Fully autonomous drones have killed human soldiers for the first time
newscientist.com
newscientist.com
Are we living in an alternate universe?
The superficial new thing here is the exact quadcopter form factor, but the significance is the new price point. You bet the loitering anti-tank weapon costs a fortune. These drones are very cheap.
Of course, mines can be even cheaper, but you unwittingly engage them rather than them engaging you.
The Ukraine war is a concept that was thought to be abandoned: an industrial war between near peers.
Directional anti-tank mines are a thing: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PARM_1_mine
You just can't make that distinction with people, especially not if just using IR or the likes. The guy with a rifle slung over his shoulder just happens to look like the guy with carrying a rake. Hand gun in hand happens to look the same as a power drill. Someone wearing a beanie looks suspiciously like a soldier with a helmet.
This all feels like a really bad idea.
One should not use it on attack, when people need to distinguish between a soldier and a civilian.
But on a defence, when you need to keep a certain area empty from enemies (and there is nobody else but enemies incoming), then it resembles the usage of mines, only better (both in terms of efficiency and safety/callback/disarm).
Another scenario or cutting the logistics. If you know that a road is only used by military, then letting the automatic drones watch and engage is a great idea.
These newer drones have just gained locomotion instead of having to wait for victims to come to them.
I realize there is a full, multidimensional continuum here.
On one end are directly-aimed weapons that do their damage while still being aimed by the operator. Their risks include collateral damage limited to things like aiming errors, effect radius, or continuing down-range beyond the target.
Further out are messy things with more active guidance that can turn and seek the target and potentially go off course. But their time to target is still quite limited and more or less being observed by the one who fired it. The risk expands with its potential "cone of maneuvering" and travel range.
Then you get into these things with long dwell times and autonomy where the eventual targeting event happens without supervision and is greatly affected by things happening in the environment which the operator cannot have really predicted nor controlled for. The longer time in operation increases the risk not only from wandering/guidance but from how much the environment can change before it performs its final targeting event.
Another example in this category could be chemical and biological weapons. There is a lot more uncertainty in the targeting effects due to the way it disperses in the environment.
The missile, once fired, has the general vicinity (if not the exact position) of the target and is armed by the operator. Therefore, the operator is fully accountable for the targetting. Same goes for the landmines, once placed. Hitting civilians is reckless at best, and negligent at worst.
An autonomous weapon system (AWS) usually means that the system, once deployed, can do the targetting itself over any arbitrarily bounded location. An AWS can continue finding targets as long as its hardware allows it. For kamikaze drones, it's one time; for other drones, the ammunition & battery are the limits.
We currently rely on human targetting because we assume that A) humans are able to distinguish between legitimate and illegitimate targets "well-enough", and if not, B) at least we can hold them accountable (e.g., punish them for war crimes).
An AWS provides a layer of plausible deniability: the operator can claim that the system wasn't developed well enough, while the developer can claim that it wasn't used as intended. Given the inscrutability of modern computational intelligence - i.e., visual-action neural networks - this could potentially lead to very worrying incidents.
From a technical POV, the difference between a manually operated drone and an AWS drone may not be massive. From a military POV, it's just another legal lethal tool in the arsenal.
But from a social/civilian POV, the use of AWS is still 'not normal' and opens a can of worms. Targetting while evading counterattacks and crimes successfully is a bottleneck for manual operation. That's no longer the case with AWS: build 20 thousand drones, for example, and you can trivially win by overwhelming any manual defense of frontlines or cities. And knowing the history of human warfare, winning can range from relatively bloodless regime changes to utter destruction of the loser's civilization.
So, the best outcome is similar to nuclear deterrence or MAD: as long as everyone has 20 thousand AWS drones, they're safe.
Landmines can be dropped from the air by the thousands and many land mines can survive for decades. Placing a landmine anywhere is essentially the same as firing a bullet blindly through time. And no individual soldier has ever been held accountable for a landmine that killed a civilian years down the road.
Which doesn’t make what you said about drones any less awful. Just that landmines are already uniquely awful.
Beautifully said and truly clarifies how evil of a weapon they are.
With that said, are these drones paradoxically more ethical because their loiter time is dramatically shorter and therefore won’t harm civilians after the conflict is over?
But I think there is an extreme ethical boundary we are traversing by putting targeting and trigger-pulling in the hands of a robot. The ways this will later be abused by authoritarian regimes is just staggering. We are reducing the necessary footprint of a loyal junta and automating dictatorships with this technology. It’s very disturbing.
I would even argue that anything that enables broad-area targetting since the invention of the Maxim machine gun and artillery would qualify as a weapon of mass destruction. In an ideal world, the first machine gun or dynamite would've made everyone see war as a very bad resolution mechanism since the 19th century.
But here we are, so the game is to not make war much worse than it already is.
Target selection is much more networked, automated, and adaptive than it used to be. Missiles can talk to each other.
It is believed that the Kuwaiti aircraft did not have its IFF transponder turned on (IFF is and has always been standard equipment on the F-18).
An autonomous drone will select a target and pull the trigger. It fills in the position of a human pulling a trigger, which is a decision.
Maybe if robots began deciding where to lay mines, i could hand it to you.
[1] “A Scientist Rebels,” 1947 http://lanl-the-back-story.blogspot.com/2013/08/a-scientist-...
Cybernetics and artificial intelligence are two distinct fields, though? I have friends with degrees in both, it's not some long lost alternative name for AI (though we're unlikely to see something like Project Cybersyn using cybernetics today instead of some overly deep neural net).
For example, thinking humans wouldn’t be displaced by super intelligent machines, but would instead be augmented by them cybernetically, becoming super intelligent while still having a human soul and body.
I shouldn’t have to weld to my flesh to be called a cybernetic organism.
If human adoption of brain-machine interfaces progresses fast enough, I don't see why this future can't still happen.
That said, yes, they are different fields and traditions. Cybernetics is much broader, because it studies feedback control systems in natural/biological phenomena as well as the design of artificially intelligent systems.
My point being A. we have been killing people with fully autonomous drones for a long time now. and B. why the name change? just because it uses a propeller or is in vertical helicopter form does it is not a guided missile?
https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/sites/default/files/documents/2051...
TLDR: page 46: the sidewinder missile(a fully autonomous rocket powered kamikaze drone to use modern sensationalist language) was used for the first time in combat.
Or is this the first time a soldier was killed, all those other times being civilians?
This is also indiscriminate.
Or real life. See:
Mark 60 CAPTOR (1979)
General Dynamics MEDUSA/Hammerhead (now)
We 'll just train some pigeons to eat the quadcopters, problem solved.
This is a clear war crime. We don’t need to update any international laws, do we? This is by definition indiscriminate, like landmines or chemical weapons.
Sure, but does the battlefield have any war crime police on site to enforce those laws? Because without enforcement and punishment, all laws written by man are just fake and meaningless pieces of paper. The only laws that are actually real and non-optional are the law of gravity and such.
The war crime laws were invented as a legal theater for victorious powers to persecute the losers after WW2 with a veneer of legality, for imperialist superpowers to bully the small third countries who refuse to play ball, not for something superpowers to actually abide by themselves.
Because otherwise you could prosecute thousands of western/US personnel and their leaders under the same laws they prosecuted nazi soldiers at Nuremberg for what they did in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, etc but you're not gonna see that because the US didn't get conquered to have its soldiers and leaders dragged to court. US even has a law that allows it to invade the Hague if its soldiers are ever to be taken to trial there for war crimes. That tells you everything you need to know about the hypocrisy and double standards of "war crime" laws. And same thing will happen to Israel, Netanyahu and other war criminals there.
The reality in the real worlds, is that 'might makes right' trumps the geneva convention and war crime laws. Whoever ends up holding the guns on top of the rubble pile is the one making the rules that everyone else is forced to abide by. That's why the US is forced to constantly outspends all other militaries on the planet combined, to ensure they're the ones writing and enforcing international laws, and never ending up in the position to be held accountable by others, because they know that if they ever do, there's a laundry list of receipts waiting for them.
I recommend you watch Judgment at Nuremberg - the 1961 film, not the 2025 one (I've seen both.) the Nuremberg Trials were very much to punish the architects and perpetrators of the Holocaust for their atrocities. you can choose to be cynical, but consider: which "losers" were "persecuted?"
- the Doctors' Trial sentenced the doctors who murdered thousands of disabled Germany's own citizens in the Aktion T4 program.
- the Judges' Trial sentenced the Judges who enforced the Aryan racial purity laws, ordered the castration of "mental defectives" and sent falsely-accused Jews to their deaths.
- the Pohl Trial which sentenced the SS officers who ran the concentration camps and death camps.
sure, the US doesn't have perfectly clean hands, and the victor usually won't prosecute its own the way they prosecute the enemy, but I strongly disagree that the Hague was just an attempt to "persecute the losers." they were prosecuted, not persecuted, and they weren't prosecuted for "losing," they were prosecuted for their atrocities.
just because the Hague is unfair (some men never faced justice, since they were on "our" side) doesn't mean it was unjust (those who were convicted deserved it.)
That area is a wasteland . No one lives walk there among civilians with a rare exception more over drive. You probably do not understand what Russia turned these areas to. It was the most populated area in Ukraine . Now it’s an empty land .
(FWIW, and not that it should matter, I support Ukraine in the war. Just not the development of autonomous kill decision drones.)
This factor on it's own could scale down amount of wars.
(For those who don't know, the Grad is the most produced MLRS ever, and the Russian army's weapon of choice for indiscriminately bombarding enemy territory)
Boy do I have news for you about the use of landmines in the Ukraine war…
Just like with land mines it's the military value vs risk of civilian casualties that determine if it's a war crime or not. Some countries have signed the Ottawa treaty, but notably not the US or Russia. And the trend isn't going towards states signing the treaty but rather towards leaving it.
Already used in Gaza, only it operates with a hit list, which is also probabilistic. These Hamas linked operatives are most of the time also civillians most if the time.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI-assisted_targeting_in_the_G...
"hit list" sounds very "discriminate"
Technically speaking, it’s not impressive, you can train a simple local object recognition in the companion computer in the drone to fly at that specific object, so just train it on soldiers images and communicate over serial port and let the open source auto pilot do the navigation, again, nothing is that impressive, a weekend project, personally done before but not on humans and it was for good.
Pokémon Go Driven Drones Autonomously Killing.
They develop consciousness and turn it around, and try to catch every human and Transfer them to the Professor for Candy.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48487029
https://dronexl.co/2026/06/09/pokemon-go-scans-niantic-vanto...
I think we'll be ok.
Most drone techs and engineers in Ukraine as well as Russia would prefer a civilian job instead of fighting a protracted war.
The article mentions that they had to go to the area with different drones and saw dead people then assumed the cause of death was the automated drones.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RPG-7#Ammunition
The newer drones may have dedicated warhead designs now, but the concept is similar. They carry high explosive warheads that aren't sold to civilians. It's the same reason the militias don't already have anti-tank weapons.
If you release an autonomous drone in an area, it will probably kill everyone there, but might use its AI to decide not to kill some people there.
Why is the latter worse than the former ?
One way in which automated drones might be considered bad, is (if) they cannot accept surrender - but are used in scenarios where human operators could.
"No quarter" is a war crime.
It is similar to the problem with the neutron bomb. On the surface the idea of the neutron bomb (a bomb which kills humans via hard radiation but leaves infra intact) is not “worse” than a regular nuclear weapon. The dead die the same way and the living envy them. What CHANGES is the use calculus. I might not want to bomb an industrial valley if doing so destroys the thing I am trying to capture. However, if I have a bomb which kills the people living there and spares the factory, I might pull the trigger.
Similarly, it is cheap (relatively) to indiscriminately launch weapons at a distant place. It is extraordinarily expensive to send human troops in. They need food, water, and generally have families that expect some of them to come home. If putting a rifle on an autonomous vehicle works, then a ground invasion becomes cheaper.
I'm not sure about worse, but think one of the differences would be the size of the 'kill zone' and the cost/availability. 10 quadcopters "cover[ed] between 3 and 5 kilometres ". That would take a lot of bombs and a multiple aircraft sorties with to kill everything there. e.g. During the Vietnam war, a group of 6 B-52 bombers modified for carpet bombings could bomb an area around 1Km x 3Km. Only the US and Russia have heavy bombers that can do that. It could be done with smaller fighter aircraft, but that's more sorties.
That's vs. 10 quadcopter drones.
It is much more dangerous when they start to be selective. Then people start trusting the selection capabilities and use them in cases where they wouldn't use a "kill everyone" weapon.
Ai is like 8yr old with gun: unpredictable
If a military can bomb you or drone you, it will bomb you and drone you.
Or, I can have a drone with an LPR slam a mortar round into your car as you drive.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carpet_bombing
Autonomous weapons have hardly been deployed yet, maybe at the Inner Korean border or some lunatic's backyard. Therefore I don't think there is any legislation for it yet. But it seems a very cruel way of killing, also considering in this particular case they didn't even send footage back. What kind of experiment was this? Maybe they didn't like to see the brutality, perhaps people begging for mercy not to be killed, giving up and showing a white flag. Indeed this isn't possible with carpet-bombing.
I hate this kind of terminology with such fervent hatred as someone DefTech adjacent.
It's just the sheer callousness of gamifying warfare.
Edit: can't reply
> How would you have me call it
Tactics.
It's emotionally neutral and sounds less like someone who follows warfare the same way someone follows competitive StarCraft 2 or DoTA.
On the other hand, I am disgusted by the cuts of strikes that were superimposed with memes and soundtracks at the beginning of the war that were spread on official social media.
The ship has well and truly sailed.
For all the moralising I am sure most of us would prefer AIs battling it out to enlisting.
First, I advise a modicum of skepticism to be retained in the face of such news. Ukraine is, after all, in the middle of an existential crisis and must take every advantage it can, even if it's just scaring Russian invaders further (I bet both Russian and Ukrainian soldiers are already pretty scared of drones).
Additionally: "“There is no connection to the drone at all, you cannot see the video, nothing…". So there's no way to know exactly what happened which adds a lot of uncertainty.
Finally: the system was first used two years ago once, then never again. That doesn't sound like it's giving much of an advantage. Sorry, I don't believe that it's a matter of military ethics. If Ukraine could deploy actual Terminator robots to the front line it would do it in a heartbeat. Again: existential crisis. They're fighting for their country's existence. I would use every weapon in my disposal; and I'm a pacifist who hates violence. So I don't think that "test" really worked well at all.
Now, taking the New Scientist's reportage at face value, the announcement seems to describe a system that is only marginally more capable than a self-guided missile. It seems that a quadcopter swarm of undisclosed strength flew to a predetermined location (nothing new to see here), then a target acquisition system was activated.
Is the latter a new capability? Hard to say without more details that we're not likely to know. Maybe the drones simply locked on to whatever moved. Motion sensing is not new technology. Nor is it a great idea to put it on a flying grenade that you fire-and-forget.
Maybe the drones had some on-board machine vision system that tries to identify useful targets like persons and vehicles. That's eminently possible with modern tech, I have a Raspberry Pi-powered quadruped from China that can detect my face, identify balls of different colours etc. All this is more than enough to automate target selection, with a bit of creative cobbling together of existing components and if you don't care too much who the target selected, is.
Without more information it's very hard to guess exactly what happened. However, "Slaughterbots" these don't seem to have been.
Later, a different, human-piloted drone was sent in to inspect the outcome. Why human-piloted? Well, because there's no way to ensure that an autonomous drone will be able to do the job, that's why.
So in other words: we're not there yet. "There" being a nightmare where machines kill humans autonomously and we unlock a new level of horrors and war crimes. There is still time. We can still pull back from the brink. Resistance is not futile.
Completely false. They are beholden to their allies. Ukraine could also reach Moscow with missiles, why doesn't it? It could build a nuclear bomb in 6 months, if not 6 weeks, they have the capabilities, why doesn't it? It's not so simple.
So I agree that it's not so simple but I also don't believe for a minute that it has anything to do with ethics. Not in that war. And I have to be honest but I can't think of a war were ethics played an important role in determining belligerent's behaviour.
I didn't follow the news. How did it end?
If Russia had really been "met with strength" the war would be over, or it would have spread much farther than Ukraine's borders. With respect to the Ukrainians, who have shown incredible bravery and smarts, I'm afraid they have been left to fend on their own, and I don't see that seriously changing.
Ukraine doesn't have enough missiles to reach and hit important targets in Moscow.
Due to Moscow having the best defence, it doesn't make sense to try to hit it only for lulz, instead of hitting actually important target elsewhere, like oil refineries.
Otherwise, Ukraine has constantly been trying to hit targets in Moscow and around it, mostly with long-range drones, not missiles. Sometimes this has been successful. I mean, the dome of the Kremlin itself was hit a few years back.
https://abcnews.com/amp/International/ukrainian-drones-targe...
Ukraine is already using unmanned combat ground vehicles. They're not too far away from building autonomous weapons similar to those in some of the Terminator movies, although they probably won't be humanoid form factor.
its home built Flamingo has been reportedly used only a few times since february of this year in long range, as recently as just yesterday
the US and EU restricts ukraine's ability to use ATACMS or SCALP in any long range way
of course, US and EU are discussing withdrawing some kinds of vital war support, which is my point. These are the issues that are related: long range weapons use against deep targets in Russia means that allies withdraw support. and how could it not be that case? They could have developed Flamingo years ago when this war began, in 2014, why didn't they? there's nothing ignorant about this.
Ukraine was barely a functional country in 2014. It took them a long time to get their act together and build a defense industry. Rocket science isn't easy.
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-moscow-refiner...
I'm not sure it's accurate to define yourself as a pacifist if you believe safeguarding the concept of a nation-state is more important than human life, ethics, or the downstream effects of using "every weapon at your disposal".
I don't think you realize the creativity and variety we humans have put to use when designing weapons. If you can imagine a biological, chemical, radiation, concussive, or other weapon, it's been worked on. There has been more than one project to build a "world-ending weapon" and go way beyond the MAD theory.
Wait till you hear that I'm also an anti-nationalist :P
But I'm also pragmatic. Nations aren't going away and they have armies and they like to invade each other. If my country were to be invaded (not a zero probability; I'm Greek and if NATO collapses...) I would put the good of my people above my personal beliefs before you could say "peacenick". C'est la vie.
>> I don't think you realize the creativity and variety we humans have put to use when designing weapons.
I think I do but why do you say this? I didn't understand how it connects to the rest of your comment, or to mine.
not the parent, but i have a guess.
they mention the variety of weapons because some weapons are abhorrent. designed to be maximally painful, for the maximum amount of time, purely to bring about maximum suffering.
"every weapon at your disposal" includes those weapons. and that is really difficult to square with "im a pacifist", even when considering conditional pacifism.
EDIT: Oh, I should clarify, that's where all this stuff about pacifism comes from. I did some research on autonomous AI for robotics during a post-doc and that made me think more carefully about somewhat extreme situations that would hopefully never arise, and how I would react to them. I mean I was already thinking that way but the hands-on experience and real, if distant, possibility of my work being used in ways I would never want it to be, helped solidify those earlier thoughts into a more coherent form.
I'm saying because given my username you might legitimately wonder whether I would actually ever be in the position of taking up arms, like actual weapons, to fight for my country. Probably not. But programming or piloting drones is absolutely not out of the question, as a thing I'm qualified to do. So I had to think about whether I'd do it, and under what circumstances.
I'm also a signatory of the Lethal Autonomous Weapons Pledge which I signed during my PhD:
https://futureoflife.org/open-letter/lethal-autonomous-weapo...
I live in a country that has been under missile strikes recently. This country has the ability to strike back at the aggressor and make their land unliveable.
Even if there was the certainty of non-retaliation for such a disproportional defense, I would not consider using these weapons acceptable while calling yourself "a pacifist."
I'm not at all a pacifist but there is no country I would fight, let alone die, for. Because when we say that we're really speaking of fighting and dying for politicians, not a country. And there is no political group that, in my opinion, deserves anywhere near that level of loyalty.
Yes, I have considered this argument and it rings true to me. On the other hand, it is worth considering that there are no Greeks left in the coast of Asia Minor, any more, a land that Greeks occupied since the time of Homer. The same goes for the coast of the Black Sea, occupied by the Pontic Greeks. Like the Armenians, the Capaddocian christians, and the Assyrian Christians, Greeks were ethnically cleansed or genocided, depending on your point of view [1], by the nascent Turkish state in the 1920's.
I should point out that the event that triggered the ethnic cleansing was a nationalistic, irredentist spasm that sent the Greek army invading Asia Minor to "liberate" it. I'm guessing that the Turkish would have slaughtered the Asia Minor Greeks anyway, like they did everyone else who wasn't a) muslim or b) Turkish speaking, but in the eventuality, it was the Greeks who started it.
As my footnote notes, we call the events of 1922 "The Catastrophe". The Greeks are one of three Mediterranean peoples who have a word that means "disaster", that is used for a specific disaster so that when this word is spoken everyone knows which disaster it means: the Jews have the Shoah, the Palestinians the Nakba. And just like the Jews, the Greeks lost the land our ancestors occupied for thousands of years, we lost our greatest city, Constantinople, and we lost our greatest temple, the Aghia Sophia, which was turned to a mosque.
I cannot in any good faith be a pacifist without acknowledging this bloody history that has threatened to wipe out my people, and expelled them from their land; and not just my own people. Nations are nasty things and they are not, I fear, just jurisdictions. Nations are people. People kill other people because they don't belong to the same nations; not abstract, faceless nations.
If I were to be a pacifist without recognising the fact that the very existence of my people may one day be at risk, what kind of pacifist would I be? An idiot, or a suicidal pacifist, I reckon.
So I'm a pacifist with limits. Kind of like a bounded pacifism, if you like.
But, if it came to that, I would give my life for peace as much as I would give my life for my people.
__________________
[1] Wikipedia calls it the "Greek genocide" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greek_genocide). At school we learned it was ethnic cleansing. We commonly refer to it as Η Καταστροφή. The Catastrophe.
> But, if it came to that, I would give my life for peace as much as I would give my life for my people.
Staging a nonviolent protest to make the British leave or to let an authoritarian government you're refusing to go fight their war of choice, or trying to help a woman getting mugged by masked militia and getting shot as a result is "giving your life for peace".
But if you'd had the choice of leaving the place before the invadors massacred your family, or fighting back with "all the weapons at your disposal", and chose the killing, I don't see why you are so attached to this "pacifist" label.
I'd summarize your stance as "if somebody declares war on my nation, I will fight with all my strength". Am I getting it right?
This sounds more like non-aggressive nationalism to me. I'm not criticizing it, it's just the mismatch that I find surprising.
Pacifism is:
> The conviction that it is morally wrong to settle disputes (especially between countries) by war or other violent means
> The ethical avoidance of inflicting harm on others in one's daily life.
I think in modern times we are, for some reason, attached to labels when in reality people's positions are, if they're thinking for themselves, going to be nuanced enough that there will be no appropriate label. Not wanting to participate in the development of autonomous killing machines, let alone ones that inevitably will be abused, is a perfectly reasonable position, but does not at all make one a pacifist in and of itself.
Sorry for the lag btw, this page fell off my threads and I didn't realise there were replies.
I'm a big supporter of Ukraine and have donated to the war effort and hosted Ukrainian refugees.
Why is the satellite imagery just huge piles of rubble?
I’m not sure why you are combative about this. Do you think any form of moderation or precision in language is surrender to the enemy?
But, to answer your specific question, no, I do not think it is "wrong" (which is a moral judgment) to fight against people who want to kill others.
This is a complex argument because:
1. I, due to my ancestry, would have been in the outgroup that pretty much any genocidal maniac would be targeting (including that one)
2. I would have been doing my best, back when political means were still on the table, to fight against the idea that letting the bully have his way was the most expedient manner. The whole decade would have gone quite differently if Germany had not been allowed to freely build up the means to invade neighbors willy-nilly.
3. If I had lived in Germany, eastern France, etc. would have been gone with my family way before the onslaught started. If we're letting this looming thing happen, you can have the land and my shopfront. I'm resourceful enough to set up shop elsewhere.
4. Failing (2) and (3), I'd be fighting. But thinking that fighting is the first resort is what allows you to be manipulated by a handful of rich old men who'll send you to the trenches to die.
The two sides are quite evenly matched
In case of autonomous drones i don't see them bringing any noticeable benefit over FPV until they are deployed in the numbers an order or two of magnitude larger. Both countries seem yet to reach such number of drones. And the large task here isn't just mere production of the drones, it is the whole system of delivery/deployment/management of those large hives of autonomous drones which also needs to be developed/implemented.
>luckily for Ukrainians these gliding bombs lack precision.
Not really. They don't have 3m CEP, that is true. Yet, a 2000lb bomb doesn't need it. They do hit the targeted buildings, which is enough. The main limitation here is that those bombs require military jet planes to launch. Russia is severely limited here.
Plus all those bombs that fell in Russia, dozens of kilometers away from the target.
The precision does get better, but still look at the second pic:
This is why Russia uses at least 500kg or larger bombs, even 3000kg ones. With that precision they can't use 100kg and 250kg bombs. Which naturally affects how many bombs say a Su-34 can launch - it would have been 8 x 250 and instead it is 4 x 500 or even 1 x 3000. Compare that to say US using 45 kg warhead in a very precise Hellfire missile - the precision hit with that 45 kg warhead in many cases would achieve the same objective as 500kg at 20m.
> The test took place two years ago and involved quadcopter drones that were programmed to fly towards the front line, cover between 3 and 5 kilometres over around 10 minutes and then engage “Terminator mode”, in which an AI model searches for and intercepts targets.
> “We just launch it and we know everything will be dead – everything that will be found there in this particular area will be dead,” says Kokhanovskyy. “There is no connection to the drone at all, you cannot see the video, nothing… Everything it sees will be killed.”
Human soldiers kill civilians and other soldiers on the same side. It is called "friendly fire". It is horrible, and should be avoided, but humans are more likely to make this kind of mistake more than a computer or AI model.
> but humans are more likely to make this kind of mistake more than a computer or AI model
Based on?
The JSM has at least one multicore computer + IR camera + RF homing for target identification (plus GPS, terrain matching/following and inertial for navigation). It can automatically identify not only the best target (and recognize and ignore decoys etc), but also the optimal weak spots to impact.
Heck, check the American drone war crime video Wikileaks published. The one that made the USA so angry that it decided to attack and destroy the journalists.
With the USA the stats are available and no valid excuses exist to throw the data away. The US military is not defending itself and is supposed to be the most powerful, advanced (tech and policy) and professional military in the world. They are the best case scenario for the human drone operators' performance one has. And yet:
A computer is unlikely to go "colonel Kurtz".
I mean, is that really different than a heat seeking misile at the end of the day? If its set to kill everything in the area, its not really using AI for making targeting decisions in the same sense a human would.
Let's say a swarm of these things kills every civilian patient in a hospital or every child in a school. Who is responsible?
I'm surprised Israel wasn't the first to field such weapons.
Who's responsible, AI or a human? That misses the point that noone seems to be responsible at all, even in democracies.
Whether any particular country or entity can be held responsible is another question.