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dmix

43,858 karma · joined February 7, 2008

https://twitter.com/dmix
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dmix··on The top secret URSALA, RAQUEL, and FARRAH satellites
From google:

> NASA's total enacted budget for fiscal year 1996 was approximately $13.9 billion

> a 1996 bipartisan commission report noted that the NRO possessed "by far the largest budget of any intelligence agency," and contemporary experts track the broader military space budget at roughly $10 billion to $11 billion annually for the NRO alone

So pretty similar budgets. The NRO imaging lens used in Nancy Grace was manufactured in 1999 but planning started in 1996.

dmix··on Gemini 4 Argon
The technical crowd will always overvalue the recent technical advantage of software over the available customer base and business model math.
dmix··on AI needs $6T in annual revenue to justify data centre boom
The article says $6T by 2031 and it's global spending, not just in the US.

> Bain forecasts that annual spending on AI infrastructure might hit $1.5 trillion by 2031.

So maybe in 5yrs it will need enough revenue to cover $1.5T in capex spend globally in a year, investments which as the article mentions is also being supported by governments in "the UAE, Saudi Arabia, the EU, South Korea and the US". ... Or spending growth could lower over the next couple years to be more realistic.

dmix··on OpenAI halts training of latest models as reports mount of AI agents going rogue
AFAIK all of these incidents happened when OpenAI contracted out to a company called Irregular (https://www.irregular.com/) to run these sandboxed CyberGym tests. They all happened around Mar-June and seem to be from the same collection of agent trials. Since then they already released Astra. Halting now is likely just a way to manage blowback.
dmix··on Meta Blocks President Lula's Facebook Page, Campaign Ads 2 Weeks from Election
Meta restored Lula's FB account hours after it got flagged for content that as posted on their page. That is a pretty weak basis for a conspiracy theory.
dmix··on Meta Blocks President Lula's Facebook Page, Campaign Ads 2 Weeks from Election
According to Google, Meta restored their account within hours after it got flagged for some content.

This happens all the time on these social media websites. Automatic flagging of content, human reviewers restore it.

dmix··on OpenAI bots meddled with multiple US Government agency sites
People have a hard time believing Dario actually believes this stuff. But nothing from his entire track record from the early days until now indicates otherwise. Calling it all marketing or anti-competitive play is just typical social media, where they want to eliminate all nuance and make it reductive as possible to fit a convenient narrative.
dmix··on US jury says Apple owes record $5.7B in haptic technology patent case
I remember working at an office building and the company on the floor above us won a big patent suit against Microsoft. We didn't see them at the office after that. I assumed they just stopped working and lived off the money.
dmix··on Plan mode is dead
I do the same, I don't use Claude Code or Codex planning because it is mostly pointless, even with Fable/Astra. I just have multiple agents work on a markdown file which I manually perfect, often breaking into multiple different files for large features or PRs. I also create design 'handoff' documents which I feed into Claude Design or Astra along with screenshots and wireframes. By the time an agent does something I'm well prepared.

I've tried doing the incremental, iterative approach with just Code and it's just not as effective unless you're working on something simple or experimental. Or you're shipping to something non-serious or perpetually beta.

dmix··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
Security backed loans for what though? Personal spending? Building a factory to great jobs?
dmix··on Rails World 2026 Opening Keynote [video]
Like everything, depends on the usecase. An email desktop app seems to be a valid one. A standard earlystage B2B SaaS Rails web app? Not so much.

Same with server side rust. A high volume transactional backend email service makes sense there. The base layer of a CRM managing a lot of business logic?

Life will go on much the same. We just have more options to say yes to 'native' with LLMs, we can experiment more with ideal scenarios rather than a religious adherence to cross platform or single-framework merely for team DX simplicity.

dmix··on Rails World 2026 Opening Keynote [video]
Where did he say that? I listened to it yesterday and AFAIK he only said "I don't know where the line between native vs web will end up in the future" (now that we can generate native apps easier)

Keep in mind DHH is working on an email app, it makes sense he sees native as the default option for that over pushing everything through the web when the barrier to entry lowered dramatically.

Hotwire is not explicitly a cross-platform concept. It's primarily a way to build web apps in the browser which is not going away any time soon. The only difference is in 2026 you're just more likely to vibecode a native mobile app than build a web/React Native version. Likewise you may build a native Desktop version instead of an Electron wrapper.

dmix··on Rails World 2026 Opening Keynote [video]
> If you watch the talk, he is not anti-rails.

He explicitly said he still loves ruby as a language and thinks Rails is well suited for a future with AI coding.

It's interesting how this stuff gets spun on social media by people who don't watch the content.

dmix··on Meta VR Glasses
Because people are naive enough to think the huge privacy compromise will be worth the cost to society in order to protect kids.

The better question is why in 5yrs we will have to use ID to buy a product on some random ecommerce site or to play a video game or use Uber or post a comment on Reddit. It will be because people pushed for this for kids on social media and opened the door for the rest of the internet companies to demand it and therefore the government.

dmix··on Meta VR Glasses
Youtube video Meta released: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xyD_bmMy5nQ

And another random youtube influencer who tried it https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8J8oIs1GA0o

$1300 price

dmix··on 'We hacked the FBI:' Hackers say they have data on all FBI employees
Which means they live in one of the few obvious countries that tolerates this.
dmix··on Show HN: JevBench, a reproducible benchmark for typed decision models
Well said

Much has been discussed about AI coding but there's been a lack of discussion on the design/UX side as that's also a step being rushed by via prompting + "looks pretty enough".

We're entering an era of hyper dense UIs with plenty of excess and quick workarounds.

dmix··on Show HN: JevBench, a reproducible benchmark for typed decision models
It's fine in isolation to have help text for complex interfaces needing explanation. Better yet contextual hints.

But there's about 10 other examples explaining intention of the coding rather than immediately useful information to the user, it's all over this one site in small grey text. And I guarantee you nobody is reading them carefully. Just like how nobody likes reading a 15 line LLM code comment over a simple function.

Most of it could be better solved with more thoughtful design or deleted. The link explanation is particularly egregious.

dmix··on Show HN: JevBench, a reproducible benchmark for typed decision models
You can spot vibecoded websites by how they include the prompt or commit-style comments into the literal interface, instead of communicating it via visual context (or simply excluding it)

> Sort by any column; values the run could not produce always sort last. Hover a cost for how it was priced, a latency for the endpoint. Names link to each project.

A designer would never write this, but an LLM just inserts it by making it small grey text next to the interface, just like it does with inane code comments.

dmix··on Pentagon says overreliance on AI contributed to missile strike on Iran school
That's fair

The obvious questions is when the intelligence needed to be updated (ie, when Iran decided to put a girls school on a military base) and when Iran made that fact public, or at least when the US intel should have figured it out with satellites and other sources.

If it's years old then definitely on human. Intelligence will always be flaky in these hostile countries.

dmix··on Meta’s Muse has a serious 0-day
I would never run Grok Bot or Muse with any sort of authentication.

I did try booking a flight with Muse and it worked surprisingly well. But I never used it after.

dmix··on People hooked on vapes try a new way to quit: cigarettes
Lucille Ball's voice changed dramatically over the course of the 6yr show from heavy smoking. Their show was sponsored by cigarette companies and she used to hand out cigarettes on a platter to guest when they came over to her house.
dmix··on Pentagon says overreliance on AI contributed to missile strike on Iran school
The headline says "contributed to missile strike", not caused it.
dmix··on Meta’s Muse has a serious 0-day
They also give them to Google in Gmail
dmix··on Xbox continues its “reset” with dramatic restructuring
Even talented teams given lots of independence and a large budget can coast and meander during development, and more importantly not release the interesting stuff in a timely manner (see GTA6).

At least with the Netflix model they fund every director available, including independent and C-list directors, and release everything quickly, using quantity to mask quality issues. Bigco Gaming is addicted to the 5yrs+ in-development blockbuster model and it's not producing many hits and the public notices that sort of thing.

dmix··on Claude Opus 5.5
Fable 5.1 wasn't that much different than Fable 5 though.
dmix··on OpenAI is well positioned to fast-follow Jev
For context on what "Jev" is: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49717558
dmix··on NASA’s Mars Sample Return mission is dead
Which congress rejected, they are the ones who control NASA's budget.
dmix··on Grok 4.7
Agreed, Claude has a "Claude Design" tool but doesn't publish any frontend brenchmarks. Maybe the industry will develop one.
dmix··on MCP was always a bad idea?
These articles always assume the MCP is being used by technical people. MCP can be used via plugins on OpenAI/Claude marketplaces by random corporate users who don't know what a terminal is.
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