80 karma · joined March 1, 2019
The other point that has been mentioned to me is when you in the self heating regime, there are exponential returns on increasing "quality" of a shot.
See below for previous yields of NIF shots. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Ignition_Facility#/me...
NIF previously tied to use the hot spot energy instead of target energy in 2013, which they were criticized for, and rightfully so. But this definition of Q is analogous to the definition of Q used by MCF.
The first time they achieved ignition was in August of 2021. See paper below:
https://journals.aps.org/prl/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevLett.12...
I am inclined to believe a publication unless other plasma physicist come out with a contradictory information.
It's easy to be cynic...
This is ignition but ignition was achieved by their August 2021 shot. See this paper for the details: https://journals.aps.org/prl/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevLett.12...
The reason why it's a big deal is because they surpassed scientific breakeven.
It's probably not feasible to pump to such low pressures in wind turbines, so they probably don't even try. But for NIF, it's common.
Maybe we are just arguing about semantics and what constitutes a breakthrough but in my mind, the hardest challenge of fusion has been getting scientific gain over 1. There are still OTHER hard problem like continuous operation, capturing energy, but ultimately, getting scientific gain over 1 is/was the most challenging. You can say it isn't but the fact is, none of the MCF concepts have achieved a scientific gain over ~.64 and have not improved since the 1990s (JET). Look, if the 7-X or ITER or JET achieves a similar scientific gain, they will get similarly applauded.
I'm not saying that fusion will become a economically viable power source now. It is just that NIF de-risked the hardest challenge of fusion from a pure physics standpoint: more energy out than in.
Also, he says he came from a small town so I don't think it is fair to characterize him as a coastal elite.
I guess on the down side that is A LOT of clicking. It is similar to how when playing a better team in basketball, you want to slow down the pace of the game to limit possessions.