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elidourado

680 karma · joined May 4, 2008

<a href="http://elidourado.com/">elidourado.com</a><br /> <a href="https://twitter.com/elidourado">@elidourado</a>
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elidourado··on The U.S. Isn't As Economically Free As It Used to Be
Economic freedom is a human right.
elidourado··on Ask HN: What history of economics and technology book would you recommend?
An Empire of Wealth by John Steele Gordon.
elidourado··on If the Google Phone really exists, it's a mistake
Surely Nokia understands the concept of a sunk cost.
elidourado··on HN: share your unneeded Google Wave invites
Got one, never mind.
elidourado··on HN: share your unneeded Google Wave invites
http://mailhide.recaptcha.net/d?k=01STZDJA_nV52BHpyxQp42LA==...

Thanks!

elidourado··on Please tell us what features you'd like in news.ycombinator
Please include the URL or domain of the linked item somewhere in the content field of the RSS feed.
elidourado··on Poll: Do you take the domain into account when deciding to click an HN link?
I wish the domain showed up in the RSS feed...
elidourado··on Google Wave Drips With Ambition. A New Communication Platform For A New Web.
I think I heard someone say whitelisting, but I lost the reference.
elidourado··on Ask HN: If Google is a monopoly, should we be doing anything about it?
Normally when we talk about monopolies being inefficient or "shaft[ing] the end user" we are concerned with the monopoly raising price and restricting quantity. Search engines do not (generally) charge a direct price, but they do implicitly charge a price in the form of ads on the page. If Google decides to blanket their search results with many more ads than they currently do, I have no problem switching to a competitor. Lots of other people will switch too.

There are conceivably other ways that Google could indirectly raise prices on consumers, but realistically it is a huge waste of money to prosecute a company that gives stuff out for free. Furthermore, threatening such action poisons the business environment by making investment more risky. It is a terrible idea.

elidourado··on Ask HN: What apps are essential for mac?
Everyone is linking to Quicksilver. I am a former Quicksilver user, but I find it unbearably slow and bloated. Instead, I use Google Quick Search box, which does most of what Quicksilver does with much less bloat.

http://code.google.com/p/qsb-mac/

elidourado··on What Larry Lessig Didn't Get
I meant to imply what you call the "more mainstream free market argument," though I think it is now the standard view of people who study this stuff. The question is "harmless compared to what?" Conceivably, a regulatory environment in which all-knowing and benevolent bureaucrats costlessly implement and enforce regulation would outperform a laissez-faire approach to natural monopoly. But Hayek won the Nobel prize for showing that government is not all-knowing, and Buchanan won it for showing that it is not benevolent. It's not useful to judge natural monopoly against an alternative that does not and cannot exist.

Compared to the relevant alternatives, natural monopoly is basically harmless.

elidourado··on What Larry Lessig Didn't Get
We can classify monopolies into three categories:

1. Natural monopoly - Returns to scale are large enough (or the market it small enough) that one firm can provide the product for a lower price than multiple firms. This is possible without government backing, but is basically harmless if entry into the industry is not blocked. The natural monopoly may be the only seller, but it still faces potential competition.

2. Artificial monopoly - Firms merge to monopoly, firms form a cartel, etc., in an industry without returns to scale. This is the kind of monopoly that people worry about, but in a free market, they are (or would be) very uncommon. There is always an incentive to cheat on a cartel agreement, and there is always an incentive to enter the industry if profits are above normal.

3. Government monopoly - Firms take advantage of government-created (whether intentional or unintentional) entry barriers to establish an artificial monopoly, or the government itself establishes a monopoly in the activity. Very common. For instance, heavy regulation might favor large firms that can more easily absorb the fixed cost of compliance.

If you are interested in learning more about this, look into the branch of economics called "Industrial Organization." The best textbook is by Carlton and Perloff; it is the one I used when I taught IO this semester.

elidourado··on Stephen Hawking 'very ill'
My first reaction upon seeing the headline was, "duh!"

http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=ill

elidourado··on Ask HN: What upcoming technological development interests you the most?
What is your prediction for how long we will have to wait for autonomous driving?
elidourado··on Chicago 28-year-old made $70 million off cash loans, now he's buying slums
One of the main characters in The Merchant of Venice is Shylock, the Jewish moneylender. That's where Goldstein's Jewishness comes in. PostOnce was just noting the coincidence of having read this article after some Shakespeare. It's not remotely anti-Semitic; calm down.
elidourado··on Patch to fix RSS feed for News.YC
Can we also get the url, or at least the host, of the link in the RSS feed, as we get it on the homepage?
elidourado··on Sneak Peek at Skype for iPhone, Available Tuesday
That didn't work for me (US store).
elidourado··on Sneak Peek at Skype for iPhone, Available Tuesday
It is already available in some localized app stores, but not at the US store yet.
elidourado··on US Navy Laboratory Scientists: Possible cold fusion breakthrough
http://www.springerlink.com/content/022501181p3h764l/
elidourado··on Grand Central To (Finally) Launch As Google Voice. It’s Very, Very Good.
I send the HN rss feed through Yahoo Pipes to add the url of the link to the text.

http://pipes.yahoo.com/pipes/pipe.run?_id=zFbbu_cK3RGfhLcgn0...

elidourado··on Netflix customers up in arms over the new Netflix Silverlight player
I had the same problem in Safari, but watching in Firefox works fine. I think Safari has issues handling plugins generally.

I also tested it briefly on Safari 4 and it seems to be better.

elidourado··on Daring Fireball: Apple, Google, and Palm.
A Google Patent search does not turn this up. Can anyone show us the patent?

http://www.google.com/patents?q=3.5+mm+inassignee%3AApple

elidourado··on How did we geeks become experts on macroeconomics?
I am ABD in economics, and I use the following rule of thumb: If you think you understand macroeconomics, you are hopelessly lost. If you are thoroughly confused, you are beginning to understand.

By the way, since people seem to be interested, I think the best macro book is Snowdon and Vane's Modern Macroeconomics.

http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/1845422082/elidourado...

elidourado··on Tell HN: Vote.
Not voting.

"Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard." -- H. L. Mencken

elidourado··on Hedge funds turn out not to work: average fund down 17.6% for the year
Andrew, I believe the short-selling "ban" was actually only on a bunch of financial firms. You could still have shorted the indices.
elidourado··on Hedge funds turn out not to work: average fund down 17.6% for the year
Yes and no. If I am not allowed to short IBM, I can get around it. I simply short the Dow and go long the other Dow components (that is, excluding IBM). The transaction costs are not that large. Mostly, it's just a stupid rule that can be easily traded around.
elidourado··on Who Should Be CTO of the USA?
No one.
elidourado··on The End of Libertarianism: The financial collapse proves that it makes no sense.
No, I don't think so. I am an economist; I understand the issue. I'm saying that if you start with a government intervention, there's not anything unlibertarian about advocating a further intervention to make things less bad, provided that you oppose the initial intervention.

For instance, libertarians oppose government-created monopolies. But given a government-created monopoly, it's not unlibertarian to support regulating it. The optimal libertarian policy is obviously abolishing said monopoly. The second-best one is regulating it. The third-best is letting it abuse its power.

elidourado··on The End of Libertarianism: The financial collapse proves that it makes no sense.
I am a libertarian (well, a philosophical anarchist, actually) and I favor some sort of government intervention to attempt to avert a financial disaster. Indeed, I would have favored more regulations to rein in the GSEs before the collapse. There is no contradiction here.

Given that you have moral hazard problems created by government, it is not somehow unlibertarian to advocate regulation to reduce excessive risk-taking by government-backed agencies. Ideally, Fannie and Freddie would never have existed. Since they did exist, the second-best case would have been for them to be purely private entities with no implicit government guarantee. The third-best case would have been for them to be purely public entities with no profit motive. The fourth-best case would have been for them to be mixed private-public entities like they were, but subject to stringent oversight. We were in the fifth-best case in which they had a profit motive, moral hazard, and little oversight.

For similar reasons, I favor a bailout. There is a time-consistency problem. The government would like to commit to never bailing anyone out. If it were able to do this, the need for bailouts might not arise. But it cannot commit; since everyone knows the government will bail big financial firms out, it basically has no choice.

None of this in any way contradicts my view that the government should not intervene in housing markets in the first place, that currency competition should exist, that taxes should be much lower, that there should be no government redistribution of incomes, that public schools should be shut down, that there should be no government provision of health care, that the draft should be abolished, that marriage should be unregulated, that prostitution should be legal, or that 12 year olds should legally be allowed to purchase heroin from vending machines.

elidourado··on Rejected By Apple? Sell Your iPhone App Yourself, Profit
Agreed. And upgrades will be a pain, too.
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