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doctorpangloss

2,441 karma · joined May 15, 2023

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doctorpangloss··on Transit rewards
Would it make sense for cities to wait around, and buy huge fleets of autonomous vehicles? Probably.
doctorpangloss··on Claude Opus 5.5 Intelligence, Performance and Price Analysis (Max)
ArtificialAnalysis tweaks stuff until newest big proprietary model is on top, not you haha
doctorpangloss··on I asked Meta’s Muse for its filesystem and it sent me 6.8GB
after coding, most openrouter requests are for inauthentic activity

and even in coding, people are programming inauthentic stuff

doctorpangloss··on Jev – A curation of Jev demos on X, tools, skills, and integrations
[flagged]
doctorpangloss··on Qwen-Image-2.1: Compact, efficient, and unified image creation
Ideogram 4 has been around for a while haha
doctorpangloss··on There's no point at which turning your brain off will work
There are a lot of programmers who are working with chatbots and watching YouTube simultaneously for the first time, simply matching the rest of the economy for the nature of work.

If you can do your job while watching TV your brain is turned off.

doctorpangloss··on Second Circuit allows government to search electronic devices at the border
"Hey Mr. Border Guard, this is a burner phone, have at it!"

"Okay can you login to your email for me? If not I'm going to have to keep you here until you do."

doctorpangloss··on AI is an elite crime spree
The DoJ struggles mightily to get people to care. Long before any tech company mattered.

Congress has had almost a century to tackle the issue.

IMO the stuff the DoJ says matters wrt antitrust, like low prices for consumers, which isn't and has never been in the law and which Congress had plenty of time to enshrine in the law, is better solved by globalization, which is a consensus, mainstream POV. There is a lot of Congressional action on globalization!

doctorpangloss··on AI is an elite crime spree
> Let’s get into specifics. By far the most important and successful action the FTC took was in 2021, when the commission blocked the merger between AI chipmaker Nvidia and Arm. That set the stage for the growth of both companies, who could focus on their lines of business instead of a cumbersome set of turf wars that accompany mergers. Today, for better or worse, Nvidia is the biggest company in the world by market capitalization, the engine of the AI revolution.

The FTC has nothing to do with NVIDIA's market capitalization.

Literally nobody cares about antitrust except antitrust lawyers. Why? Not because of some conspiracy. There might be a lot of laws on the books, but antitrust is not one of them. The antitrust act is one paragraph long. It is one of the most toxic examples of insufficiency from Congress. So everything in this article about, this is illegal, that is illegal, whatever... it's a matter of opinion. Sherman Antitrust Act is one paragraph long!

doctorpangloss··on Why I didn’t sign the Fields medallists’ letter
This is meant to be a funny, stylized comment. If you can't bother to read to the end, just ask a chatbot to explain it to you.

Most people do not use any math after school in their lives. All of their real problems are political. Kids spend significant time in school being told that math teaches them "problem solving" and then leave school and discover, since math solves no political problems, math doesn't solve problems at all. In other places around the world, where by many measures people are much more numerate than Americans, people are actually poorer and live under more authoritarian governments. In industry, math has been reduced to a shibboleth for a neurodivergent lack of ethics, which is why mathematics PhDs go into banking, and never politics - and we imagine politicians and lawyers to lack ethics, which is pure projection, nearly all of our best presidents and congressmen were lawyers. Even the academic environment that supports mathematicians and the STEM community generally - all of that concentrated neurodivergence and lack of people skills has led to less political power, which means less funding and less new students, which has been much more threatening to mathematics than automated proofs.

I love math, but my honest POV is, the value of theoretical math cannot get much lower. The crisis is insurmountable. The community made its deal with the devil (Jim Simons) long ago, it thought it was a STEM discipline like bio and it's really a philanthropic humanities discipline like opera. Math is having its opera moment. Someone would have to step up as the rich person who saves math, and unfortunately, all the best candidates are right now destroying it with chatbots.

doctorpangloss··on Most people prefer traditional architecture
we only care about facades because architecture, in California, where I live, is co-opted by NIMBYs.

when it's a twee victorian, they say it's part of the unique appearance of the neighborhood. when it's a hideous laundromat, they say it's historical. they don't actually care about any of it. normal people and their preferences for "traditional architecture" (whatever that means? i guess, "old") are just collateral damage.

doctorpangloss··on Mistral X Mozilla: Private, Multilingual AI Browsing
Every ounce of RAM and spare cycle should be used.
doctorpangloss··on Apple Reference Image: A New Approach for Verified Photography
> People will "verify" the picture by looking at the repost of a screenshot of the verification UI, not by verifying the original themselves.

True.

> raises the bar but could be bypassed with enough effort.

Anyone can spoof this.

Apple cannot stop spam iMessages. They can't stop someone from rendering their privileged UI inside a browser viewport. People copy and paste remote script executions from convincing captchas.

This whole provenance thing is a red herring. You agree with me, but there's truly not a single application for this that won't be exploited.

doctorpangloss··on Building a Linux GPU Driver for the M4 Mac Mini in One Month
i install proprietary modules for nvidia all the time, i'm not going to care if i have to do it for something else that i own
doctorpangloss··on Cloudflare AKE cuts origin HelloRetryRequests from 52% to 3.7%
nothing stops you from simulating load. something that scales, by definition, it will have something in the small that is more or less identical to something in the large. it goes both ways.

the obstacle was always the parade of tedious obstacles to create (in this case) a sophisticated virtual harness to simulate (in this case) whatever the hell this article is about. so yeah, actually, the capability of retail coding plans are kind of the only thing that matters...

doctorpangloss··on Cloudflare AKE cuts origin HelloRetryRequests from 52% to 3.7%
Brother, if you think Cloudflare isn't vibe coding features...
doctorpangloss··on Texas judge rules TikTok misled users on child safety feature
yes, if you buy into the 200% opposite philosophy as mine, then the words you are saying make it sound like i am wrong and you are right haha. i guess my point is: it doesn't really matter if they institute limits on gaming for children. the fact that kids want to play games all day - the fact that they need to create limits is a SYMPTOM of the problem. are you getting it now?
doctorpangloss··on Texas judge rules TikTok misled users on child safety feature
> You need to talk to your cousin. No one else is going to.

This is absolutely true.

> being educated / intelligent means you have likely picked up some neuroscience knowledge and it has stuck for you over the years.

People in Russia and China have almost 30 percentage points more tertiary education levels than Americans do. Nonetheless social media is even more pervasive and popular in China than anywhere else in the world. Like with the panic about video game fixation, harmful time wasters are almost certainly an effect, not a cause, of something else.

doctorpangloss··on Fable 5.1 Solves the Cyphral Distich, a 370-year-old cipher
Nobody wants to work for an AI, and nobody would elect one, and there is no math answer to how to choose who is forced to reduce growth (ie emissions), so really, "kumbaya" politics are the ONLY solution.
doctorpangloss··on Don't be the out of touch Kung Fu master
> For example, there is a 100% test coverage requirement in both server and client, combined with AI-driven review rules that say all tests must be non-vacuous,

look, your application works, right? so it doesn't really matter what you or i think, and this is why AI matters. but this, your "100% test coverage" - that is pure slop. just 20 years ago, all the most popular software shipped with NO tests. are you getting it?

doctorpangloss··on Real-SWE: Benchmarking AI models on private, real-world, enterprise codebases
the requests went into a pipeline that turns them into de-identified, but salient, training data, yeah. everywhere except maybe bedrock.
doctorpangloss··on I spent $220 on Google app ads and 60% of the installs were robots
It's complicated.

SMBs can find an audience that would otherwise be impossible to reach. The thing that is advertised is so diverse it's hard to generalize, however the main thing I've noticed is SMBs live and die by the quality of their ad creatives.

For big businesses which make up the other 50% of Meta ads revenue: They are very effective in circumstances where your main offering is operational and the long term value of a customer is very large. For example it would be a very good place to advertise health insurance and TV subscriptions (which is a significant amount of the big business spend). Here I am more certain. If you didn't invent your product, and it is a beneficiary of the zeitgeist promoted by social media itself (beauty-focused, soft core brain rot), and your thing is basically fungible, you will thrive.

doctorpangloss··on Apple Watch Series 12
I don't know. Apple marketing has been really effective at this health thing. Whereas, studies of continuous monitoring of eg heart with even better sensors and higher risk populations have shown conclusively no improvement in health outcomes.
doctorpangloss··on On the Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize Problem
> If they opted out of training, then we definitely did not train on them.

are opted-out-of-training chats ever paraphrased, and thus "de-identified" (in openai's own words)? what this means is, it would be hard to prove that a "synthetic" (but actually paraphrased) training instance came from a particular chat. except if the chat was about some esoteric math proof, of course.

doctorpangloss··on Navier-Stokes – Tristan Buckmaster [pdf]
> It would be extraordinarily easy to simply say, this model was not trained on your work, if that were the case.

well, it is trained on their work. all user inputs are paraphrased for training. at openai, at anthropic, at google, and now with all the bedrock models, and at openrouter providers, even if they say zero data retention.

doctorpangloss··on Navier-Stokes – Tristan Buckmaster [pdf]
> While unlikely, we cannot rule out that de-identified data derived from their usage of our products helped improve our models

it just means that they've been working with paraphrased user data everywhere, which any smart person can figure out is how anthropic and openai train on so called non-retained data.

doctorpangloss··on Ask HN: Why don't we bring back old school OkCupid?
the reality is that those stats were flawed in numerous ways. this is expected, they were never subject to peer review.

for example: ok cupid and tinder, during the times that christian rudder was blogging about them, never reported on the actual ratio of active male to active female users. this made it impossible to do any comparisons over time, it's like reporting only numerators in the absence of denominators.

a second example: when tinder's 2018 interracial dating stats were compared to okcupid's 2011 stats, there was no change, despite real preferences having shown that something like 40 percentage points more people were comfortable with non-same-race dating over that decade. rudder kind of failed the obvious interpretation, that the apps and/or data collection were broken, and instead talked about some conspiracy of the surveys being wrong.

i think there was a lot of other stuff broken with it.

doctorpangloss··on SteamdDB Joins Nexus Mods
they basically map out the paying audience for your game on Steam
doctorpangloss··on SteamdDB Joins Nexus Mods
The most valuable data is the per user purchase histories from before the time those were hidden by default.
doctorpangloss··on SteamdDB Joins Nexus Mods
i don't know. the whole operation was kind of obnoxious. valve could provide all this information for free in an afternoon, but chooses not to. of course, by information, i mean: historical, per-user purchasing histories, which are 1,000,000% the most valuable piece of data. but since the guy who ran steamdb doesn't make games, he didn't comprehend what it was that was valuable, and instead, focused on CSGO "leaks."
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