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esalman

2,646 karma · joined September 11, 2011

Data wrangler
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esalman··on Markdown in /src
Markdown in /src comes with some unwelcome assumptions.

This is being done with an agent-first approach in mind. Agents cost a lot to run. Moving markdown to /src will only help AI subscription sellers.

If you are a fan of local LLM, then you also know code is not cheap. It requires substantial amount of investment in infra acquisition and maintenance.

Markdown should be where they always were, in /docs. It does not make a difference for an agent. But it allows to keep /src clean and adhere to zero-token architecture.

esalman··on Executive order on H-1B nonimmigrant visa administration
Americans had more than 10 years of exposure and still finds him "amazing".
esalman··on Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields
Your points are valid. But there's a reason why dollar is "petrodollar" - when we say it's backed by US military it's really the axis of US-Israel-Saudi Arabia which control military as well as resources. People use US dollar not necessarily because they want, but because they have to. I also do not know who Graber is but I'll look it up.
esalman··on Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields
I don't think numbers matter here.

Bond prices shooting up is a result of market losing trust in US, or it's ability to not default.

Dollar is famous backed by $700T military. But the world has seen how it failed to secure a strait.

The current US government has broken all kind of promises. I want to highlight two in particular - free trade and immigration.

World economy has benefited for decades on the promises of free trade. The tariffs have eroded the promise and trust.

The government is also openly supporting elements who are hostile to immigrants. Immigrants are the backbone of US economy, has been for over hundred years. Immigrating to the US requires years of preparation, long term planning, and giving up on other luxuries and opportunities. When the government starts breaking promises by changing rules and moving the goalposts overnight, it discourages participation.

esalman··on New $100k H-1B visa fee pushes tech jobs offshore
Spot on. USCIS adjudicators decide if an application has merit. While they are supposed to be financially self sufficient and good at the adjudication process, there is A. pressure from current administration resulting in rejection of application with merit, and B. pressure from the applicant pool to game even O1 or EB2 processes, just like H1B.

The government/USCIS could invest in the adjudication process to make it more robust. But they choose to leverage it for political gains instead. It helps nobody, not US, not US workers and not non-US workers who actually have merit and rather not cheat.

esalman··on What a time to be alive – rouge AI agents attack RubyGems.org
‘It wasn’t us, it was a bug in the software’ used to be the defense for bad code. Then it became the defense for self-driving cars. Now it’s being used for AI cyber attacks.
esalman··on Flock worker calls police on reporter filming public camera installation
Even normies are anti-flock, along with lots of tech savvy people who care about privacy.

These are dark days, but Flock and data centers are a couple of things that actually bring people together and take a united stand against something.

esalman··on Financial Times' 404 Page not Found
I'd blame it on liquidity trap. Technology team decided to keep money instead of using it to fix the issue.
esalman··on Financial Times' 404 Page not Found
This was a nice refresh of my economies classes.
esalman··on Silicon Valley is transforming the military-industrial complex? (2024)
You don't need to take everyone's vote to influence an election. Look at the data. Most elections are decided by a small percentage of swing votes. With appropriate amount of data and resources (i.e. money) it is possible to swing elections.
esalman··on Silicon Valley is transforming the military-industrial complex? (2024)
If these were mere ideas we wouldn't have a problem. On a given day anyone can come up with worse ideas.

What makes us separate from animals and thrive as a civilization is that majority of us do not act on our intrusive ideas without consequences.

Thiel is an exception because he is acting on thsea ideas, causing harm to real innocent people, without any regard for consequences.

esalman··on Detecting and countering misuse of AI: September 2026
Let's be honest, someone hacked Anthropic to build biological weapons.

They could easily use a Chinese model but they didn't.

esalman··on Silicon Valley is transforming the military-industrial complex? (2024)
Quotes from the man himself:

On Democracy and Freedom: "I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible"

On Competition: "Competition is for losers"

On Technology and Control: "One of the things I like about technology is that when technology is unregulated, you can change the world without getting approval from other people. At its best, it's not subject to democratic control and not subject to the majority, which I think is often hostile to change"

On Reputation: "I'd rather be seen as evil than incompetent"

esalman··on Silicon Valley is transforming the military-industrial complex?
Hard to elect better leaders when you do not have multiple billions of dollars to spend.
esalman··on Navier-Stokes – Tristan Buckmaster [pdf]
I work in catastrophe risk modeling and it's a multi billion dollar industry.

We often chat where the business might be heading in future. An uncomfortable scenario is what if a frontier tech company decides to offer our customers the same products that we do.

There's a lot of pressure on AI adoption so the company has partnered with various tech companies to build intelligent systems on top of proprietary data and mathematical models.

If OpenAI is indeed using customer data to train their models to win a $1m prize, then it throws a giant IP question at the partnerships that affects multi billion dollar businesses.

esalman··on If a Tesla Cybercab fleet were profitable, Tesla wouldn't sell you one
I think a more apt analogy is iPhone. You pay Apple for a brand new one, they make more money when you make in-app purchases.

Another really important issue is depreciation. You own the car for a few year and eat a cost of depreciation, and then figure out how to dig yourself out of the hole the way Hertz did. Similar to iPhone- you use one for 2+ years and then get a new version- you're also responsible if the phone breaks.

esalman··on Record-High 89% in U.S. Say Government Corruption Widespread
He just bombed civilians in the middle east. Current administration is both bombing civilians in the middle east and stealing from civilians in the US.
esalman··on AI handles incidents, engineers lose touch with their systems
That's what the linked article is talking about. Training for extreme failure.

Sure you have self driving cars and everything that make you more and more disconnected, but still highways more dangerous to drive whenever there is a storm or ice on the road. For the same reason, driving tests are harder in the north.

esalman··on The White House is making arcade games racist
The most controversial one I can think of is a school shooting simulator. But I doubt it's live now.

Even if there are dark games, they are meant to be parody/satire. Certainly not done in the same spirit what the white house is doing here.

esalman··on Record-High 89% in U.S. Say Government Corruption Widespread
Well friend, the current political climate in America might be unprecedented, but is not unique. As someone who lived under a mix of military, monarchy, psudo-democratic and democratic governments for first 30 years of my life, I've seen this played out many times before.
esalman··on The White House is making arcade games racist
These games are toxic and dark, and would be moderated on a marketplace like Steam. And Steam has fair share of dark games.
esalman··on US diesel prices hit a record high of $5.85 on average
I see them in many gas stations in SoCal.

Irony is unlike this administration, the previous one didn't have much to do with fuel demand spike in first summer after COVID lockdowns.

esalman··on Mamdani bans AI in NYC schools
If you let them develop critical thinking skills, it'll actually be easier to reach them.
esalman··on Sanders introduces bill to ban artificial superintelligence and pause AI
> AI is our best shot at a post-scarcity society

Whenever I hear AI (or a token predictor in its current form) will solve some universal problem like hunger etc., a picture comes to my mind. . It's a picture of a mom breaking bricks with a hammer to be used for molding concrete, with a child nearby playing, who is tied with a rope to a pole. It's not an imaginary picture, it's real, etched in my memory from childhood. It's a reality that's driven by scarcity- of food and security.

How will AI solve this to bring post scarcity society?

esalman··on New York Times and The Athletic workers demand company scrap Kalshi deal
Incorrect. Ninth circuit ruled in favor of Nevada State, but earlier this year third circuit ruled in favor of Kalshi. So it's going to the Supreme Court.

All of the above is completely independent from what Congress can or cannot do.

esalman··on Mamdani bans AI in NYC schools
> Keeping younger students away from computers is dumb

No. There's proven research that shows reading a book or writing with a pen or pencil is much more stimulating and beneficial compared to looking at a screen or tapping/typing on it.

esalman··on New York Times and The Athletic workers demand company scrap Kalshi deal
Sports gambling is controlled by FTC in the US. Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket found a loophole where they can run gambling operations under CFTC and and not be controlled by FTC. There needs to be some legislative actions from the Congress to close the loophole.
esalman··on Evidence of Fraud in an Influential Study About Procrastination
Not necessarily.

The article I linked reported that the white blood cell DNA of the child did not contain Y chromosome.

That's different than conducting a survey.

esalman··on Terence Tao explains 6 essential mathematical concepts [video]
Yeah.
esalman··on Evidence of Fraud in an Influential Study About Procrastination
> it does not matter if Jesus did in fact born from a virgin mother, it is not repeatable, and therefore not scientific

https://www.newscientist.com/article/1837276-the-boy-whose-b...

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