96 karma · joined April 29, 2024
They spoke about the battery life before they even said what the product was supposed to do. The founders sounded like they were being held at gunpoint.
Plus, a $700 price is obscene and a $24/mo subscription is usurious.
That being said, it’s actually a beautiful product. I think maybe given another year it could’ve turned into something workable. I’m assuming they had investors in their ear saying “the first one is never good, but it will fund your next one.”
I have a BA in philosophy and a MS in CS w/ a focus in computer vision. Similar boat as you. No 13 years of exp in a prior industry though.
I stopped trying to get a job a few months ago and have been plugging away at my own projects. I’ve been (equity compensated) working for a startup for the last month or so in a non-technical role and it’s been really eye opening as to what it takes to get something off the ground. I have a lot of interest in pursuing that route now and if you do too it could be good to connect.
The first three risks are completely reasonable and people should be thinking about them. No, ChatGPT should not be diagnosing patients and giving them medicine. Yes, we should be vigilant to a flood of disinformation and revenge porn made possible by AI generated content.
But when people talk about “AI safety” in this context, it’s usually in reference to the fourth category, planning for a superintelligent malicious AI that evades detection, self-replicates, etc. That’s pure science fiction at that point, and it’s not a reason to slow down development of LLMs, which yes are basically glorified chatbots and will not lead to “AGI” in this threatening sense.
If I recall correctly, when steam engines started being able to go 40-50 MPH, there were people who were concerned that human beings would not be able to survive travel at such speeds because we never had experienced them. This wasn’t completely irrational, I suppose, as there are speed-induced G forces that are fatal, and they had no way of knowing the threshold back then. But once it was clear that steam locomotives weren’t in any danger of putting us over that threshold, incessant worry about locomotive-induced speeds death was kooky. “Locomotive safety” involving derailment mitigation, track crossing markings, etc. - still legitimate. But if “locomotive safety” was associated with people making claims like “we’re headed for a mass casualty event when the first locomotive hits 60 mph,” then “locomotive safety” would be marginalized.
It doesn’t help that the public faces of “AI safety” include autodidactic pseudointellectuals, clearly mentally unwell people, and philosophers too deep in their own “taken to its logical conclusion…” thought experiments.
The only difference between nonprofit and for-profit entities is that nonprofits divert their profits to a nebulous “cause”, with the investors receiving nothing, while for-profits can distribute profits to their funders.
Other than that, they are free to operate identically.
Generally, entities subject to competitive pressures and with incentives for performance are much better at “benefitting humanity.” Therefore, non-profit status really only makes sense when, one, a profitable enterprise oriented around the intended result isn’t viable (e.g., conservation) or two, there’s a stakeholder that we’ve decided ought to be sheltered from the dynamics of private enterprise, e.g, university students or neutral public broadcasters.
But even in these cases, the non-profit entities basically behave like profit-oriented companies, because their goal is still profitability, just without a return to investors.
OpenAI as a nonprofit would behave the exact same way. There’s no law that the models would have to be open. They’d still be making closed models, charging users, and paying massive salaries. Literally the only difference is that they wouldn’t be able to return money to their investors, and therefore have a much harder time attracting investors, and therefore be less equipped to accomplishing their goal of developing powerful AI.
The irony is that nonprofits are usually only good for things that make for shitty businesses, and things that make shitty businesses usually aren’t that beneficial to humanity. As soon as something becomes really good at what it does, for-profit status makes sense.
What this means, imo, is that most philanthropy dollars are wasted and we would be much better off if they were invested instead. The irony is that this is the point of much philanthropic giving - it ends up being a game of how much money you can burn on nothing, a crass status symbol.
That’s not to disparage the value of a juiced up autocomplete though
I think you’re right I need to just get back to that system, anything digital is too ethereal to really stick to.
As for pens I’m a hi-tec-C guy btw
But those guys were product people and to the extent that their low-empathy personalities were beneficial it’s in the fact that they cared about creating things far more than anything else, including other people or money. The phrase “artistic temperament” long predates them for a reason.
But it’s really absurd and counterproductive to try to mimic that personality if what you’re offering is anything other than being the corporate version of an auteur, and if that’s what you were you wouldn’t be mimicking anyone, and you better produce some stunningly consistent results. Lots of these guys think they’re being uncompromising about “their vision” when it’s really just “their vision” of their spot on the Forbes list.
New York is better in part, I would guess, because there’s no false premise that the investor is doing anything other than acting as a conduit for capital. There’s egos too but no one is trying to live up to the standard of “changing the world” or “innovating” or being “the next ___.”
It probably also helps that Warren Buffet is the most successful traditional investor of all time and a model of good behavior.
As for founders ending up with nothing, in those cases their investors ended up with much much less than they were hoping to too. Plus there’s plenty of other cases where founders get rich off a worthless company because of the beneficence of VCs.
This is one of those stories where it’s impossible to take a side without accurate context. It could be that the dogs are actually menacing, it could be that Prince isn’t happy about an easement on his land and is using this as a pretext to harass people who rightfully use it to walk.