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gamedori

96 karma · joined July 1, 2019

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gamedori··on A Novel Mechanical Ventilator Designed for Mass Scale Production
The ventilators used for severe cases of COVID run at much higher pressures.
gamedori··on What happens to Asian-American overachievers when the test-taking ends? (2011)
Ingroup biases (race, class, religion) don't really become a factor until the outgroup is assertive. I saw this firsthand as a foreigner in Korea. The first few years I kept my head down and was treated well. "He's just like a Korean." As I became more confident at work, my coworkers started playing politics to hold me back. (One of them used race explicitly to form a coalition.) Nowdays I don't play politics, and my performance is good, but I still get a lot of comments about my "attitude" from my boss. Nevermind that people I don't report to directly love working with me.
gamedori··on ‘Father is Surgeon,’ ‘1 mil pledge’: The Role of Money in USC Admissions
Current research shows a 20~30 point SAT1 improvement from specialized coaching [1]:

> From 1981 to 1990, three separate analyses of all the prior studies were published in peer-reviewed journals. They found a coaching effect of 9 to 25 points on the SAT Verbal and of 15 to 25 points on the SAT Math. In 2004, Derek Briggs, using the National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988, found effects of 3 to 20 points for the SAT Verbal and 10 to 28 points for the SAT Math. Donald Powers and Donald Rock, using a nationally representative sample of students who took the SAT after its revisions in the mid-1990s, found an average coaching effect of 6 to 12 points on the SAT Verbal and 13 to 18 points on the SAT Math.

I have not seen any studies on the effect of accomodations, though.

I think the amount parents will pay for those relatively meagre extra points, and the fact that the parents in this case had to resort open bribery, speaks relatively well for the meritocraticness of the current system.

Open the books, show us that nothing is being swept under the rug, and just let the undeserving children of millionaires go to third tier schools.

[1] http://www.aei.org/publication/abolish-the-sat-2/

gamedori··on ‘Father is Surgeon,’ ‘1 mil pledge’: The Role of Money in USC Admissions
To fix the problem of capitalism, you would have to fix the problem of pricing (=efficient allocation of) goods into supply chains, which problem grows as the fourth power of the number of goods available.

It's probably better to keep making our current system more transparent and work for prices to better reflect society's values than to "exit capitalism".

gamedori··on Border agents are checking social media, but we still don’t know how closely
Afaik, for nonimmigrant visas they don't care about skills, but they do care about any ideological background (preventing terrorism) and they care a lot about the probability of overstaying the visa: they want to see evdence of connections and plans to return from the US.
gamedori··on Moving to Ghana to 'escape US racism'
Could you quantify the number of poor Americans who do not have access to clean water in the US, and provide some support to the idea that it is due to racism?

My understanding is that the Flint situation is due to mismanagement, which was done after a certain political party created laws to remove elected leadership from indebted municipalities (most of the indebted municipalities were controlled by the opposing party).

Which is to say that the Flint situation got a lot of press because it was rare, and that the motivations were likely political rather than racial. As such, in isolation it is not good evidence for your arguement. It would be appreciated if you could provide some statistcs.

gamedori··on The flawed three-cueing system for teaching reading
That is a useful system for middle readers with limited volcabulary to jump into high school / professional reading, but not so good for very early readers. Note how all the grecoroman stems are defined in terms of germanic words, which are phonetic.

The article is concerned with students who find words like "rabbit" challenging, not with students figuring out "neologism".

gamedori··on Maternal fluoride exposure during pregnancy and IQ scores in offspring
You're right, and one would hope that happened. But not knowing the field or journal norms, all I could do was search the text for "Bonferroni" and "regist". In my lab if additional analysis was requested by the reviewer and we did it, we would have added a sentence to the manuscript.

But not having published in this field or journal, I have no idea what their norms are.

gamedori··on Maternal fluoride exposure during pregnancy and IQ scores in offspring
The previous thread was very critical of this article's statistics.

Reposting my comment:

When I see a headline like this my instinct is to jump to "overfitting". In a study like this they use P=0.05 as their cut off for significance. One in 20 such studies would be expected to give meaningless results. But they had the choice of cohort (all kids or boys and girls separately), so 1 in 10. They measured urine concentrations of fluorine at three time points during pregnancy, which makes for 7 different potential combinations of input variables, for a total of 14 different potential analyses, where 1 in 20 is expected to be significant. Of course, they didn't preregister, so who knows whether their analysis changed on the fly..

gamedori··on Drinking fluoridated water during pregnancy may lower IQ in sons
When I see a headline like this my instinct is to jump to "overfitting".

In a study like this they use P=0.05 as their cut off for significance. One in 20 such studies would be expected to give meaningless results. But they had the choice of cohort (all kids or boys and girls separately), so 1 in 10. They measured urine concentrations of fluorine at three time points during pregnancy, which makes for 7 different potential combinations of input variables, for a total of 14 different potential analyses, where 1 in 20 is expected to be significant. Of course, they didn't preregister, so who knows whether their analysis changed on the fly..

gamedori··on Portugal trials use of goats to clear vegetation for reduction of wild fire risk
That's an interesting point, but I was confused for about 15 seconds. Maybe it's because I studied Korean instead of Spanish.
gamedori··on She Wanted a Man with a Good Job Who Is Nice to Animals
Ordinary people occasionally need to be knocked back into seeing what they will lose if they keep up their present course of action. Life is full of temptations, most people are not very self reflective, and people naturally push boundaries.

In particular, textual flirting with the opposite sex is something that is easy to fall into, starting innocently and delivering a strong dopamine hit with each correspondence. The dopamine-addled S.O. can easily rationalize to themselves that they are just writing, that their privacy is suddenly Very Important, it's not cheating, and surely that's not innuendo! ("When we finally meet for coffee we'll just be friends.")

The well-delivered ultimatum, although blunt, makes the situation clear and leaves no room for rationalization: the emotions associated with the proto-affair are inappropriate to an exclusive relationship.

I've had to make this ultimatum twice. 50% of the time it has resulted in the recipient suddenly becoming self-aware and making an effort to change her behavior. As a result, I'm quite certain the current S.O. is not BPD.

gamedori··on Why Did China Just Devalue the Yuan? How Trade Works with Free-Floating Currency
Presumably a lot of domestic Chinese goods require materials from abroad to produce. Remember that until a few years ago China had to import the tips for ballpoint pens.
gamedori··on Portugal trials use of goats to clear vegetation for reduction of wild fire risk
In English the word is forest fires.
gamedori··on She Wanted a Man with a Good Job Who Is Nice to Animals
Ultimatums are one of the best tools for people in terrible relationships to use:

"Give up the bottle, or I leave."

"Stop hitting the kids, or I call the cops."

(Other ultimatums, such as "Marry me or I kill the dog" are obviously abusive.)

In this case, the woman is forcing the man into a choice, but he still has a choice. "Show me that I'm not wasting my time or I leave" is in the grand scheme of things quite tame.

gamedori··on What you may have heard about the dispute between UC and Elsevier
1 is mostly things that the publication team is asking authors to fix by email for modern journals. Most journals will have a template for these emails, or stick them at the back of the reviewer requests.

2 Is something that I have seen caught in peer review twice, and missed once. Again, it would usually go in a batch email to the authors of issues that need to be fixed before publication.

3 is definitely something that reviewers should be catching. I don't know of any journals (especially not open access) that check references for existence. Is the problem the use of footnotes? If so, I could see this legitimately requiring some manual labor / typesetting... But most journals forbid footnotes in their submission guidelines.

4 is quite rare in research articles, and again, would be handled by requesting the authors deal with it.

5. Would be grounds for paper rejection, as it breaks the submission guidelines for most journals. In addition, it seems like an exceptionally rare case.

Overall, I don't think one can justify an average of 10 hours per paper in manual labor (open access fees are always more than 1000 usd) based on these formatting issues...which issues are mostly handled by requesting fixes from the authors.

Then again, maybe your wife worked in the 1 percent of journals which actually print on paper, and carefully proofread for authors.

My background is mostly in medical engineering with journals up to IF10, though.

gamedori··on Latest 737 Max Fault That Alarmed Test Pilots Rooted in Software
To be fair, if another 150 people die that will be the end of the 737 program - and probably Boeing. 300 more deaths is highly unlikely.
gamedori··on Scientists stunned by ‘city-killer’ asteroid that just missed Earth
It probably has no effect: objects that are not in stable orbits around the earth are going to be in hyperbolic orbits relative to the Earth's gravitational field. A dangerous asteroid would need a periapsis lower than the Earth's radius by a certain amount to hit the Earth, so the risk of collision is still roughly proportional to Area. If gravity is a factor I would expect it to be a high order term. Atmospheric effects are probably more significant.
gamedori··on Why did we wait so long for the bicycle?
This is also why the protection of supply chains and international trade is essential. The cause of the Dark Ages was the collapse of the security surrounding the Roman road network, making trade hazardous, and subsequent reversion to local production of everything resulting in the loss of technological prowess.

In our current economy, that reversion would be even more painful. In the short term, as much as I hate the US military, their "freedom of navigation" guarantees are essential. In the long term, every nation/bloc should make sure it has the materials to re-bootstrap if necessary.

Here in Korea, we just had to scramble because Japan decided to limit photoresist and high-purity HF exports. I count the scramble as a good thing for national self-sufficiency.

My apologies for going way off topic.

gamedori··on ‘We’re Almost Extinct’: China’s Investigative Journalists Are Silenced Under Xi
Market information in China flows freely. It is information about government mistakes and policy failures which is restricted.
gamedori··on The Jeffrey Epstein case is why people believe in Pizzagate
Back in 2002 cameraphones were not as common as now, and even now it is probably acceptable to limit camera access to "massage therapy" centers. The trick with the Epstein scheme is that with the massage excuse Epstein has some plausible deniability. GP sees this: the hardest to prosecute cabals with the most dedicated will be the most evolutionarily successful. (I might argue that a religious or ethnically based cabal would be more successful.)
gamedori··on Senate passes bill to decrease grid digitization, move toward manual control
Why not send a price signal separate from the grid, or use AC frequency deviation as a price signal?
gamedori··on Cold-war-style suspicion of Chinese-American and Chinese academics
Actually, having read the Science Advances article, it seems simpler than this. Institutions are being asked to warn their foreign researchers (not just Chinese) to be open about other contracts and commitments,and firing those who are deceitful. Seems to be a very clear case of breach of contract being remedied.
gamedori··on Cold-war-style suspicion of Chinese-American and Chinese academics
This seems to be a relatively simple case of tit-for-tat. Chinese scholars were welcomed in the US, but a significant minority of them have abused their welcome (defected). It is not all of them, but it was systemic enough to lose a lot of the US technological edge. In order to cut its losses, the US is now defecting on educating those students and researchers. You may say this is very unfair to the students, but in Chinese culture it is not uncommon to punish the family members for crimes of their relative.