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defaultprimate

136 karma · joined October 9, 2018

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defaultprimate··on Wormhole confirms all $320M in funds have been restored
From the abstract:

"Drawing selectively on existing cost estimates and augmenting them with new calculations, I conclude that the total direct cost of crisis-related bailouts in the U.S. was on order of $500 billion, or 3.5 percent of GDP in 2009. [...] Those conclusions stand in sharp contrast to popular accounts that claim there was no cost because the money was repaid, and with claims of costs in the multiple trillions of dollars."

From 3.1.3. See Wall's analysis of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac for more detailed discussion of their bailout costs:

"Treasury collected $147 billion from Fannie and $98 billion from Freddie. As explained earlier, interpreting this tally as a cost measure is conceptually flawed for several reasons. Wall (2014) also discusses the shortcomings of this approach, which has been used to argue that the government has been more than fully repaid and that value should be returned to the shareholders."

From the conclusion:

"Nevertheless, the total is large enough to conclude that the bailouts were not a free lunch for policymakers as some have claimed."

What the paper is saying seems pretty clear to me: bailout costs have been inaccurately measured and reported popularly at both ends. It was neither unfathomably expensive, nor profitable to the tax payer.

If you lend me $100 and I pay you back $107 you can declare you profited from the loan if you literally only look at the principal and repayment amount, but finance is not so simple, especially at a national level. Opportunity cost, inflation, depreciation, and numerous other factors exist. The total cost of you lending me $100 could have been significantly more than $107.

defaultprimate··on Israel’s Apartheid Against Palestinians
Do you have any that attempt to be unbiased, or hell, objective, that accuse Israel of being apartheid? I don't even care if they're biased if they're objective. The NGO monitor is point by point, sourced, objective rebuttals. If that's not good enough for you, that's a personal problem with objectivity that you can sort out yourself.

Amnesty International is neither unbiased nor objective. They've long been staunchly anti Israel with no objective basis. It shouldn't be a surprise that it's pro Israel sources providing objectively sourced rebuttals to the report. AI can be anti Israel all they want if their accusations stand up to even the most basic scrutiny or historical fact, but they don't. They're laughably and blatantly manipulative, deceitful, lies by omission, or just plain lies. There's nothing wrong with bias if you utilize verifiable facts in your arguments. Do you dismiss the arguments and points of black BLM supporters because you don't take black unabashedly pro black people seriously?

defaultprimate··on Wormhole confirms all $320M in funds have been restored
This is a commonly repeated trope that is completely false and based on very questionable accounting. Namely the omission of opportunity cost and the comparison of static parameters to temporal parameters.

https://mitsloan.mit.edu/ideas-made-to-matter/heres-how-much...

defaultprimate··on Israel’s Apartheid Against Palestinians
You're right that the border states may not be theoretic ethno states but they are confessionalist states. Palestinian refuges have less political representation and rights on these border states than Israel as well. They're literally barred from naturalization in Syria and Lebanon.

Israel's actions according to AI aren't actions based in the context of reality. That's the problem. The characterization of apartheid is absurd. Nearby nations treat Palestinians as a lesser class of human. Israel doesn't at all. If the driving concern of the report was the well being of Palestinians, there are numerous facts they could have addressed in the region that wouldn't have required manufactured falsehoods, contextual manipulation, or ignoring terrorism.

As time goes on, more and more point by point callouts of the blatant falsehoods proclaimed throughout the report will occur, but the NGO-Monitor one is a great place to start.

https://www.ngo-monitor.org/reports/amnesty-apartheid-analys...

defaultprimate··on Signal users can give a recurring monthly contribution
It's very difficult not to be if you want truly secure messaging.

It seems unlikely that big tech and telecom corporations, whose lifeblood is personal data harvesting, or government, with surveillance states becoming the global norm, are going to agree to adopt a genuinely secure end to end encrypted messaging standard or protocol on the best devices ever to facilitate their practices.

defaultprimate··on Signal users can give a recurring monthly contribution
Requiring a phone number is literally my only complaint about Signal, I used to just use a Google Voice number but then I learned about TextNow and have been migrating away from Google as much as possible

https://www.textnow.com/how-it-works

defaultprimate··on Why the coverage of the trucker protest should worry all Canadians
Exactly, so why'd you make it?
defaultprimate··on Why the coverage of the trucker protest should worry all Canadians
Apply your last paragraph to your own perspective of the protestors. The hypocrisy lol.
defaultprimate··on How to Mislead with Facts
Elaborate
defaultprimate··on Israel’s Apartheid Against Palestinians
You didn't read them very closely or pay attention to quotes by Yasser Arafat and his successor or associates. What do you propose the Jews do? Allow another totalitarian theocratic ethnostate to inhabit the land and disperse among the western civilizations? Can you understand why that may be something to be wary of for them as an ethnic group? Or should they continue to be the only free, secular, democratic melting pot in the middle east? None of the things they're accused of to earn the label "apartheid" are based in fact.
defaultprimate··on How to Mislead with Facts
The entirety of the scientific method's pursuit of truth is built on Popper's philosophy of science and inquiry and has been highly effective at establishing objective truth.

It's kinda funny because you're making conjectures that are explicitly addressed in the book.

defaultprimate··on Cruise is opening driverless cars to the public in San Francisco
Exactly why I specified. Multi-party fatal accidents are rare, but they usually involve drunk driving or gross negligence/recklessness
defaultprimate··on Cruise is opening driverless cars to the public in San Francisco
Virtually all auto accidents in which a third-party fatality occurs result in criminal liability.

It's extremely rare for a third-party fatality in an auto accident to be caused by something other than criminal negligence or intent.

defaultprimate··on Cruise is opening driverless cars to the public in San Francisco
Anyone want to take bets on how long this lasts?
defaultprimate··on Israel’s Apartheid Against Palestinians
Context and consensus is that "elimination of Israel" was obviously not purely as a political entity. Leaders of the PLO have plainly called for the elimination of the Jews, as previous source and following outlines.

I'm no fan of ethnic theocracies either, and it turns out Israel is the only nation that isn't one in the middle east.

http://internationalwallofprayer.org/A-077-The-Infamous-PLO-...

defaultprimate··on Israel’s Apartheid Against Palestinians
The original PLO charter called for the explicit and complete destruction of Israel.

Objective rebuttal to today's report follows

https://www.jns.org/opinion/the-amnesty-report-on-israel-aff...

defaultprimate··on How to Mislead with Facts
You should read Karl Popper's Conjectures and Refutations.

You can be open to new evidence defining what objective truth is without dismissing the existence of objective truth due to unknown unknowns.

defaultprimate··on Israel’s Apartheid Against Palestinians
Israel is nowhere close to an apartheid state

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29556722

Ask yourself how many Jews live in and could safely become sociopolitically engaged in surrounding Arab nations. It's mind blowing to me that Israel is targeted with this kind of rhetoric without relative comparison to surrounding nations. It's mentioned only in passing in the article as if it's no big deal, when it's critically important to the geopolitical examination of the region.

Not to mention the PLA and Hamas literally want to genocide the Jews and have repeatedly rejected more than fair solutions.

defaultprimate··on The new hire who showed up is not the same person we interviewed
This is why I require on camera, screen shared, live coding sessions or discussion as part of my technical interview process for remote developers. If they're junior, the problems are not hard, literally foundational CS things.

If it's for a more advanced role, I give them a coding challenge after a non-technical, on camera interview. Then if it's worthy of a technical follow up interview, they must build, execute, and walk me through the code live on camera. I also ask them to make slight alterations or extensions live.

This may sound like a lot but the total time invested by a candidate, including the interviews themselves, should be no more than 4 hours. The challenges are experience and role appropriate and I'm not asking them to build an MVP or anything close. They're also allowed to search and use resources in the live interviews, as they would on the job. I'm not interested in testing your memory-recall abilities, I'm interested in seeing how you approach problem solving using CS.

Lastly, record all your interviews.

defaultprimate··on ‘In the End, You’re Treated Like a Spy,’ Says MIT Scientist
>Well, if you say so. I just think it's an absurd and offensive comparison to draw

It's absurd and offensive that you don't recognize the ongoing atrocities of the CCP and the pure evil behind their political ideology and ambitions.

> hasn't waged any wars in decades

There are different types of warfare besides physical combat. They regularly wage war on the world through IP theft, espionage, cyber, etc. They also wage war against their own people who dare speak out, have practically enslaved the majority of the population, and violently suppress dissent of any kind.

> isn't carrying out any mass killing and doesn't espouse racist ideology

Uyghurs would disagree, and the CCP is an ethnocentric political entity. China is a de facto ethnostate. Official commentary on their ventures in Africa would disagree as well. China regularly espouses racism against other east asian ethnicities as well.

You are maliciously ignorant.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Racism_in_China

defaultprimate··on ‘In the End, You’re Treated Like a Spy,’ Says MIT Scientist
Also I found the motions regarding the emails. You're lying that the government truncated was dishonest as the response to motion makes clear, and the fact that the motions were denied.

The entire email and follow up are available. If you're going to lie, you should do it about less easy to verify things.

The fact that you don't think China is even close to Nazi Germany tells everyone everything they need to know. The urban Germans loved the Nazis too.

https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/30386048/united-states-...

defaultprimate··on ‘In the End, You’re Treated Like a Spy,’ Says MIT Scientist
>China is not, in any way, even remotely like Nazi Germany.

Yes it absolutely is. I checked your comment history. I'm not interested in endless discussions with propagandists that have zero objective views regarding China.

Weird how my colleagues that immigrated from rural China state that it's exactly like you say it isn't.

defaultprimate··on ‘In the End, You’re Treated Like a Spy,’ Says MIT Scientist
>You don't know what you're talking about here

I do, it's my career.

>It came out during the pre-trial motions. The government did not dispute the fact that Prof. Chen was paraphrasing someone else, because that was plainly the case.

Please provide evidence.

>irrational hatred

There's nothing irrational about valuing the sanctity of human life and liberty, and holding disdain for a totalitarian, genocidal, evil government that enslaves and manipulates its people for nefarious purposes. Again, you would never question opposition to sharing research with Nazis in the 30s.

Every company with more than 50 employees must be boarded by a CCP official. Every research endeavor is required to report directly to the CCP. If you genuinely don't understand how dangerous international collaboration is, then you're beyond naive.

defaultprimate··on ‘In the End, You’re Treated Like a Spy,’ Says MIT Scientist
>open scientific exchange between American and Chinese scientists

There is no such thing. The disparity in open, original research output of US vs China is massive, and virtually all research done "in collaboration" with Chinese scientists is for malicious purposes of the CCP.

I 100% have no problem plainly stating that US (or any really) researchers should not collaborate with Chinese researchers that have familial, geographic, financial, or political ties to mainland China. The CCP's tactics for espionage and IP theft are too pervasive and far reaching to risk it. Chinese researchers should not be allowed to participate in scientific research in foreign host countries if they intend to ever return to mainland China for any reason.

People have no problem conceptualizing why it would have been a bad idea to have Nazi scientists, even before WWII broke out, collaborating on military endeavors elsewhere, but it's all of the sudden some insane logical and ethical leap to state the same thing about a nation whose government is just as evil.

There are plenty of good natured and good intentioned Chinese scientists with genuine desires to pursue scientific inquiry for science's sake in positions where their family is held in China with a gun to their head, forcing the scientist abroad to make dubious ethical decisions any one of us would make for the sake of our family. It sucks, but it's reality. The extent the CCP will go to in order to lie, cheat, steal, genocide, and con their way to the top is limitless. They have no problem threatening and harming their own citizens.

>First of all, anyone can express themselves however they want, and even if we believe what the FBI wrote in the complaint, there's no evidence of espionage or other wrongdoing here.

No, you literally can't when working with DoD or DARPA funding. We'll see regarding wrongdoing different from violating mandatory disclosure laws.

>Second of all, it came out that the FBI had truncated and fundamentally misrepresented this email. This email contains Prof. Chen's notes on a talk he saw by a Chinese scientist. The "we" and "our" in the email are part of Prof. Chen's paraphrase of what the Chinese scientist said.

Did you just make this up? I'd love to see the complete logs if they're available.

>Qian Xuesen

It is highly likely this was his plan all along. He explicitly stated in a deposition his allegiance was to communist China and that he would not alter this based on pressure from the US if armed conflict broke out between the two nations. He also repeatedly stated in various ways to various people that his loyalties were to his homeland.

defaultprimate··on Ayn Rand reviews children’s movies (2014)
Mate there's CBO, BLS, Journal of Economic Research, IMF, and several academic study citations in the video, post, blog, and all over the internet.

It's a myth that the poor get poorer. Market economies are not zero sum. Whether or not you want to explore that seriously or just participate in an exercise of confirmation bias is, again, not my problem.

All you've provided are ad hominems against sources that directly counter your initial contentions without sincerely examining the information or data contained within. I'm not interested in hearing your regurgitated, scripted nonsense on this topic that every ignorant believer in this myth spews out. I've participated in this conversation too many times to be surprised by how it goes or the points made. Nothing you've stated is new, unaccounted for, or unexplainable if you'd spend 5 minutes challenging your world view. It's not my job to provide sources only you approve of.

defaultprimate··on ‘In the End, You’re Treated Like a Spy,’ Says MIT Scientist
Not being guilty of breaking specific mandatory disclosure laws doesn't mean he didn't break the law or participate in grossly inappropriate and dangerous behavior, especially given the sources and nature of his federally funded research.

As I've said, time will tell whether or not there is sufficient evidence to file criminal charges on the basis of actual espionage, but just looking at his communications is enough to illustrate he should not be trusted with federal funding or research in the primary domains in which he works.

defaultprimate··on Roosevelt Statue Removed from Natural-History Museum for Glorifying Colonialism
Your hyper focused whataboutism on European cannibalism and refusal to acknowledge the myriad examples and counters regarding human sacrifice, war, technology enabled conquest, cultural norms across the globe, cannibalism, and particularly that Western societies didn't do anything everybody else wasn't already attempting, they just did it better and had more progressive cultures while doing so, doesn't do your argument any favors mate. My points stand on firm foundations in context.

Luckily, debate is for the observer, not bad faith historical revisionists with anti Western indoctrination.

defaultprimate··on ‘In the End, You’re Treated Like a Spy,’ Says MIT Scientist
>It’s clear Dr. Chen does not consider China to be an adversarial government

Then he shouldn't be doing research funded by DoD and DARPA, and certainly shouldn't be sharing it with the CCP. You've literally made my point for me.

>Dr Chen’s work is classified or military

DoD and DARPA research are military in nature by definition. Most DoE research, along with the former two, are ITAR restricted as well.

>If I study forestry and collaborate with the Canadian government, am I betraying the United States by helping a competing economic power get ahead in forestry?

Massive false equivalence between China and Canada. China is not merely a "competing economic power". It is not up to Chen to decide who is an approved cooperative partner based on his personal feelings.

>Not everyone agrees with this.

You can disagree with an objective fact all you want, it doesn't make it any less of an objective fact. The CCP is evil and malicious.

defaultprimate··on ‘In the End, You’re Treated Like a Spy,’ Says MIT Scientist
>Charges can only exist on the basis of legal technicality. That’s how law works.

Don't be coy, you know exactly what I mean. If you get away with, for example, sexual crimes like Cosby due to legal technicalities, it doesn't mean you aren't guilty or weren't malicious.

The NYT piece tries to pretend that Chen was not doing anything at all worth scrutinizing. He clearly was, just in a way different than the initial charges cover - mandatory disclosure.

>What you are describing is guilt by association with China

No, what I'm describing is secretive collaboration with an adversarial government on research funded by the US federal government for the express purpose of advancing the interests of that adversarial government, which is exactly what happened. Read the quotes from his communications in the criminal complaint.

Like I said, time will tell if further charges are brought.

defaultprimate··on ‘In the End, You’re Treated Like a Spy,’ Says MIT Scientist
It is stated in the piece, but not emphasized enough: the charges were dropped on the basis of legal technicality regarding mandatory disclosure, not because he wasn't actually hiding associations with known state or state-affiliated actors in mainland China. He was. Expect mandatory disclosure laws to change as a result of this case. Based on his PRC affiliations supported by mountains of evidence in the criminal complaint, I will also not be surprised if espionage specific charges are filed in the future.

A naturalized US citizen doing research with federal funding, especially from DoD and DARPA, has no business participating in conversations with PRC officials while using "we" and "our" to refer to China and its ambitions in the technology sectors for which they have received federal funding.

The complete obfuscation of the facts by NYT is farcical.

https://www.wwlp.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/26/2021/01/Che...

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