garrickvanburen

Ad revenue is why Twitter removed their RSS and heavily restricted their API forever ago.

1. I'm the product owner, I can demo it for you. 2. I know who the product owner is, and I think it's live. 3. I think it's currently under development...or maybe we're still gathering requirements 4. Budget has been assigned, but work hasn't started 5. It's listed in a slide deck

Early on my corporate career, I quickly realized “have” had 5 distinct definitions.

For a couple years, I officed out of a VC firm. It was terribly helpful in taking off the shine.

This was my mantra when I ran strategy for a corporate venture studio: every existing spreadsheet is a prototype for a potential new product

It’s about quantifying the business value of the software to a specific customer segment.

More on my approach here: Https://forstarters.substack.com

Few b2b buyers prefer it, for the same reason. For example, this is why reserved AWS instances exist.

Yes. I focus on pricing software and I’m a bit baffled why frontier models are pushing tokens.

It’s a race to the bottom, and the bottom is unlimited use for a flat monthly rate.

Granular pricing (tokens, minutes, etc) is pretty anti-customer generates less revenue than customer value-based subscriptions (why SaaS is such a good business model)

I often make the analogy that LLMs are like Amazon same day shipping. You can have later today, but it's unlikely to be the best offering...just the best you can get later today.

There's a lot of stuff that we just don't need to do. Not right now. Not ever. That's OK.

Yes. This is consistent w/ my default position: "if LLMs are good at it, we probably don't need to do it."

I wrote this back in 2023, and I think it holds

“After compiling all these, it still seems neutral to net negative. Maybe a net positive on the customer service side.“

https://garrickvanburen.com/media-tetrad-generative-ai/

“In the end, if I’m successful, I’ll have this one bread recipe adapted/developed, and if written out comprehensively for someone else (even future me), it will likely be >4 pages.”

https://garrickvanburen.com/only-finding-the-non-obvious-mat...

My default position is: if an LLM is good at it, we probably don’t actually need it.

There seems to be an overall, “I’m just now aware of this phenomenon, technology must be to blame” when the phenomenon has stayed constant and the tech has shifted under it.

#moraloutrage

Whether grocery shopping or an endurance running event (5K+) those with any kind of headphones in are simply less aware of the people trying to get around them.

This was my guess on the impetus for the name change as well.

My preference is to pre-commit by blocking off time on my calendar in 30, 60, or 90min increments depending on the task. If in the middle of it, I get distracted, I look at the calendar to remind myself.

fantastic book.

The metaphor that changed my perspective came from the book, "The Power of Full Engagement", paraphrasing "you're behaving as if you're a world-class endurance athlete without an off season - stop it."

I worked a corporate job for 6yrs off an iPad Pro.

I agree, outside of the AI bubble, there's a lot of wait-and-see happening in the B2B world right now, I'd say we're currently 6-8 months into that 14 months.

My worst job interview ever - in-house creative team at telecom company in downtown Chicago.

I walk into a darkened cubicle farm, down to the only lit corner office for a 'lunch interview'.

Interviewer is sitting at their desk eating a hot pocket on a paper plate.

Didn't even offer me any.

First interview I walked out of.

Not the last.

I agree. We don't need a nondeterministic 10quadrillion vector model. We need an deterministic expert on our narrow business. Something small, that can be run on the 2026 version of the spare PC under the CTOs desk.

I think Dan Olson and Folding Ideas is doing a fantastic job of bringing thoughtful criticism to all kinds of modern media, most recently Mr. Beast Games.

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCyNtlmLB73-7gtlBz00XOQQ

Agreed. Also, as every media organization is free to make editorial decisions on both what they cover and how they cover it, left/right is often far too simplistic and vague to actually reverse engineer a media orgs bias.

I agree.

Between: more efficient models - tuned for the task at hand, the ability to run those models in-house, or even at the edges, plus Google and Microsoft are well positioned to stay ambivalent as they’ve got lots of products to sell and whether or not LLMs are part of the portfolio mix is completely dependent on enterprise customer demand.

Anthropic/OpenAI have a number of aggressive downward pressures on their pricing.

it's a great reminder that Uber wasn't a 2-sided marketplace to begin with, just an on-demand black car service, and Travis drove early on. The marketplace model came later, copying Lyft, more as a low-cost expansion strategy than a business model.

This. Stated another way, you need to start by either: fulfilling existing demand yourself....or being the demand yourself.

My default position: If an LLM can create it, we probably don't actually need it.