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flexie

7,990 karma · joined July 16, 2012

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flexie··on Tesla’s Fremont factory forced to shut down under shelter-in-place order
I have never believed much in the Tesla bears but this is worrying. Without their main production and assembly facility open, they can't make money.

The factory in Nevada produces batteries and powerwalls.

The factory in China has reopened but its capacity is low and it's far away from their main markets in North America and Europe. The one in the Netherlands assembles cars based on components from the US.

This comes a day after they opened deliveries for what could have / should have been their next big cash cow, the Model Y.

flexie··on Interview with Paul Graham
In popular terms "havelågebeskatning", formally the tax authorities actually refer to it as the "exitskat" (exit tax):

https://skat.dk/skat.aspx?oid=2176214

flexie··on Interview with Paul Graham
"The exit “tax” seems the most alarming to me. Though it’s called a tax, it’s really just confiscation. And if you look at the other countries in history that have confiscated the property of people who tried to leave, it’s not company you’d want to be in"

- Denmark currently has what is in effect an exit tax on rich people. It's a complicated tax and changed all the time in order to dodge EU requirements on the freedom of movement between EU countries.

PG probably wouldn't want to be in Denmark since after all he exchanged chilly and grey England with warm and sunny California, but Denmark is hardly among the worst places in the world in which to live or do business.

flexie··on Why Do American Houses Have So Many Bathrooms?
The EU (with 500 million people) is around half the size of the US. Europe including the land outside of the EU is much larger, as it includes vast areas in the former Soviet Union as well as Norway, Switzerland, Iceland, Serbia and a few other small nations.
flexie··on Why Do American Houses Have So Many Bathrooms?
As for bathrooms in modern US inner city apartments, I believe it's mainly because many bathrooms allow the apartments to be shared by several flatmates. For the developer, it opens the market to more buyers.

American dwellings are larger than European Union ones for several reasons:

- Most US homes are new: All over Europe, people live in much older housing and apartment stock. Go back to 1940, and the US only had a 130 million population, which typically lived in large families in shared houses. In 1940, the European population (excluding Russia) was already 420 million. Thus, whereas the US population has more than doubled since then, the European population has only increased some 50 percent. This meant construction of far more dwellings in the US in the large 80 years.

- Eastern Europe: Eastern Europe has been much poorer than the US during the last 80 years with people largely living in apartments.

- Space: The US simply has more space per capita. We are 500 million in the European Union (for a few days more) in an area half the size of the US.

- Sprawl: The great US population expansion coincided with the automobile revolution allowing for people to live in suburbs far from city centers, which in turn allowed for larger houses.

- White flight: Europe never had an exodus from city centers comparable to the US.

- Materials: Europeans live in brick and mortar houses or concrete buildings. American houses are made of wood and are cheaper to construct allowing for larger homes.

flexie··on How Tesla's battery costs impact its gross margins
GM has revenue of around USD 150B. VW of around USD 260. Tesla's was USD 20B in 2018. So compared to revenue, Tesla spends much more on R&D. And don't forget that a lot of the traditional car manufacturers' R&D is spent on combustion engine improvements and other tech that is not related to EVs whereas Tesla is only spent developing EV tech. Further, Tesla has been developing EV tech for 17 years now, the last 8 years at some scale. The traditional car manufacturers have only just begun in earnest 3-5 years ago.

I do agree that Tesla isn't investing that heavily in R&D but they also cannot afford to. They are not turning profits. And they are already 5-10 years ahead of many competitors on tech, so I think it's wise to invest in production capacity instead. This year and in 2021, VW, GM, Mercedes, BMW etc. are getting into the EV market with cars that in specs seem to be competing with Tesla's 2012 model S.

The most important spec right now is price and range. None of the old companies are close to delivering competing range at a competing price. None of them have a charging network or battery efficiency or battery production capacity close to what Tesla has.

flexie··on The Boring Company’s Las Vegas tunnel is nearly 50% done
Thanks for posting. This really shows the power of the English language.

I am not French, I don't live in France, I don't speak French and I am not particularly interested in tunnels or rails. And probably that's why it's the first time I hear about this. But I am not American either, and I don't live there, but I have read about the expensive few mile extension of a subway line in the Upper East Side of Manhattan and the failed attempts to build a high speed train between LA and San Francisco hundreds of times.

A project of that scale in one of the largest Western capitals goes relatively unnoticed outside of France mainly because of language.

Think about what else is lost. I bet there are thousands of businesses, and lots of culture which never get noticed mainly because of language.

flexie··on 7-Eleven Struck Back Against an Owner Who Took a Day Off
You are absolutely right (1) and I have no idea why people down vote you, even if they think its irrelevant.

We, here at our office desks, are quick to demand that this store or that service is open 24/7.

The guy needed a day off. Go somewhere else and get your chocolate bar.

1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/7-Eleven

flexie··on Oslo had 0 pedestrian, 0 cyclist, 0 children and 1 driver trafic deaths in 2019
The US standard of living is lower than the Norwegian. In terms of GDP per capita, Norway is almost 25 percent richer.

In reality, though there is a lot more equality in Norway where much of the population shares in the wealth. Having traveled extensively in both countries, I can tell you that the standard of living for regular people in Norway is far higher than that of regular Americans.

https://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&...

flexie··on Copenhagen Cycles with the Young, the Old, the Busy and the Dead
Not in Denmark because of the tax, but in other countries with similar wealth it's pretty standard. In the US and in Germany it's around $35,000.
flexie··on Copenhagen Cycles with the Young, the Old, the Busy and the Dead
You are both kind of right and wrong. It's actually 85 percent for the value of the car up to approximately $28,500 in 2019 figures, and then 150 percent on the exceeding value.

But: Add 25 percent VAT to it as well.

So take a standard car which is $40.000 without taxes. It will be:

(28,500x1.85+11,500x2.5)1.25 = 101,844. So it is more or less like a 155 percent tax.

Take an expensive car which is $80,000 before tax:

(28,500x1.85+51,500x2.5)1.25 = $226,844 That is like a 184 percent tax.

On top of that, there are other taxes that you have to pay yearly or biannually, including a tax depending on mileage, another depending on weight, and there is also heavy taxation on gasoline.

On your bike, you pay the 25 percent VAT.

flexie··on Jimmy Wales has quietly launched a Facebook rival
Yesterday I needed to find the websites for around 20 Danish accounting companies based on their official company names. I thought it was so few that it would take longer time to ask someone to do it than to just do it myself.

The names are rather unique, mostly made out of a string of personal names like "Watson, Sherlock & Lestrade Accountants LLC" or of geographical locations "Central Dartmoor Accounting LLC". Such accounting companies are small businesses with around 5-10 employees and mostly local clients. Their real world competition is the other handful of local accounting companies in the rural areas they are in. However, with few exceptions, I had to go to page 3 or even 4 on Google to find the companies' own website because page 1 and 2 were cluttered with ads for other accountants or accounting applications, and, to my surprise, for different SEO optimized collections of company data on accountants.

I used to think that it was just hotel and restaurant websites you have to find on page 3 buried below Bookings, Tripadvisor, Expedia and the like. But even something as mundane as accountants now have to fight SEO websites to get some attention.

flexie··on Twitter to ban political advertising
Danish lawyer here. We have rather usual defamation laws regarding libel and slander. I am not sure they differ from other European or American laws in any way that hold Danish media to higher standards. Even publishing true information can be a violation of our criminal code, for example certain information about private life or about past criminal convictions.

All in all, though, I believe we have wide freedom of press and freedom of speech not unlike what they have in the rest of Europe and in reality not that different from what they have in the US. Yes, we do have a media liability law which makes the editor (or even the journalist or the publication) liable for defamation in the content and for publishing certain information about a person's private life. The effect is that Danish publications are forced to worry about defamation against persons or corporations, or groups of people such as certain statements regarding religions, ethnicity etc or about information regarding persons' private life.

But apart from what I describe above, newspapers can publish more or less whatever they want without fearing criminal or tort liability. They mostly have to fear ridicule. A Danish editor will not be held liable if his newspaper writes wrong facts about the unemployment rate, crime, business climate, taxes or just about anything else that is in the news.

I believe the answer to why Danish media still have a decent standard despite free online news and Google and Facebook getting the ad money, is found in the subsidies. Virtually all large media in Denmark are either public entities or private entities that are heavily subsidized. By far the largest Danish media is the national radio and TV station. All the large newspapers receive huge subsidies. They simply still have budgets to pay for journalism.

Here is a list of the recipients with amounts: https://slks.dk/fileadmin/user_upload/SLKS/Omraader/Medier/S...

flexie··on Pro (noun.), abbreviation of Professional: born 1798, died 2019, aged 221
Pro has been added to the name of sports equipment for decades although 99 percent of the pro rackets, pro swimwear and pro boots are bought by amateurs.
flexie··on We Need to Dream Bigger Than Bike Lanes
I don't mind the weather in Copenhagen where the amount of people who bikes every day exceeds the amount of people who take public transportation every day by around 50% (1). Weather in Copenhagen is rarely very cold or very warm. But Copenhagen weather is not "startlingly good all year-round". It rains quite often and temperatures are often close to zero or sub zero. And it's windy all the time. It even snows a few days a year.

I don't think it's a question of either or. It's a question of prioritizing both bikes, and public transportation, and electric cars and scooters.

Sadly, even in Copenhagen, where there are dedicated bike highways, elevated bike bridges, and generally very good biking conditions (mostly flat city), the amount of people who use cars every day far exceeds the amount of people who bike.

1: Page 11: https://www.regionh.dk/til-fagfolk/trafik/Analyser-og-rappor...

flexie··on Spain jails Catalan separatist leaders, protesters take to streets
An independence based on a referendum arranged by separatists and which almost only separatists participated in, is hardly "pretty fundamental".

Take a look at the support for independence: it's not a majority opinion and it's getting smaller:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catalan_independence_movement#...

flexie··on Spain jails Catalan separatist leaders, protesters take to streets
Please remember that only part of the Catalan population participated in the referendum - mainly the ones that wanted to secede. The result was a huge majority according to Catalan authorities but turnout was merely 40-something percent. It's widely understood that voters that wanted to remain didn't participate.

It is highly questionable whether the independence movement has even 50 percent support. Indications are that the support hovers around 40-something percent. It was highest in 2013, where it reached 55 percent. Please notice that this is not close to the super majority which is normally required for constitutional changes in most democracies.

flexie··on How U.S. Banks Took Over the World
I second that. Most Europeans who have been exposed to American banks find them years if not decades behind. But investment banks and consumer banks are two different beasts entirely.
flexie··on Humans Dominated Earth Earlier Than Previously Thought
They did chop trees with stone tools. Here you can see how:

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=BN-34JfUrHY

flexie··on UK Government to Ask Queen to Suspend Parliament
If this had happened in a second or third world country, we would have called it a coup. A government suspending parliament is suspending the checks and balances. It is usurping all powers. As all other usurpers, Johnson cites the will of the people.

Yes, for now it is just temporary. In 49, Caesar also started with a temporary dictatorship: 11 days. Then in 48 one year. Then in 47 10 years. Then in 44 for life. then he was killed but the Roman republic and its sort of democracy died with him.

Johnson is blocking elected members of parliament from asserting their influence on the most important decisions since WWII.

The mother of all parliaments...

flexie··on Media Can’t Stop Presenting Horrifying Stories as ‘Uplifting’ Perseverance Porn
As a Dane living in Bulgaria, and who lived for a while in America, I too agree that I feel more secure with the Bulgarian health care system than the US one
flexie··on Berlin’s Popular Shopping Streets Will Go Car-Free
Electric taxis, metro etc.
flexie··on Berlin’s Popular Shopping Streets Will Go Car-Free
I really don't see why taxis or Uber should be allowed, at least if they are not fully electric. They are often larger than private cars, and they drive only the chauffeur and typically one grown up customer around, who could easily have walked, taken the metro or a bus. Half the time they are just waiting around for customers while the engine is on so the chauffeur can cool down or warm up inside.

A better exception would be EVs. Then lower their speed limit to 20 or 30 km/h in the city center, narrow car space to one lane in each direction, and free up the rest of the space on the streets for pedestrians, bikes, electric scooters, etc.

flexie··on The Lonely Work of Moderating Hacker News
Very interesting article :-) I had no idea that the community is this large and that there are only two moderators.

The article could have explained the other part of the moderation better - the user moderation provided by up and down votes. Bad comments are not only flagged but also tend to be pushed further down the page towards oblivion, while better comments tend to be lifted up towards the top of the page.

Anyways, King Canute: He was Danish, not Swedish :-)

flexie··on New York City Neighbors Build Cheaper Way to Connect to Web
Wow! Is $66 really considered cheap internet these days?

I pay around $14 monthly for 100 Mbps connection from a corporate internet provider (which typically gives me around 20 Mbps download and upload when I test). No installation fee and free equipment. Same internet, but from a different country. Is the internet connection in the NYC Mesh really that much faster?

flexie··on Europe is edging towards making post-car cities a reality
Not sure why people are down voting you, but I think this time it may not be the general HN negativity, but simply because they think you are attempting a bad joke.

This is exactly how many parents in Copenhagen drive their kids around. I would say that around half of all young parents in Copenhagen get a transporter bike like this one.

We were leaving Copenhagen for America shortly after our youngest was born but otherwise we would have biked the kids around as well.

flexie··on The brain avoids looking at glassy skyscrapers
This image shows the opposite of a glassy skyline. The only true glass building, which reflects sky and water, is the one just above the boat. The rest of the buildings are more traditional sky scrapers with mixed cladding.
flexie··on America’s urban rebirth is missing actual births
Museums, zoos and events are for once a month or once a week at the most. A garden or a suburban park is for once every few hours.
flexie··on America’s urban rebirth is missing actual births
https://www.statista.com/statistics/189841/number-of-ball-di...

I’d bet that most towns and suburbs with 10,000 inhabitants have 2-4 of those, or more :-)

flexie··on France to tax flights from its airports, airline shares fall
Yes, but that doesn’t ‘recover’ anything
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