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estimator7292

2,402 karma · joined August 21, 2025

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estimator7292··on Changes at Google DeepMind: Demis Hassabis from CEO to Chair, Jeff Dean departs
Enron's stock was pretty good, too.

Stock price is not a measure of success.

estimator7292··on Having fun with oh my pi, DeepSeek-V4-Flash, GPT-5.6 Luna and Antigravity CLI
Literally everything about AI coding is hacked together. Top to bottom, from every player.
estimator7292··on A big win for Android interoperability
Why can't I use my bank's app, which I presumably already trust, to tap-to-pay? Why should there be a third party involved at all?
estimator7292··on The End of an Era
Allow me to offer a minor reframing: printing presses aren't about duplicating writing. The printing press exists to mass produce text regardless of how or where the content of the text was produced.

LLMs likewise are text production machines. They don't produce writing, they produce text. Text without writing is what we call slop in the modern parlance.

LLMs are literally throwing random dice into a printing press and making a thousand copies that you then try to huck on the street as if it were a real newspaper.

estimator7292··on Security researcher says Microsoft built a Bitlocker backdoor, releases exploit
We are, quite notably, in a huge hiring crisis where vast numbers of programmers and researchers can't even get interviews. It really is not that simple
estimator7292··on Removing the modem and GPS from my 2024 RAV4 hybrid
That's an incredibly impractical and expensive place to put it. Frankly, I don't believe you purely because it'd be $200 cheaper for the manufacturer to put the antennas in the shark fin on the roof with all the other antennas
estimator7292··on Man finds $1M worth of Yu-Gi-Oh cards in a dumpster
No, it's wrong (and illegal) to hold ransom someone else's stolen property.

The phone belonged to Apple. The phone was stolen (illegal). The stolen phone was then knowingly purchased as stolen property (illegal), and then the reporter demanded payment for the stolen property (once more, illegal).

estimator7292··on My first in-prod corrupted hard drive problem
N=1, but I had a drive show catastrophic SMART failures once. I figured I'd take the opportunity to tinker with the exposed serial port on the drive's PCB and wiped the SMART values.

Funny thing was, I didn't actually observe any data loss. I stressed the drive for several days, no errors. It went back in my daily driver for the next 5 years with no failure. It's been 15 years since that happened and the drive still hasn't failed.

I don't trust SMART anymore.

estimator7292··on Utah data center: Projected daily heat equivalent to 23 atomic bombs
It's also completely wrong. Doc Brown's time machine did not require 1.21 gigawatts.

Very explicitly, it's 1.21 jigawatts. Completely different unit. What's a jigawatt? It's a movie, neither jigawatts nor flux capacitors are real things.

estimator7292··on Motherboard sales 'collapse' amid unprecedented shortages fueled by AI
Buy a $300 motherboard now in case you need future features, or buy a $100 motherboard now that does everything you currently need and then buy a second or even third $100 motherboard if you ever actually need those future improvements.

Then you get a new board designed for the new features instead of something several years old and you come out $100 on top.

Futureproofing is nonsense. PCs just don't work that way, and haven't for decades.

estimator7292··on The Old Guard: Confronting America's Gerontocratic Crisis
Yes it did. Billionaires are a relatively new thing, but successful businesses were led by young people across the entirety of human history.

And you should not praise someone for simply being a billionaire. That's a bad thing to be.

estimator7292··on The Old Guard: Confronting America's Gerontocratic Crisis
How else would you deal with people who are too old to do the job, and too senile to realize they can no longer perform and should abdicate?

Because we have politicians who can barely walk and talk on their own they're so goddamn old. These aren't the best and brightest of our country, these are old people who can no longer string together enough thoughts to understand their mere presence is hurting the entire country.

estimator7292··on RAM prices are forcing companies to choose higher prices, worse specs, or both
My company has tens of thousands of people on a waitlist for our new product. We had planned to ship this year, but we simply can't get enough memory at any price. Even if we cut the installed memory to bare minimum functional requirements, the unit cost goes up by a few hundred dollars and functionality is drastically reduced.

So, we can't ship. This could kill our business. Thanks, Sam.

estimator7292··on Vibe coding and agentic engineering are getting closer than I'd like
I see your point, however: EA sports has been doing this for literally the entire lifetime of gaming as an industry
estimator7292··on Vibe coding and agentic engineering are getting closer than I'd like
At least "mentions of LOC" is now a great metric for "how clueless is this person"
estimator7292··on Agents can now create Cloudflare accounts, buy domains, and deploy
Cloudflare gets a cut though, so it's valuable. As long as number go up, all good
estimator7292··on Google Chrome silently installs a 4 GB AI model on your device without consent
Because due to Google having a near-monopoly on the entire goddamn Internet, a shocking number of websites and services will refuse to work with non-chrome browsers.
estimator7292··on Today I've made the difficult decision to reduce the size of Coinbase by ~14%
You and I wouldn't because we're engineers. An executive with ulterior motives would want to call it production for "Marketing"
estimator7292··on The fun has been optimized out of the Internet
"The Internet" as always actually means "the top six websites".

The old internet still exists, you just have to look for it. There are still personal blogs and forums and webrings.

It's just that you can't find those things on reddit and Facebook.

estimator7292··on Apple Cuts More Mac Studio and Mac Mini RAM Options as Memory Shortage Worsens
It would take 5-10 years to design and verify a RAM design that comes anywhere close to the performance of modern day memory. Plus millions in NRE.
estimator7292··on DHS demanded Google surrender data on a Canadian man over anti-ICE posts
We could, but then these companies would just go on ignoring the law like they do now. The current state of American governance has made it very, very clear that following the law is strictly optional if you have enough money or power
estimator7292··on Kids bypass age verification with fake moustaches
There's age verification and then there's "age verification" (mass surveillance dragnet)

One of these is clearly a very extremely bad thing

estimator7292··on I am worried about Bun
Yeah, I'm none too happy with anthropic right now, but what's happening to Claude code is just your typical garden variety mismanagement of a project that grew way too fast for its owners to reasonably handle.
estimator7292··on Days without GitHub incidents
If you pay someone full price to do a job, they know they can't fulfil the terms up front, accept the work, deliver less than the agreed upon terms and still charge you full price, you'd probably call that transaction fraudulent.

GitHub is promising service they know they cannot meet, not telling you that, and still charging you full price. What's more, one can argue quite convincingly that they're lying about their level of delivered service by not reflecting the actual level of uptime on their status page.

To give benefit of the doubt requires that the other party is not blatantly and overtly acting in bad faith. When they are, you're just apologizing for fraudulent behavior.

estimator7292··on Every American interacting with chatbot would need to upload a government ID
Obviously, they already tried.

Problem is that there simply is not a way to do this reliably. The models are all stochastic processes and the only real levers model designers have to pull involve asking the model to pretty please not do something bad.

And then it turns out that it's pretty easy to also ask models to pretty please ignore previous instructions. You can also accidentally get a model into a state where it ignores system prompt guidelines.

There is not a big #ifdef DONT_TELL_USER_TO_DIE switch in the code. Nobody truly understands how the models work under the hood and there simply is not a way to enforce 100% that a model cannot do something.

estimator7292··on McDonald's is quietly ending the era of self-serve soda fountains nationwide
The fountains behind the counter get cleaned exactly as often as the ones in front (read: approximately never)
estimator7292··on Removable batteries in smartphones will be mandatory in the EU starting in 2027
When has a legally mandated metric ever been gamed into a loophole? /s
estimator7292··on Removable batteries in smartphones will be mandatory in the EU starting in 2027
I think it's mostly marketing. When all phones are identical glass rectangles, the only meaningful way to distinguish your product is by being the biggest, thinnest, highest IP-rating.

Most of these metrics are entirely orthogonal to what any real person wants from a phone, but that's an irrelevant detail to marketing types

estimator7292··on Windows quality update: Progress we've made since March
They'll notice if no Windows machines phone home from your IP address anymore. It doesn't matter so much what you switched to, more that you're no longer giving Microsoft those sweet, sweet KPIs
estimator7292··on I built my own hair electrolysis machine
Nah, calling out morons and assholes is always useful
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