18 karma · joined October 19, 2024
https://open.substack.com/pub/pragmaticengineer/p/when-ai-wr...
in the same day.
"It’s a paradigm shift where we go from having an expectation of privacy even in public spaces to its inverse. Not only do we not have a right to privacy in public; we don’t even have a right to see ourselves as the government and police might see us — a set of still moments in place and time from which they, not us, can decide what our story is."
https://cardinalnews.org/2025/03/28/i-drove-300-miles-in-rur...
I agree in the bottoms-up automation / displacement theory, but you're cherry picking data here. They had a huge hiring surge from 1.2M to 1.6M during the Covid transition where online ordering and online usage went bananas, and workers who were displaced in other domains likely gravitated towards warehouse jobs from other lower wage/skill domains.
The reduction to 1.5M is likely more a regression to the mean and could also be a natural data reduction well within the bounds of the upper and lower control limits in the data [1]. Just saying we need to be careful when doing root cause analysis on these numbers. There are many reasons for the reduction, it's not a direct result of improvements in robotic automation.
[1] https://commoncog.com/becoming-data-driven-first-principles/