1,200 karma · joined March 10, 2022
About Chinese oil imports from Middle East: US cannot stop its Middle East “vassals” from selling oil to China. Not sure what point you’re trying to make…
Bayesian inference and all....
AI will not make it easier to build a house, to harvest a corn field, to assemble a car. AI will not improve weather forecasting accuracy- this is already pretty much 99.999% solved. So AI will not improve standards of living.
All this to conclude that China’s standards of living will improve while America’s will stagnate (or worse)
But sure, go ahead and enjoy those AI videos-some of them are even funny.
Putin cannot play the part Wilhelm played in 1914 because Russia has very little power.
Xi Ping cannot play the part Wilhelm played because he is too smart (he is one of the shrewdest and smartest leaders rn). If Xi Ping starts to lose it, then yeah, we may have WW1. Until then this is a very different situation.
Same business model for restaurants (rely on tips which are not part of the price you see on the menu) and budget airlines.
I do not understand what is the big deal with Increment. Is it more efficient because it is written in OCaml rather than C#?
US never closed the border with Pakistani - and the talibans retreated in Paki when under attack and then went back in Afghanistan when things calmed down.
In Afghanistan US won as much as it won in Vietnam.
Pretty much. I think US military was given the order to make Trump look good, and they couldn’t (Trump looks weak now, which he completely hates)
[0] https://www.npr.org/2026/06/26/nx-s1-5871963/un-agency-pause...
In Seattle at least some of the tech work is receding already because of layoffs. Which started to lower housing costs: landlords are starting to give 4 or 6 weeks of free rent.
More of this please.
And just to let you know- Starbucks is not that popular in Seattle. They have been closing stores right and left in Seattle to the point where I only know store that is open. Seattle is not missing them that much.
[edit some typos]
If nothing else, billionaires flight is a positive thing.
I am hoping all the billionaires leave my Washington state as a result of the millionaire tax - it may become a normal state like Oregon.
1. stocks and commercial real estate are allowed to appreciate without taxation (unlike personal residences outside Cali),
2. multinationals wrote for themselves obscure tax rules so they end up paying almost no tax,
3. interest expense for companies and ultra high net worth individuals is subtracted from taxable income (for personal mortgages the interest expense deduction is capped)
4. Rich people organize their assets so estate taxes do not tax their estates when they die and thus their wealth goes to their children.
As you can see wealth is barely taxed.