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geeky4qwertyon Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

This one was definitely a red flag for me regarding authenticity.

It seems far more like a slow surge offensive, siege technically. Look at US in Iraq, shock and awe was more akin to "blitzkrieg" and even that campaign took 3 weeks to secure Baghdad.

geeky4qwertyon Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

Your points could just as well reaffirm the theory that this is coordinated disinfo, could they not?

geeky4qwertyon Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

The critical question is what substance of fact does this information actually bring to the discussion that we haven't already heard?

It reads like a 4chan LARP rant, merely restating existing propaganda (true or false) talking points just repackaged into something that might appeal to the HN crowd.

Fog of war is thick right now.