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eh_why_not

394 karma · joined September 7, 2023

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eh_why_not··on NTSB issues investigative update on B-767 runway excursion accident in Miami
> How can you comment as if you are knowledgeable enough about aviation to speak on this with authority, but you aren't aware that turbofan engines don't have instant throttle response and need time (up to 8 seconds) to spool up? I think a little more restraint is warranted in something like this if you don't know something that basic.

I'm a pilot, and I don't fly turbofans/jets. Not claiming any "authority", but qualified to comment... It's not "something that basic" unless you fly in that category, there's a lot more to aviation experience than knowing a fact about an engine you don't use. (But hey, congrats to you that you know it!)

> I think a little more restraint is warranted in something like this..

More restraint than saying "unclear <i.e. to me> why ...", an exact statement about what I didn't know, which harms no one and led to several informative explanations by people who know (most of them in good spirit)?

This is what good conversation is about.

...

Anyway, the point I was making holds and is this:

Orthogonal to whether they could/should have gone around at that point, and given that they stayed on the ground after all, it may turn out that that 4 seconds of indecision (instead of pure deceleration) may have directly contributed to the fatalities at the end of the crash.

eh_why_not··on NTSB issues investigative update on B-767 runway excursion accident in Miami
So many mistakes. A notable part is this:

>> CVR: 00:15 A pilot called for a go-around.

>> FDR: 00:15 Brakes were released at a groundspeed of 120 knots and throttles were increased to a value consistent with go-around thrust.

>> FDR: 00:11 The throttles were reduced to idle power and the brakes were re-applied. The groundspeed was 117 knots. The throttles remained at idle, and brakes remained applied until the end of the recording.

So they decided to go-around (i.e. do not land and climb immediately, going full thrust), then 4 seconds later changed their mind and went back to power idle and brakes (unclear how speed didn't increase).

While they were still late in calling a go-around (they should have done it before being anywhere close to touching down due to their unstable approach), guessing those 4 seconds contributed to the disaster by a lot.

eh_why_not··on OpenAI's rogue agents used at least 10 more sites
This incident keeps giving.

Why do we keep hearing about researchers and investigators - who all appear to be unaffiliated with OpenAI - discovering these new sites one by one?

All site URLs that the agent swarms used would appear in the network logs and be preserved by the first forensics team that looked into it.

Subpoena the logs.

eh_why_not··on GPT-6 Astra
FWIW, they had a similar-looking pelican (with the red bandana on the neck and all) in their release video:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bOC3DisEOfg&t=119s

eh_why_not··on Anthropic appears to be A/B testing reduced effort levels in Claude Code
One guess is that their "primary" target audience/market is the large corporations that get their employees unlimited tokens, and not the individual developer who may worry about spending and token accounting.
eh_why_not··on The Amazon tax
> Someone should file the multi-hundred-billion-dollar class actions

Incidentally, last week Amazon changed their TOS [0] and now all disputes with them are to be resolved via Arbitration; class action waiver when you use their services, etc.

[0] https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/amazon-reinstates-b...

eh_why_not··on Terence Tao's ChatGPT conversation about the Jacobian Conjecture counterexample
Agreed, it's stronger "horizontally". But I also think that we're not far away from it being stronger vertically; i.e. superior to Tao, in that such turn-by-turn guidance by him in solving sophisticated and difficult problems will not be necessary for long.
eh_why_not··on Terence Tao's ChatGPT conversation about the Jacobian Conjecture counterexample
What was most remarkable to me from this transcript, was how strong of an equal the AI agent comes across compared to the user (Tao). And Tao is one of the top mathematicians of modern times.

Yes, Tao is guiding it to where he wants to go. But also, Tao is actively learning from it and relying on its explaining, analysis, and inference abilities. You can easily imagine this conversation having taken place between Tao and a PhD thesis student, or even another professor, explaining their results.

What can we imagine and predict about the future anymore? Maybe a year - or two model releases - from now, the AI assistant will be undeniably stronger than Tao, and not an equal anymore.

eh_why_not··on GPT-5.6 Sol Pro solves open problem in convex optimization
Discussion on Reddit: https://old.reddit.com/r/math/comments/1uxj3cy/after_openais...

Of note: the author had AI help synthesizing the actual 10-page prompt that resulted in the proof! A powerful tool when you know what you're doing.

> Did you have first an AI help designing the prompt?

>> yes, I did! I basically had 5.6 Sol synthesize existing closely related work and their approaches, the past ideas I had, with OpenAI's prompt that had a lot of the presumably important mechanisms for how exactly the agent should act. Especially from the "results that do not count" section onwards is a lot of input from Sol.

eh_why_not··on United Airlines 767 returns to Newark after Bluetooth name sparks alert
Hmm I see. I only use "old" reddit and it does require login there to resolve to a real address. In any case, it is a special link that enables tracking (unnecessary, to say the least).
eh_why_not··on United Airlines 767 returns to Newark after Bluetooth name sparks alert
FYI Reddit "s" links require login, an unnecessary burden. For your purpose here a direct link would have sufficed:

https://old.reddit.com/r/unitedairlines/comments/1tse6mq/ua_...

eh_why_not··on The electromechanical angle computer inside the B-52 bomber's star tracker
Easy, just write multiple books simultaneously /s. Cheers.
eh_why_not··on The electromechanical angle computer inside the B-52 bomber's star tracker
Would you consider writing a computer history book?
eh_why_not··on The electromechanical angle computer inside the B-52 bomber's star tracker
But let's say I got you started. What would you want to say about them?
eh_why_not··on 12k AI-generated blog posts added in a single commit
No it's not the same as your grandma. The point is that it's now more expensive to find the correct information to learn from. You don't know it's an LLM ahead of time, and you may spend hours until you figure out something is off. Hence why reputable sources will become more valuable.

> If you develop the skill of judging information by its merit rather than source..

Did you read example #1? I'm not talking about some piece of code from an LLM that you can verify or some political opinion that you can take with a grain of salt, but information that you can only gain and/or judge through expertise:

If you're not a physicist yourself, you can't judge "information by its merit" on specific physics topics, because you don't have a solid baseline.

Similarly, in growing plants, each plant has its own peculiarities, and only people experienced in growing it can tell you anything useful - it's knowledge accumulated by trial and error. Not knowledge that your "great discerning mind" can assess on its own. Even a botanist can't tell you the ideal growing conditions of a plant that they've never studied before.

eh_why_not··on 12k AI-generated blog posts added in a single commit
It's becoming much harder to determine on a daily basis what content is original, thought-out by a person, and trustworthy. Ironically, verifiably-old content is easier to trust now. Examples from recent personal experience:

1) Some time ago I was searching for growing information about a specific and uncommonly-grown plant, and was led to a top-ranked website with long pages containing everything about it, including other plants. Surprised at how prolific the writing was, I spent more than an hour on the website, taking notes, etc. Every few paragraphs it would include an amazon affiliate link to something topical, which I thought was fair. Until I realized that the links near the bottom of the page were looking more random. Then it hit me, the website is all AI-generated, and the affiliate links themselves are also AI-chosen. And everything new I "learned" from that site was now useless because I had no way to know what was grounded in actual agricultural experience and what was hallucinated.

2) Recently I did a youtube search for a book I had just finished reading, looking for some reviews. Came across a channel that was reading the book as new audio (i.e. not the original published audiobook). I thought it was a fan making it. The voice was beautiful, soothing, and natural with all kinds of relevant emotions correctly included. I started listening to the book again, until I noticed a consistent error in word ordering being made every few lines. Then it hit me! The channel even included one upload with a video recording of a seemingly-real person reading with that voice. Both the audio and video are AI-generated, but very hard to tell.

3) Next to those videos, YT recommended many strange/new channels. One had the photo and the exact voice of a famous (and now very old) physicist, with tens of clickbaity titles about controversial topics in the domain. The only tell was that the voice was too vigorous and consistently energetic, while if you've listened to that physicist before, you know his cadence is slower. At first I thought maybe the channel is reading one of his books; no, the content itself was AI-generated, maybe based on his books. There was a lot of engagement, with many comments like "mind blown" and "learned so much today".

Both #1 and #3 are harmful, because you think you're learning from a reliable source but you end up learning hallucinated nothings. #2 I didn't mind much, still enjoyed the new voice, and even preferred it over my original audible version.

eh_why_not··on No knives, only cook knives
> ...and burn it (to remove the rabies and typhus)...

Elaborate? You heat your knives after every sharpening?

eh_why_not··on The Risks of AI in Schools Outweigh the Benefits, Report Says
Good article. I found this part the most damning:

> "We know that richer communities and schools will be able to afford more advanced AI models," Winthrop says, "and we know those more advanced AI models are more accurate. Which means that this is the first time in ed-tech history that schools will have to pay more for more accurate information. And that really hurts schools without a lot of resources."

... and am somehow reminded of the movie Gattaca.

eh_why_not··on Drones that recharge directly on transmission lines
> Removing battery swaps is the last step to deploy UAVs autonomously at scale.

So ubiquitous surveillance, literally overhead, without any need to have a nearby/local charging/physical-management station/crew?

> After power companies, we will service rail, road, telecom, real estate and other inspection markets.

Oh?

> After building drones for the Air Force and DARPA, ...

Oh

eh_why_not··on 6174
The "Kaprekar's routine" page [0] is more informative, covers other bases.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kaprekar%27s_routine

eh_why_not··on Garry Tan says MCP "barely works" today
The s/ link in the post is a tracking link that requires Reddit login (please avoid those). Its destination can be viewed directly at https://old.reddit.com/r/mcp/comments/1paggqd/garry_tan_says...
eh_why_not··on YouTube AI error costs creator his channel over alleged link to Japanese account
What's up with the TeamYouTube account advising him to delete his X post for security reasons because the post contains a channel ID? Like channel ID is not public information and some secret private key or something?

https://x.com/TeamYouTube/status/1985378776562168037

eh_why_not··on You did no fact checking, and I must scream
In a discussion of an article about encouraging fact-checking in writing, I wish you would have made your quotes informative by replacing "many wise people" with the actual names of who said them.

For everyone else: the first paragraph appears to be a quote of C.S. Lewis around 1945 [0], and the second, of Thomas Jefferson in 1807 [1].

[0] https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/502048-why-you-fool-it-s-th...

[1] https://press-pubs.uchicago.edu/founders/documents/amendI_sp...

eh_why_not··on Ask HN: What really happened to Cruise self-driving cars?
In case it's still not clear with the "while second to Waymo" phrase: "others" refers to contenders other than Waymo.
eh_why_not··on Old Soviet Venus descent craft nearing Earth reentry
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kosmos_482

> Its landing module, which weighs 495 kilograms (1,091 lb), is highly likely to reach the surface of Earth in one piece as it was designed to withstand 300 G's of acceleration and 100 atmospheres of pressure.

Awesome! I don't know how you can design for 300 G's of acceleration!

eh_why_not··on A proof of concept tool to verify estimates
The ChatGPT session he links [0] shows how powerful the LLM is in aiding and teaching programming. A patient, resourceful, effective, and apparently deeply knowledgeable tutor! At least for beginners.

[0] https://chatgpt.com/share/68143a97-9424-800e-b43a-ea9690485b...

eh_why_not··on The Animals That Exist Between Life and Death
Seeds were also the first thing that came to my mind.

I've always found it fascinating that I could plant many spice seeds (e.g. mustard) as long as their container said "not irradiated", and they would sprout and grow just fine, several years after buying them. I.e. they are still technically alive, and can stay as such for many years, which is just amazing life resilience.

That said,

> ...except that as these organisms are simpler than seeds...

I wouldn't say any animal that can move around to be simpler than seeds. IMHO by any definition animals are a big jump up in complexity over plants.

eh_why_not··on Mozilla flamed by Firefox fans after reneging on promises to not sell their data
> I wish they’d spin off Firefox and related stuff..., and abandon the rest of their “mission”.

I wish the community (I don't have the technical skills myself) would fork Firefox back into a privacy-focused browser; strip out all the Mozilla "products" code that's snuck in it, and manage the development in a non-profit organization like how the Linux kernel gets developed.

eh_why_not··on No good deed goes unpunished: can we now be sued over software we give away?
> In tort.

New word for me.

A tort is a civil wrong, other than breach of contract, that causes a claimant to suffer loss or harm, resulting in legal liability for the person who commits the tortious act. Tort law can be contrasted with criminal law, which deals with criminal wrongs that are punishable by the state. While criminal law aims to punish individuals who commit crimes, tort law aims to compensate individuals who suffer harm as a result of the actions of others

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tort

eh_why_not··on Archivists work to save disappearing data.gov datasets
What's a good way to be an "Archivist" on a low budget these days?

Say you have a few TBs of disk space, and you're willing to capture some public datasets (or parts of them) that interest you, and publish them in a friendly jurisdiction - keyed by their MD5/SHA1 - or make them available upon request. I.e. be part of a large open-source storage network, but only for objects/datasets you're willing to store (so there are no illegal shenanigans).

Is this a use case for Torrents? What's the most suitable architecture available today for this?

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