

gitfan86··on Ask HN: GPT4 Broke Me
You are correct. I took over a lead role at a small startup 6 months ago and I have delayed hiring a UX person because ChatGTP is so helpful.

But at the same time, I think you are underestimating how slow society changes. MP3s of popular music were available on the Internet in 1996. But cd sales didn't fall below the 1996 level until 2005.

gitfan86··on Coinbase Sued by SEC for Breaking US Securities Rules
Bitcoin was created specifically to prevent the government from controlling money supply, by creating an alternate form of money. The idea that it isn't succeeding because unnamed bureaucrats is misleading. The SEC and other regulatory frameworks exist today because of laws created over decades. Those laws were created to protect people, after many people were scammed.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_sky_law https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._Securities_and_Exchange_C...

People generally don't want to get scammed, which is why crypto is failing. Obviously we are not talking about the software here. I'm sure plenty of Web3 "software" works just fine, what doesn't work is selling unregulated securities to investors who lose all the money.

gitfan86··on Coinbase Sued by SEC for Breaking US Securities Rules
Yes, the government is part of the real world.

If you created a nuclear power plant in your basement that you feel is totally safe, that is great, but a good chunk of the rest of the country wouldn't be comfortable with that and they would expect the government to shut down your nuclear power plant.

You could disagree with them and the government, but it wouldn't work out well for you to invest all your money into your basement nuclear reactor.

gitfan86··on HashiCorp just let go 8%
It seems obvious that efforts to hire specific types of people could result in lazy hiring managers looking to check off a box as fast as possible which leads to someone being hired because they are named Jessica not because they are especially good a React.
gitfan86··on HashiCorp just let go 8%
I ran into the opposite situation. The people they hired were pretty good, but like you said the VCs gave the CEO a headcount target to hit in engineering and he did it because I guess the VCs are the ones calling the shots.

Instead of just being honest and saying "oops, we need to cut spending, they created bullshit KPIs and useless metrics to start marking people as underperformers"

So I suspect a lot of the VC funded companies have had 10%+ stealth layoffs.

gitfan86··on US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it has intact alien vehicles
"Someone claims that someone else told him material exists that is from aliens."
gitfan86··on Royal Navy says quantum navigation test a success
Interesting, seems hard to zero out the clouds and air density, and bodies of water
gitfan86··on US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it has intact alien vehicles
You have the math backwards. It would be like saying that someone who guesses your 4 letter pin code is a mind reader because the likelihood of that is low.

You are not factoring in how many times he has tried to guess other people's pins. Or if some pins are more common than others.

Similarly here you are not factoring in how often an entire group of sensors has the same big and repots incorrect data at the same time in the same way. You are Cherry picking the one time the data looked like it might be a UFO. This is also a form of confirmation bias.

gitfan86··on US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it has intact alien vehicles
Right, so your point about people not having hallucinations frequently is valid. But most people do see optical illusions.

So it seems strange that you have jumped to the conclusion that these must be real UFOs since most people do not hallucinate.

gitfan86··on Coinbase Sued by SEC for Breaking US Securities Rules
No, this is the same point I've been making since 2010. Having libertarian ideas like "code is law" and "money should be decentralized and permissionless" sound nice in theory, but in the real world they don't work very well.

You are seeing this now with the fact that we have not elected anti-regulation people over the past 13 years. And people have preferred to stay with more traditional financial products. So crypto isn't working out in the real world.

gitfan86··on US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it has intact alien vehicles
"normally functioning" brains see things that are not actually there ALL the time. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Optical_illusion

Most UFO reports fall into the Optical Illusion category rather than extreme schizophrenia.

gitfan86··on US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it has intact alien vehicles
Yes, that seems right. Humans fill in the gaps. AI is similar, where it "hallucinates", but are humans that much different?
gitfan86··on US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it has intact alien vehicles
Angels, ghosts, UFOs, miracles all have the same characteristics. A person who seems very reasonable says they are sure that saw the thing, and they provide SOME circumstantial or grainy photographic evidence, but no one actually got a full resolution picture of the angel or ghost or UFO.

I doubt these people are lying. They actually saw something. Miracles are the easiest example to explain. Someone couldn't walk and then a saint said a prayer for them and they could walk again. It is pretty easy guess that it was a placebo effect or coincidence that the medical issue got better at the same time.

We have never seen someone with a X-Ray of a severed spine regain full walking ability after a prayer from a saint.

UFO's may exist, but it seems more likely that a combination of reflections, radar issues, tiredness/stress, "wanting to believe" caused them to see "something"

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