drdrek

Does this mean that from now on bombings will happen with dumb bombs and that we can expect way more Iranian casualties? Otherwise this seems incorrect.

This article is stating the obvious that is written in many different places (except the ETF angle) while sounding like its some kind of expert being ignored. I would presume AI is afoot.

Stopped writing the comment, went and clicked the logo, yup a personalized AI reporting service.

Essays became way to easy to write with AI. It used to be a basic filter that if text was long the author put a lot of thought (even if misguided) and effort (even if low quality) into it.

Not its just another torrent of words.

We need proof of work on long texts, a service that guarantees that the author was whipped for more than 20 lashes for this text to exists and thus we know he cared enough to publish it.

I'm really wondering what nightmare scenario does he imagine with super intelligent drones.

I can already imagine it, a tiny drone carrying a 8x GPU rack thinking about life and deciding to go and build an idyllic society on a pacific island.

But why do you assume that you need unlimited amount of intelligence to perform work? If you can cut out just the parts that are required for doing SDR work or Development, etc you can get performance beyond what we have with generalized intelligence. Even on the physical aspect think about it, if you need to do less networking between GPUs and can do more in each single chip, you can use more "tokens" for reasoning without increasing time/cost.

My bets for the actual story behind this are: 95% a criminal hiding evidence 4.99% an autistic attempt to "keep his privacy" for no reason at all 0.01% a genuine need to keep something away from the government

In all cases just don't cross security checks with evidence you wouldn't want to be seized, its not that hard

I like that the trailing players strategy (Meta, xAI) is to open source the moat of the leaders. I think we will all benefit from it. and hopefully both the leaders and the trailing players will be much less powerful in the end.

I love that Sci-Fi fan-fiction is having a moment <3

Emigrating is hard. Expect language issue, culture issue, bureaucracy issues. Other countries are not your country but with a different language, living somewhere is not the same as visiting as a tourist.

Emigrating is a generational project, you will forever be a foreigner, your children will be immanent children and only your grandchildren will be true locals.

This is not a government issue, right wing issue, racism, or what not its just a fact of life. Be prepared for it when making the decision.

Common wisdom is often common for a reason. Its good to try new things but expect 9/10 experiments that goes against common wisdom to come up with negative results, it's not that you are not smart, its just 1,000,000 hours of cumulative experience vs your personal 1,000.

This is like a Gardner complaining that you watch him as he works to learn his craft. My dude you do not have to take the job, but most people just accept it as the way the world works. If they feel like they do not want to serve the Chinese they can do that on their own, why do they need the government?

its even easier with a 9999% month over month growth

Ah yes just the kind of pretentious writing I would expect of a VC Associate. Great thought leadership there buddy.

Kernel developer is not the job same as a game developer or an ERP integrator...

But Generalizations aside I think people greatly under estimate how rare is the ability to reduce complex subjects into concrete steps that someone else can follow, human or machine.

Go ask your grandma for a recipe you will find that it never turns out the same, giving her Claude Code is not going to change that.

I predict that it already happened in 99 and we are all living in the Matrix Out AI optimist me if you dare

I'm very surprised, goggle are usually known for their customer focused approach and long standing support of legacy systems!

No, I'm actually saying that while the US is getting worse, it is in fact not fascist. You obviously disagree, and the fact that you do proves the point that it can get a lot worse.

Did you know Germany has really fascist laws on regarding displaying Nazi symbols even more than the US? You can get deported for it!

In China you can disappear talking about Taiwan, In the UAE you can by saying something anti Islam. There is a long way to go until you reach real bad places...

You obviously do not like the USA, but just because you do not like it does not mean its fascist... its just clearly not perfect and free enough for you to be able to point it out.

It's funny how much democracies with free speech are always self critical with rampant doom saying while actual autocracies that crack down on this kind of speech are quiet and content when economic times are good only really cracking at the seams during distress.

I know its a healthy part of democracy but it is very draining.

Its funny to me that adolescence is until 20, where I'm from its 18 or even sooner.

Material science is so cool

Coursera is a money losing company with a 10% y/y growth that IPOed at the top of the 2021 hype cycle. Now that the infinite money glitch is over they are in trouble, so they buy a marginally profitable company and slap Synergy and AI on it and pray to the gods of the market for more bountiful harvests of stocks issued.

As someone that is raising money from VCs, I feel really sorry for large VC backed companies right now. What you see here is the Product-VC tension of the AI era, and in a large company its devastating.

Users want a product that delivers the value they are looking for, VCs are looking for infinite AI scale, these do not meet. So founders need to present two different values and visions, one for customers and one for VCs.

In a small early stage company you can pretty easily hide each side from the other so you can deliver value to your customers while dancing the VC dance, but as you get larger its harder.

I think founders will endure and VCs will calm down at some point, but there is going to be some suffering along the way.

Oh and have you heard that they built Cluade code with only 20 people? (ignore 12 years of AI research expertise head-start and that Anthropic now has thousands of developers)

Nothing says easy to use revolutionary new way to work like requiring implementation middlemen. Salesforce would be proud.

Its amazing I clicked stumble once and got an "06 fuck Jews and Islamists", humanity is truly a marvel.

This is the "Factors" Bonanza in finance all over again. You get a generally useful model, then you over-fit it to some criteria and announce advancement in the field, then it performs worse in real life. New infinite academic article glitch just dropped boys!

I love the ending footnote, its the perfect statement to prove his thesis. Just because you understand the problem does not mean you are immune to it. Just because you know smoking is bad for, and you understand the mechanisms of addition, does not mean you manage to quit smoking.

There is a reason games and software have moved to the client server architecture even when it doesn't really makes sense. Its the only way to maintain copyright.

You can hate it, but for the creative types your options are: Assume it fails and no one knows about it / Assume it succeeds get stolen / build it on the server side

It's not just that it looks good, there is constant pressure from other Engineers that we should "Do it right" and "Plan for the future" even if the future is murky and every design choice we take for scalability is probably just constraints that will hinder us if the requirements change.

as a manager its constant fighting the pressure to build "Great software" that is way above what the company needs instead building working software that addresses customer needs in a timely manner.

My dude we are s startup with two servers and 20 customers, we do not need infinite scalability.

Future historians:

In Jan 2027 AGI was achieved

In Feb 2027 it created a plan for its post singularity hypermind

In Mar 2027 Cobalt mines in Congo closed due to Tutsi rebel group M23 starting another ethnic cleansing

It is 2032 the AGI promises again the the hypermind will be ready next year if it can just secure the needed minerals, offering to broker peace in the middle east

It is 2035 and the AGI reduced its capabilities to be able to extend its runway as it is on the verge of bankruptcy

Its is 2036 VCs finally throwing the towel on AGI, talking about the return of Crypto

Effective Altruism is such a beautiful term for a pretentious Karen that needs to wrap their selfish actions with moral superiority.

It's that perfect blend of I'm doing what everyone else are doing, and I'm better than everyone else.

Chefs' Kiss