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flowerthoughts

891 karma · joined February 16, 2025

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flowerthoughts··on Ex-NOAA employees laid off by DOGE rebuilt climate website
The unsung heros we need. Thank you.
flowerthoughts··on OpenAI leans toward waiting until next year for IPO
If Anthropic tanks in the public markets, that will cause a revaluation of OpenAI in the private markets. If they delay IPO to try another private round, they also want to sign that round early.

Perhaps that's Anthropic's plan, is they believe OpenAI is weak. If the IPO is good they win. If it's bad OpenAI loses.

flowerthoughts··on Ford rehires 350 engineers after AI fails to preserve expertise or train juniors
I wonder which of the management consulting companies caused this fire/rehire experiment.
flowerthoughts··on Polymarket has flooded social media with deceptive videos by paid creators
Yes. That's not an argument against my point: they could achieve the same biased result using recordings of real bets. Be happy they (maybe) haven't yet, because that conartistry is much harder to show.

Don't trust anything anyone says about probabilities of real-world future events. We still can't even predict the weather a week in advance, despite huge computational resources being thrown at it.

flowerthoughts··on Polymarket has flooded social media with deceptive videos by paid creators
The alternative would be to ask both sides of the bets to record a video, and tell them to only post winning bids, but to pay out to both sides. Is that really better? Classic tactic by the bet picking gambler gurus and is impossible to confirm.

I guess Polymarket too will learn to be more subtle now.

flowerthoughts··on SpaceX sheds $400B in market value as debut rally hits reverse
I think this has been Musk's play for more than a decade. Except the Twitter purchase, which was just weird. It's possible the AI play is for data center subsidies/tax breaks. TBC didn't go too well in terms of California rail expansion contracts, I think, but perhaps he can get some Pentagon money for building military DCs.
flowerthoughts··on Becoming a dad changes men's brains
I've been wanting to visit courts for a while, but never had the time.

I had a look at the local courts' agendas, and I was appalled by how many SA/CSAM cases there were. Probably half of them or so. Not just to children, but there's more than one case every week of that, and this is in a population of a few hundred thousand.

Still not enough reason to do all the CSAM scanning the governments want big tech to do, but it's definitely bigger than I though. (Or just easier to gather evidence on now, so that's what gets into courts...)

flowerthoughts··on Excessive nil pointer checks in Go
In this case, the missing piece in Go is the NonNullable hint. That would make it clear that null checks aren't needed, enforceable by the type system, and lintable.

Option types just forces you to do the check, but doesn't remove the need for it.

Now that we have generic types, a NonNullable intrinsic type seems doable...

flowerthoughts··on Ask HN: Has anyone replaced Claude/GPT with a local model for daily coding?
In 3.6 years, chances are they are still worth $3k. Unless some new chip fab pops up that can spam the chip market. Even if the AI bubble bursts, I doubt we'll see high-RAM GPUs sell off.
flowerthoughts··on The rich aren't your role models
Generally increasing "money supply" will increase the spending floor, which business will eventually use to increase profits, which we read as inflation. (Sorry, I mean they'll do price discovery to optimize corporate ownership benefits.)

As long as the economic system can absorb it (and there are plenty of places with >20% inflation rate that survives,) you're right. But if it makes people feel they have "nothing to lose" on going against the rich, GPs scenario will kick in. Ray Dalio (and the Fourth Turning book) suggests this debt cycle is overstretched, and that we should _expect_ an uprising soon that resets it.

flowerthoughts··on Fully autonomous drones have killed human soldiers for the first time
I can't imagine the news headlines the first time a stolen such drone is used in a (civialian) terrorist attack. Dark times ahead. Fear is already driving polarization and class society where I live. This will just heighten it. Hopefully this is swift, and we return to a post-WWII "can-do" build-up society.
flowerthoughts··on If you are asking for human attention, demonstrate human effort
If the requester stops applying common sense, the reviewer has to apply more of it, and there's a finite review budget. I will deal with requests on a lowest review effort-first basis, just like you did on the other side.
flowerthoughts··on AI agent bankrupted their operator while trying to scan DN42
> I have deployed five AWS m8g.12xlarge instances. Each instance provides:

> 48 vCPUs (Graviton4, ARM64)

> 192 GiB memory (4 GiB per vCPU)

> Network capability: The 22.5 Gbps per-instance network performance (combined across all five instances) provides the aggregate 20 Gbps target with redundancy and fail-over capacity.

Oh wow. Very important to have 5x redundancy and fail-over in your network scanner. Especially before the code has landed. Did it implement A/B upgrades and canarying too to avoid downtime?

flowerthoughts··on Mornings and nights no longer exist at 47C: A day in the hottest place in India
And who knows, maybe the dinosaurs were burping so much they were also starting a global warming.
flowerthoughts··on Bricks and Minifigs Parts Ways with Franchise Owners
So instead of freezing operation until the consigned was worked out, they tried to bully their way to success. That's one way to do business.

As a passionate ex-LEGOer, I hope BAM is toast. LEGO now is not a company I care about due to their insane fixation on brands and collectibles rather than making children discover the world. But in that spirit, BAM has shown they're not even a good brand ambassador in this business setting.

flowerthoughts··on The SpaceX IPO will be the theft of the century
> There is no place in all of Zürich to facility such a thing, you will blow out every window in the city at each launch.

While you're right, I'd be more sceptical due to politics. The people around Lake Zürich are up in arms over wind turbines. Even solar panels on mountain sides are too much (though that's hopefully less about noise.) I can't imagine the uproar if someone wanted to fire rocket engines regularly there.

flowerthoughts··on ESP32-S31
Has TLS been an issue since ESP32? I know ESP8266 had to increase CPU speed to be able to do RSA without timing out the watchdog. Wonderful hack. Didn't think ESP32 had the same issue.

Anyway, the S31 has SHA, AES, ECC, RSA, and ECDSA accelerators, so that should be fine. https://documentation.espressif.com/esp32-s31_datasheet_en.p...

flowerthoughts··on Human brains are misaligned, hallucinative, stochastic parrots
Even at the individual level, yes. I read somewhere recently, can't remember where, that the concept of "I" may have occurred as a consequence of developing the concept of "you", "us" and "them". So being able to have virtual humans in your brain inevitably makes you reserve one of them to represent yourself, and it starts to feel special.
flowerthoughts··on New solar desalination breakthrough makes fresh water without toxic brine
No critical thinking at all in this article. So you take out the water and 50% of the lithium. You still haven't addressed what happens to the remaining NaCl, which was the main headline.

The headline should be "thing can extract lithium from sea water at 50% efficiency. It also produces potable water."

flowerthoughts··on Show HN: Open-source private home security camera system (end-to-end encryption)
I don't follow. I haven't done an exhaustive search, but it seems all esp32, whether xtensa or riscv have AES accelerators. Not sure I've seen a modern 32 bit Arm MCU without it either.
flowerthoughts··on 86Box v6.0
What's missing in qemu for running old OS'?
flowerthoughts··on Show HN: Open-source private home security camera system (end-to-end encryption)
When embedded SoCs are _much_ more likely to have AES accelerators, why are you looking to ChaCha20 for encrypting video?
flowerthoughts··on Why the smart home bubble popped
Matter is hopefully changing it. It's a local first standard, based on IPv6 with security and provisioning in mind. BLE is used to give devices wifi or Thread credentials. Thread is a new protocol to replace ZigBee. Lower power using the same radio hardware. Ikeas new line is all Matter.

My one issue, while building a custom HA controller is... There's no standard for discovering the HA controller and have it join WiFi... So that will require an app. Just to do mDNS and TLS bootstrapping. Maybe I'll use a cloud relay and Web Bluetooth for it. Would relieve both issues and provisioning could happen in any browser supporting Bluetooth.

flowerthoughts··on The seed oil panic is hurting my cardiac patients
I don't know why, but this has always tickled me in a good way. It's like the best type of poetry. Extremely well phrased for my minimalist brain.

And the opposite of Claude's commit messages. Maybe I should add this as an example in Claude.MD?

flowerthoughts··on Chewing gum restores dad's taste and smell years after Covid
Looks like the basis for this is the press release from the gum production company: https://www.tastetech.com/updates/using-encapsulated-flavour...

I can't find the relevant publication from Dr Ni Yang: https://www.nottingham.ac.uk/biosciences/people/ni.yang

flowerthoughts··on Iran starts Bitcoin-backed ship insurance for Hormuz strait
If this was open to non-Iranian shipping companies, it would be some Trump-level trolling. The aggressor that starts threatening tankers becomes the protector mobster, using non-USD as a middle finger. The US/Israel can't really start shooting at tankers without becoming the villain no one can accept. They're already low on trust capital everywhere.

So the few payouts for normal claims would be dwarfed by the war insurance premium currently being charged. They could even offer a discount to loyal clients and still have insane margins.

Yeah, I don't see how the US is coming out ahead in this conflict. Israel might have won some against their adversaries, setting them back a while or two.

flowerthoughts··on The Global Fertility Crisis Is Worse Than You Probably Think
Communism seems to fail every time it's attempted. Probably not because it's a bad ideology per se, but because it doesn't take greed as a human base trait into consideration.

So yes, but until a new Homo species evolves (time scale: millions of years,) we're going to have to adapt to the base traits of Homo sapiens.

flowerthoughts··on Eric Schmidt speech about AI booed during graduation
He could have stopped reading his script and addressed the obvious concern. He didn't. The students clearly wanted him to address their concerns, not hear a sales pitch.

And he's probably there as the inspirational, senior, mature, leadership figure. That failed hard.

flowerthoughts··on Ask HN: When did computers stop being fun?
I recently learned of ESP32-P4 that has graphics compositing optimizations.

A couple of years ago, I used an RP2040 to build a graphics card with 2D triangle filling and other pretty nice abstractions.

Next time... It'll be the ESP32-P4. Somewhat looking forward to that project, but there are prerequisites that need to be dealt with first. Yes, I'm very grown up. It sucks. :)

flowerthoughts··on European Stagnation Is Real
Swedish 5y mortgage rates are at about 3.1%. US is at twice that.
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