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dublinstats

36 karma · joined April 16, 2026

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dublinstats··on The World's Most Complex Machine
This is kind of like saying you can prove everyone dies based on the evidence that everyone who is not currently alive has died.

You might place an upper limit using history but in this case I'd guess that limit would end up being much larger than the present semiconductor industry itself might last.

dublinstats··on China blocks Meta's acquisition of AI startup Manus
I think you're misreading my tone because the other poster was so opinionated. I didn't think being Chinese was insulting or something, but had expected a continuing discussion there.

And I think my prior response in the thread was rather highbrow and clever, referencing ancient history.

dublinstats··on The quiet resurgence of RF engineering
The government heavily revised and reinterpreted patent law many times in favor of software companies starting in the 80s. Otherwise hardware companies would have the only real moat since, as you say, software is relatively cheap and fast to produce.
dublinstats··on China blocks Meta's acquisition of AI startup Manus
Shouldn't every country be barring people from leaving the country if they've been charged with a crime? At least if there's a good chance they will flee justice.

This seems like a side issue from the question of whether the charges are legitimate.

dublinstats··on The quiet resurgence of RF engineering
I think the real deciding factor is government policy. So far they have favored software and services companies, letting them eat the lunch of the hardware producers.
dublinstats··on China blocks Meta's acquisition of AI startup Manus
They could just as well relocate to California for that matter.

The question is are they still controlled by the PRC. China doesn't allow dual citizenship (like other Asian countries), so people might legitimately want to work abroad while keeping their native passport.

dublinstats··on China blocks Meta's acquisition of AI startup Manus
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dublinstats··on China blocks Meta's acquisition of AI startup Manus
I don't think their social networks are allowed in China.

From your link it looks like they might do R&D for Oculus in China (but may not even be able to sell it there due to the data-collection tie in required).

Not sure what you mean by catering to the export market. b2b sales would be just as restricted as sales to consumers.

dublinstats··on Men who stare at walls
It may be the opposite of that, trying to inhibit the default mode network.
dublinstats··on Waymo says can't avoid bike lanes because riders want to be dropped off in them
I think the point is they have to follow the rules of the road because they are allowed in the road. Pedestrians, wheelchairs, etc can go on the sidewalk and be safe from traffic (one hopes).

Though it depends on the state and in my experience there are typically some differences, such as bikes are required to share the lane.

dublinstats··on If you stop hiring juniors, your senior engineers own you
From another perspective, the problem is people entering the workforce without sufficient skills to be valuable to employers anymore. The solution would be to spend more time in training so you can reach senior level when you start. Software has been an anomaly among high-paying professions in the low bar for entry. Maybe that's ending.
dublinstats··on If you stop hiring juniors, your senior engineers own you
I'm not an economist but that implies the market maintains some kind of optimal equilibrium price. The reality probably is very noisy like with everything else. Plus there's asymmetric information on both sides meaning people don't get what they think they do.
dublinstats··on The West forgot how to make things, now it’s forgetting how to code
The number of actual openings is not given.

Also the number who turned their offers down (and perhaps the number they disqualified due to being overqualified and too expensive).

Ultimately kind of a meaningless metric.

dublinstats··on Why has there been so little progress on Alzheimer's disease?
Life extension seems like the kind of thing that can get private funding with relative ease specifically because they aren't trying to compete with the government. There are a lot of private foundations that give out grants too though.
dublinstats··on Trump fires NSF's oversight board
National Science Board. Not the entire NSF.
dublinstats··on Traders placed over $1B in perfectly timed bets on the Iran war
Yes I would have liked to see some more intelligent analysis and statistical justification. This article is just outrage-bait for common consumption.
dublinstats··on College instructor turns to typewriters to curb AI-written work
Obviously they're both supposed to be proxy measures, not realistic scenarios. I was mostly joking before but I do think exams provide a pretty good proxy for ability in the subject if the teacher is decent. Interviews not so much unless the applicant is similarly prepared with foreknowledge of what they will be tested on and had some time to prepare and given recent practice.
dublinstats··on Why Japan has such good railways
Their streets tend to be super narrow, with pedestrians and bicycles sharing the shoulder. And back streets are basically alleys with pedestrians sharing the street with cars. Obviously parked cars there would be a disaster.

Also it tends to cost more via tolls to drive any significant distance than to take the train or bus (or plane for that matter), unless you have multiple people in the car. The car situation in Japan strikes me as more a case of regulatory capture than wise use of land. Because even small towns with vast empty spaces operate this way.

dublinstats··on College instructor turns to typewriters to curb AI-written work
High stakes artificial exams can help prepare you for artificial stakes at job interviews where you need to crank out a working solution in 30 mins with jet lag and someone looking over your shoulder
dublinstats··on College instructor turns to typewriters to curb AI-written work
Take home exams were very common when I was in school, which was before you could get answers on the internet. After internet answer and cheating sites came along, a professor would have to either not care and let cheating run rampant, or struggle to constantly make unique new kinds of take home questions somehow. AI has basically killed that option too.
dublinstats··on The quiet disappearance of the free-range childhood
statistically you'd only need about 0.0002 additional children to counter the risk of accidental deaths prior generations of children experienced.
dublinstats··on NASA Force
Maybe a visiting scholar kind of thing.
dublinstats··on Japan implements language proficiency requirements for certain visa applicants
Or significantly increasing life-expectancy. Or new fertility technologies. A few generations is a long time.

The birth rates of the immigrant waves would presumably just plummet quickly anyway as they join the culture. Since that seems to have happened with all our other health problems.

dublinstats··on Japan implements language proficiency requirements for certain visa applicants
I'm guessing they get a business visa based on claiming revenue from the rentals, then use that to sponsor more people as employees.

As for regulation costs, airbnbs are notorious for not adhering to regulations. Depends on how well Japan is able to police it.