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dbasedweeb

776 karma · joined March 29, 2018

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dbasedweeb··on Tesla Executive Leaves for Waymo
I can’t believe it, but I guess “correlation doesn’t imply causation” needs to be said on a site that is nominally for hackers.
dbasedweeb··on German online bank uses Bitcoins to transfer loans
And then the Gell-Mann Amnesia kicks in!

“Briefly stated, the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect is as follows. You open the newspaper to an article on some subject you know well. In Murray's case, physics. In mine, show business. You read the article and see the journalist has absolutely no understanding of either the facts or the issues. Often, the article is so wrong it actually presents the story backward—reversing cause and effect. I call these the "wet streets cause rain" stories. Paper's full of them. In any case, you read with exasperation or amusement the multiple errors in a story, and then turn the page to national or international affairs, and read as if the rest of the newspaper was somehow more accurate about Palestine than the baloney you just read. You turn the page, and forget what you know.”

https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/65213-briefly-stated-the-ge...

dbasedweeb··on Why the Luddites Matter
Yes... I’m sure they can. It’s primarily a choice. And let’s not pretend that we’re talking about the underprivileged. Coal miners often make more than college graduates.

Working harder too, and in a single very specialized field. So you take that away, what skills do they have? What choices are they free to make?

Often those fighting the hardest are doing so because they have a sweet deal.

The sweet deal of working deep underground on a coal face, in dirty, dangerous conditions? Uh huh. Besides you’re proving their point, when people out there just shrug and say “fuck ‘em, not my problem,” who wouldn’t fight? They don’t owe you anything either.

Not to mention that your “average salary” bit is deceptive. The average salary for a coal miner is around $65,000, while the average salary for a recent college grad with a bachelor’s is $50,000. Obviously that includes everything from engineering to expressive dance, and there is no definite ceiling. A coal miner is stuck on the low end, period, and painting them as privelaged... on HN... is pathetic.

dbasedweeb··on Mozilla Fights for Net Neutrality This May (and Always)
Counterpoints: Tobacco. Cocaine. Morphine. Heroin. Laudanum. Alcohol. Car seatbelts. Leaded gasoline, paint, and glassware. Mercury (in hats, as a toy). Radon (in water), X-rays (for shoe fitting!), and Uranium (dentures).
dbasedweeb··on Tesla Executive Leaves for Waymo
Pretty much every time I’ve tried to say anything negative about Musk someone comes along and tries to sell me a line about him not caring about money. Then I ask why he keeps demanding so much of it, and they claim he wants to live on Mars. Cult indeed.

There’s faith that big rockets somehow are the missing link to living on Mars. Otherwise reasonable people hang up their skepticism in favor of ignoring the evidence that Musk craves money and power, in favor of believing that he has a master plan to save the world. It’s infuriating, and ironically in a few years they’ll be the first screaming bloody murder when he fails to live up to their impossible dreams. Of course by then he’ll have enough money that he won’t need to care, and rockets working LEO rather than Mars.

I guess it’s easier praying that a billionaire has a vision to save us from ourselves without us having to make any sacrifices, than it is to do the hard work of saving ourselves.

dbasedweeb··on Why the Luddites Matter
Can the average coal miner realistically move on with the times, or are you just asking them to die in penury? Maybe when we phase out a whole way of life for the greater good, we need to take care of the people left behind. If not, then of course they’ll fight tooth and nail, and we deserve it for expecting them to just bed over and take it for everyone’s benefit, but their’s.
dbasedweeb··on Genetics and Eugenics in Frank Herbert's DUNE
I enjoy Dune a lot, but what you describe is absolutely the basis for any science in the story. It’s less science fiction and more high fantasy.
dbasedweeb··on Genetics and Eugenics in Frank Herbert's DUNE
Of course with the spice and mentats, they could probably use some limited form of prescience to explore possible avenues the future was likely to take. It is a universe in which magic, by another name, works.
dbasedweeb··on Emails Show FDA Chemists Have Been Finding Glyphosate in Food
That isn’t so much an argument as a false dichotomy, predicated on a system of agriculture which allows a near 50% rate of wasteage in the West. The alternatives include less productive, yet still sufficiently productive methods which do not include carcinogenic compounds.

Edit: Your state of being persuaded is immaterial, because what I said isn’t really controversial. One known alternative to herbacides is tilling, hardly a radical new invention and notably not carcinogenic. As I said up front, it would take more effort to produce crops, but simply by reducing waste you can more than make up for that. The use of ground cover, litter, and other established techniques all allow for large scale farming without herbacides.

There are other alternatives, and adjunct techniques as well, for example:

http://plen.ku.dk/english/news/2015/crops/

Stop wasting so much food because it isn’t pretty enough, and you can stop truffing carcinogens. That seems fair.

dbasedweeb··on Emails Show FDA Chemists Have Been Finding Glyphosate in Food
None of those are what an honest/sane individual would call borderline either, so why bring them up?
dbasedweeb··on Emails Show FDA Chemists Have Been Finding Glyphosate in Food
My concern is best summed up by this comment from above:

Every time the jury is out on a topic where one side has a vested interest and a billion dollar budget to protect it, you can be reasonably sure what the outcome will be. See: pesticides and bees, fossil fuels and climate change, food packaging plastics and cancer, pain treatment meds and addiction. The answer in all those cases is the harmful effects eventually became known, but the jury was out long enough for the vested interests to make a ton of profit and cause a ton of damage which they'll never pay for repairing. All made possible with a series of comparatively small investments to buy scientific research to keep the jury out.

Even in non-borderline cases like tobacco, lots of money and power can really confuse the issue. This is definitely not as clear cut as tobacco, and I’d like the option to opt out of the lengthy, massive “trial period” in which the public gets to play guinea pig. The problem with this is that it’s very difficult to do that when the compound in question is unexpectedly ubiquitous.

dbasedweeb··on The Brotherhood of the Ad Blockers
Do you not believe that content creators have the right to set the terms upon which their content may be consumed?

Sure, if they’re on a private network. If you’re broadcasting though, hell no. It would be like a tv network demanding that you don’t use a DVR because it lets you skip ads. If you want the benefits of broadcasting to the open web, you’ve already tacitly agreed to let people consume that the way they see fit. You don’t get to set the volume of their audio, or anything else, including what gets displayed.

dbasedweeb··on Apple will reportedly launch a credit card with Goldman Sachs
No, at a certain scale they’re more alike than not. GS is notably heinous because of their absurd scale, they’re not unique in terms of approach and ethics. At the scale Apple needs, all of the “good guys” were long since ground to chum; you don’t get that big in financial services, ethically.
dbasedweeb··on Artificial Neural Nets Grow Brainlike Navigation Cells
I think the formula has to be interesting + relevant x challenging = memorable. Trivial novelty is empty, difficult novelty is empty, but difficult, relevant novelty is enriching. If I had to work for knowledge which relates to a broader schema, I find it never goes away.
dbasedweeb··on A female engineer's opinion on why there are fewer women in tech
Have you decided that your looks are the reason, or been told? You may be assuming that it’s your looks, when it frankly isn’t. In my experience creepy usually means creepy, and creepy poeple lack insight... which is part of what makes them creepy. It might not be looks, but behavior, a sense of anger or discomfort, etc.

Women often have to go by their gut instinct with guys, because if they don’t it can end in them being very badly hurt. Any heuristic is likely to generate false positives. Someone who is very anxious or socially awkward may come across as dangerous simply because of the heightened emotional state and failure to respond to social cues. It may also be that there is a strong correlation between “socially awkward” and “unattractive” for obvious reasons.

So again, I wouldn’t assume that looks represent cause rather than correlation. For an analogy, it could be like someone who is afraid of dogs being disproportionately bitten by dogs who react to the fear that person has of being bitten.

dbasedweeb··on Buses Need Our Love More Than Ever
“All you need are good roads.” That’s a Big expensive undertaking. In Canada (which is ever so slightly bigger than Finland) the roads range from excellent to abysmal. In the US the roads often have potholes and little accommodation for cycles, and the U.K. has some of the worst roads I’ve seen outside of a developing nation. Finland is also a small country with a population which all lives in the same climate. Countries like the US and Canada are huge, and far more populous, with population densities varying wildly. In addition, the climate ranges from lovely to arctic.

Needless to say, this creates a host of issues you won’t find in Helsinki, where 1.2m of Finland’s 5m inhabitants live. A bunch of very similar people living in the equivalent of one American state or small Canadian province, speaking the same language and sharing the same culture and weather can make roads and cycling a priority. Good luck scaling that.

dbasedweeb··on Buses Need Our Love More Than Ever
Refuse to leave the bus, point out that you’re willing to call police and wait for them. Casually mention that the driver will get home faster by finishing their route than forcing you to waste a lot of his time in the process of getting him fired.

Tl;Dr don’t put up with that shit. Ever.

dbasedweeb··on Buses Need Our Love More Than Ever
It's personal transport of the future. Everyone should get one.

In warm and dry parts of the world with good roads. You try biking in Toronto in the winter! Some people also understand that roads are dangerous, and being hit by a car when you’re on a bike is very bad news.

dbasedweeb··on Eshell as a main shell
I love the combination of sincere enthusiasm and a willingness to go into some depth about shortcomings. I think I’ve learned a lot from this.
dbasedweeb··on Great technology should improve life, not distract from it
A start of what? Those same alcohol purveyors still make a majority of income from a minority who drink irresponsibly. It’s like the army having, “killing is wrong” as a slogan, it’s just mouth noises and a start to nothing.
dbasedweeb··on A Recycled IP Address Caused Me to Pirate Books by Accident
First, there were thousands of them. Someone having thousands of books is not unreasonable, of course, but both the breadth and depth of this collection is such that it is extremely unlikely it is someone's personal library.

Sounds like my personal library actually.

Second, the PDFs aren't the actual books. They are just short blurbs describing the book and containing download deep links into bookfreenow.com. A couple examples [1] [2]. Clicking to create an account so you can start downloading redirects through some ad companies (and possibly some shady affiliate marketing companies), eventually reaching some download site (I think) that tells you no free slots are available and asks you to make an account.

Well that’s a lot harder to explain in charitable terms! So is this even piracy, or just some kind of scam based on the promise of piracy?

dbasedweeb··on How We Found New Patterns in LA’s Homeless Arrest Data
If you’re homeless then moving isn’t easy, unless you really like to walk or can scrounge money for a bus or two. Then you’re in a new place you’ve never been, which means any of the tricks and connections you had have to be rebuilt from scratch. The stakes are pretty high when you’re living from day to day, and a change of weather is probably only worth it if you’re in a very cold place to begin with.
dbasedweeb··on Gentrification's Price: S.F. Moves: Yuppies In, the Poor Out (1985)
I think the question is who’s responsibility it is to protect the woman in your hypothetical. Is it the landlord? New tenants? Some people from Amazon looking to expand? The new cafe charging $5 for rainbow bagels? The state or federal government? The goals of most of those entities are agnostic about the woman, not against her or for her. Rent control basically says the landlord is responsible, your formulation says the government is responsible through increased taxation. I don’t know the answer, but I can understand that most people are too preoccupied with their own lives to prioritize the woman.

At the end of the day, someone or a lot of someone’s need to take or share responsibility for the circumstances of the less foruntate, because the alternative is terrible for everyone.

dbasedweeb··on Tech watchdogs call on Facebook, Google for transparency around censored content
Sure when certain classes aren’t protected, other classes roadhaul them and keep them from integrating into schools and neighborhoods? From the end of slavery through Jim Crow, until the civil rights movement there was a big experiment of not protecting anyone, and it failed. Even after you got explicit redlining, and now redlining through other means.

It’s not as though there’s a lack of data for outcomes here, and it’s weighed against slippery slope fallacies and “what if’s.”

dbasedweeb··on How We Found New Patterns in LA’s Homeless Arrest Data
The problem is that a city lacks the resources to manage a country-wide problem. A lack of social support, especially mental healthcare means that you have more than half a million schizophrenics aloe on the streets. The war on drugs creates yet another class of “untouchables” and the crossover between drug use and mental illness muddies the issue. This is something the federal government and states need to consider from the ground up, but instead they just shunt money to private sector cronies, prisons, and cops.
dbasedweeb··on Gentrification's Price: S.F. Moves: Yuppies In, the Poor Out (1985)
Some people feel that the communities have a right to a place, others feel that whoever ends up owning the place has those rights. I don’t know what the answer is by the way, I’m just calling the perspectives as I see them. Obviously if you feel that residents “own” a neighborhood in some sense, then it’s wrong to price them out. If you feel that whoever puts the money down to own property owns it, then you won’t feel the same way.
dbasedweeb··on GoDaddy has shut down Richard Spencer’s white supremacist site
GoDaddy also has a right to free expression, which they exercised. Forcing them to broadcast Spencer isn’t compatible with freedom of expression either. At some point absolutes fail and you have to accept the individual’s/entity’s right to choose.
dbasedweeb··on Researchers have developed a water-based battery to store solar and wind energy
The wrong circumstances required to catastrophically release all of that energy in an ICE car is pretty extreme, requiring the fuel to atomize and thoroughly mix with air. Otherwise you have a fire, not a bomb. Hydrogen by contrast just needs a spark and then it comes to strongly resemble a bomb. If your hydrogen is under pressure, then simple containment failure can be the “spark” required. Plus, gasoline is easy to store, while hydrogen tends to embrittle materials storing it.

We shouldn’t short sell just how tricky hydrogen can be.

dbasedweeb··on Troubled Times for Alternatives to Einstein’s Theory of Gravity
A very smart guy named Alfred Korzybski said, “The map is not the territory.” It’s important to not get too hung up on epistemological implications of our models of reality, because they are just models. On a practical level a field is something which has a value at every point, that value can be a scalar, vector, or tensor depending on the nature of the field. For some good discussion I think this could help: https://physics.stackexchange.com/questions/13157/what-is-a-...

Now, it is very easy to get hung up on this "Is it real or not" thing, and most people do for at least a while, but please just put it aside. When you peer really hard into the depth of the theory, it turns out that it is hard to say for sure that stuff is "stuff". It is tempting to suggest that having a non-zero value of mass defines "stuffness", but then how do you deal with the photo-electric effect (which makes a pretty good argument that light comes in packets that have enough "stuffness" to bounce electrons around)? All the properties that you associate with stuff are actually explainable in terms of electro-magnetic fields and mass (which in GR is described by a component of a tensor field!). And round and round we go.

Light doesn’t propagate in empty space, because space isn’t empty, it’s permeated with quantum fields in constant flux. What light doesn’t require is a medium, and a field is not a medium. The problem here is that these theories are really described in terms of a bunch of math, and when we use words to describe those theories, something is lost in translation. There are no words that fully capture what a field is in QFT, you must use math.

Once you adopt that perspective, inflation would just be the result of another field with particular properties (esp. a given range of potential energy curves). Of course, inflation is an untested theory, and there are competing ones which try to explain the apparent homogeneity and isotropy of the universe. Inflation is probably the most popular, but it doesn’t rest on the kind of firm foundation that QED does.

dbasedweeb··on Troubled Times for Alternatives to Einstein’s Theory of Gravity
Well those 18th-19th century anything didn’t have a concept of entanglement or FTL, they were struggling with the notion that light, gravity, and other forces could propagate without a medium. They saw that waves could be transmitted through water, sound through air, and the idea that light or gravity could be transmitted through vacuum was baffling. Their resolution to the issue was to propose the existence of a substance which was invisible, intangible, but which permeated everything: the luminiferous ether. Light, in their understanding, wasn’t really moving through a vacuum, but this ever-present “stuff” instead. That started to fall out of favor long after the 18th century, and was finally conclusively shot down by Michelson and Morley with their interferometry.

The problem Einstein and others grappled with was different, and concerned the fact that according to relativity nothing should exceed c. Entangled particles seemed to violate that principle, because the collapse to a given pair of states was instantaneous. The modern resolution to that is more practical than philosophical, and points out that information isn’t transmitted faster than light in entangled particles. Information propagates at or below c, even though at some scale entangled particles are statistically correlated. Relativity is only violated, and causality threatened if information is transmitted FTL, but entanglement doesn’t allow for that. You need a classical channel make entanglement work for communication, and that classical channel is going to be no faster than light. Without a classical channel, entanglement just gives you random noise.

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