cm2187

My point is that you need to do that with 100.0% of the workforce!

Strongly disagree, and I am one of those who believe this is a bubble.

At home, Claude has been a god send to make it easy to learn using linux, and all sort of technologies. My personal learning curve has gone steep at an age where people start flattening out (40s).

At work, we use AI to automate 50-75% of our work. Better quality output, more productivity. I work in a bank. But the average plumber or electrician benefits too. In minutes they can become an expert into some tech they never touched before.

I thought crypto was bullshit, web 3.0 [corrected] was bullshit, meta-universe was bullshit. AI is bubbly, not sure how you can justify multi-trillon valuations for companies with 80% operating margin in a competitive market where you can switch to the competitor with a drop down. But the productivity gains will be massive for the economy. I think the economy will ultimately reap the reward, not so much the labs. But I may be wrong.

Active working population: north america: 195 millions, europe: 366 millions (says ChatGPT).

$6 trillion a year / 195+366m = $900 a month, from the guy flipping burgers to the hedge fund manager. Average salary is in the region of $5000 a month, pre-tax.

I love AI, spend my evening clauding. But still. Call me a sceptic on paying $1000 a month.

Low code solution have a fairly steep learning curve, and when someone got into it in anger, the complex electrical diagrams that result are even more impenetrable than spaghetti code.

In a large enterprise environment I have seen business users getting burned by vibe coding already, as they often don't even read the comments and warnings that the LLM gives them. But I think it is inevitable and should enable software to automate the millions of manual processes that are too bespoke to pay an IT team to automate.

For a solo entrepreneur, it should enable to get so much done before having to hire the first employee. Hence less risk to go bust, easier to take risks, pure value added.

Can LLM access FoxPro programmatically, or is the file format easily parsable? Most of FoxPro apps are likely fairly simple CRUD apps. It would be trivial for a modern AI to transcode it to a web based client server solution.

Exactly, or an access database. This is to enable end users who live in a fully locked down environment (enterprise setup) and can't install anything to use database like features without having to wait 6 months for IT to lift a finger.

But if it starts being a system of records / authoritative system, there needs to be a plan to decommission it.

The only difference I see on the facts vs what I read so far is that OpenAI knew of the hack and decided not to intervene. I haven't read the report but I find it hard to believe that OpenAI deliberately let its agents hack a third party company during a training run. It would certainly attract a criminal liability, which would be surprising to admit in writing.

As long as you have different credentials on all of your machines. I have witnessed first hand that once a malware infects a machine, any machine with shared credentials in the vicinity is infected within seconds.

So you delete a file by mistake and it replicates within seconds? Not exactly a backup. And a malware will do that to all of your files.

Would be curious what the power draw is (in use or idle).

Or start competing with you.

You don't want to compile code over SMB, even on a fast network. And what happens when you travel with patchy internet access? I use syncthing to a NAS, and the syncthing data being backed up by the NAS along everything else it contains.

Less hard these days. AI is a game changer for learning new technologies. It's like having a highly paid expert available to answer all your questions about your little USB backup. Makes learning how to use properly a new software trivial. And priceless when troubleshooting.

But a malware will scan for anything that looks like some credentials on your machine. So if you have a script with clear credentials backing up to a ftp server, the malware will go after the backup.

At the end of the day it depends on what is your threat model. Mine is 1) automated malwares and 2) my own fuckups. I am not trying to prevent the NSA from hacking me. Against an automated malware, custom scripts with encrypted credentials that don't show in clear in command lines or environment variables are probably good enough.

I don't particularly like the idea of my relatives sneaking into my files when I am dead. I destroyed all my father's files when he passed to respect his privacy.

Anything that requires manual work will inevitably fail as a backup strategy in my opinion. You might not need that backup now, while you actively think about it, but in 4 years, when you had other problems to deal with and haven't done a backup in a long time.

For small datasets, a cloud backup (think s3 or azure blob) with credentials that can't be harvested automatically by a malware (eg custom backup script with encrypted credentials - claude will happily write one for you in seconds) is as good as offline. For small datasets (code base, important documents, even photos if you don't go crazy - or perhaps backup a lower resolution as a dooms day last resort thing), this is nearly free.

For larger datasets, you can buy some cheap X11SSH-LN4F or X11SSL-F motherboards on ebay with RAM and CPU for ~$100. These can be remotely switched on and off programmatically with IPMI (same thing, custom scripts with encrypted credentials - claude is your friend). Have your NAS perform an incremental backup once a week or once a month and keep it off the rest of the time (or trigger it from a raspberry pi with own credentials if you don't want to connect IPMI to your LAN or have encrypted IPMI credentials on your NAS). And unless a malware hits right at the time of the backup, it is as good as an offline backup while also being automated. Doesn't protect from a power surge though, which may or may not be a problem depending on where you live.

Also have your backup pull data from your NAS rather than the other way round, and run with different credentials than your NAS, so a malware can't jump from the NAS to the backup (or encrypt the backup). I have seen first hand that if you reuse admin credentials between machines, one machine compromised means all machines compromised within minutes.

Does code also get watermarked? Surely you can't add non printable characters, except perhaps in comments?

Meanwhile insurance fraudsters love AI, and its ability to manipulate photos!

Agree, and not just that, it allows to escape the hijack of your right click (something google does not tolerate), but they also degraded a lot the experience the last year or two. Number of modal dialog boxes every time it updates (and of course repeat for how many machines you use), also every time there is a pending update, the performance seems to degrade until you close and update, and those updates are very frequent. I don't know if it is my machine but it seems to be struggling when there is more than 2 or 3 video streams on different tabs (increasingly common now that every news websites seems compelled to live stream video on their front page whether you want it or not).

You don't seem to be alone: FT.com: Anthropic’s best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive. AI lab’s Fable 5 has met with sluggish demand from corporate clients [1]

[1] https://www.ft.com/content/5ee49718-c258-4f01-aa32-7e5b76ae5...

I don't think you should ban McDonald's because parents shouldn't be expected to not feed their kids McDonald's every day of the week.

Keep the parents in control. The nanny state isn’t a substitute for good parenting.

NATs are also firewalls. I think people forget that before NATs, when you would install Windows, the minute you connected it to the internet, you had to rush to update it before a virus would infect it. The OS of the 90s weren't secure enough to be exposed to the WAN.

Excellent. From now on all kids will become linux natives. The decade of the linux desktop is coming!

This is also a political problem. Most of the debates about racism for instance are between people who are illiterate in term of basic statistics, on both sides of the debate. They take extreme tails of distributions as benchmarks, think in term of stereotypes rather than distributions, infer rules from a handful of samples, etc. It makes the whole exercise sterile.

It is not just journalists and politicians that are guilty of that. I see that from many academics who should know better, particularly in humanities departments.

What is strange is that even the best face recognition algorithms have false positive. So surely they must have planned for two unrelated customers resolving to the same embeddings.

Not sure what you are talking about. The negative sentiment isn't about hallucinations, it is about job replacement and high electricity cost.

Margins pre-AI were more like 5-15%. Even if the margin was 5%, if prices increased 5 times but product cost didn't move, then margins are now 80%. That's not a 30-40% product, your argument doesn't make any sense.

I think everyone is aware now that you don't build a fab by snapping your fingers, and you need to amortise it over many years. The said manufacturers are just out of a massive slump in demand during covid, when they were selling at a loss, and these cycles happened many times in this industry. It is understandable that they don't jump all-in on the AI bandwagon, which, god knows where it is going and for how long.

If you want evidence that no one predicted this, look at WD. They disinvested from sandisk up to early this year. Now sandisk is worth more than WD. Doesn't seem consistent with a concerted strategy to gauge prices.

> You can absolutely price fix/manufacture a shortage. Ever heard of merchants setting fire to crops after hoarding to sell at a higher price?

Fine. Show me which manufacturer is cutting production to corner the market. I don't see that.

You make it sound like the crunch is caused by manufacturers, my understanding is that it is caused by the abnormal demand. I am not aware that RAM production is at a historically low level.